Curvy-Offramp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.60K

Unrealized P&L

-$251

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

453

lifetime

Volume

$28.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

$86

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-25 07:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 6% -$4,336

Other

8% 65% -$261

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	+20,074	$226	0¢	$50	-$176	10-18 08:21
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	Yes	+7,466	$75	0¢	$26	-$49	10-25 07:01
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	Yes	+3,713	$35	0¢	$9	-$26	10-18 08:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	11	$6.7K	8,836	8,836	+0	Yes	+$6,546	08-24 15:38
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	2	$5.0K	10,501	0	+10,501	No	-$5,040	08-24 18:02
will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	4	$3.3K	3,265	3,265	+0	Yes	+$3,200	08-21 01:43
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	26	$2.7K	55,993	3,276	+52,717	No	-$2,039	04-29 23:50
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	15	$1.3K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	-$1,326	08-29 05:47
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	33	$1.1K	70,493	100	+70,393	No	-$1,132	05-24 07:43
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	48	$784	241,519	70,096	+171,424	No	-$431	06-29 03:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	22	$617	115,207	115,207	+0	open	—	10-01 01:06
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	18	$593	51,522	8,293	+43,229	No	-$133	09-30 10:39
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	12	$550	130,000	0	+130,000	No	-$550	08-29 06:37
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?	21	$420	30,322	4,368	+25,954	No	-$199	09-30 10:26
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	19	$387	36,815	3,315	+33,500	No	-$300	04-19 09:38
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	3	$342	130,783	0	+130,783	No	-$342	07-13 03:34
highest temperature in paris on april 7 2026 23c	3	$255	140	140	+1	Yes	-$5	04-07 16:28
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	7	$253	145,839	0	+145,839	No	-$253	06-29 10:17
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 7-13?	13	$243	15,996	0	+15,996	No	-$243	09-11 05:48
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	16	$226	20,074	0	+20,074	open	—	10-18 08:21
will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	3	$206	34,362	0	+34,362	No	-$206	07-28 15:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$192	19,167	19,167	+0	open	—	10-07 02:09
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 August 31-September 6?	9	$183	19,927	0	+19,927	No	-$183	09-05 09:55
will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	4	$153	8,966	0	+8,966	No	-$153	07-14 08:41
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 14-20?	12	$146	14,766	0	+14,766	No	-$146	09-20 08:15
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11?	2	$140	20,476	0	+20,476	No	-$140	10-09 03:22
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 7 2026 16c	3	$133	77	76	+1	Yes	+$14	04-07 16:33
will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	2	$128	12,800	0	+12,800	No	-$128	08-22 14:57
will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	3	$128	3,586	0	+3,586	No	-$128	07-10 03:07
will bitcoin reach 96k september 28 october 4 2026	2	$125	14,950	0	+14,950	No	-$125	10-01 01:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	4	$124	6,001	0	+6,001	No	-$124	08-25 07:51
highest temperature in taipei on april 8 2026 25c	4	$120	67	66	+0	Yes	+$0	04-08 12:33
will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in august 2026	3	$102	21,961	0	+21,961	No	-$102	08-29 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 07:01:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0x710e6f…
10-25 07:00:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xe50621…
10-25 06:59:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	7,383	1¢	$74	0x2bdfde…
10-18 08:21:45	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	348	1¢	$3	0xda10f4…
10-18 08:21:23	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	778	1¢	$7	0x25bb43…
10-18 08:19:59	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	599	1¢	$5	0xf715b8…
10-18 07:40:26	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	177	1¢	$2	0x57b3da…
10-18 07:31:42	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	442	1¢	$4	0x21186b…
10-18 06:54:23	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	594	1¢	$5	0xdad05f…
10-18 06:34:00	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	629	1¢	$6	0x7a6a5d…
10-18 06:08:14	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	947	1¢	$9	0x8dd318…
10-18 06:07:47	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	845	1¢	$7	0x09744a…
10-13 07:49:13	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	315	1¢	$5	0x3d646c…
10-13 07:48:26	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	325	1¢	$5	0xfbb1c6…
10-13 07:46:53	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	386	1¢	$5	0x31a5d8…
10-13 07:45:16	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	835	1¢	$11	0xdb6357…
10-13 07:41:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	56	51¢	$29	0x9aac83…
10-13 02:24:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	56	14¢	$8	0xb61c9e…
10-13 02:18:12	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	323	1¢	$4	0x70aedc…
10-13 02:17:27	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	987	1¢	$10	0x438e01…
10-13 02:16:21	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	306	1¢	$3	0xd8504a…
10-13 02:16:06	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	390	1¢	$4	0x1f0a59…
10-13 02:15:48	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	775	1¢	$7	0x3e0a7d…
10-13 02:15:09	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,527	1¢	$21	0x410594…
10-12 04:54:51	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x294457…
10-12 04:54:20	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	4,941	1¢	$70	0xbeb74c…
10-12 04:52:06	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	5,340	1¢	$62	0x4a1df4…
10-12 04:50:44	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	906	1¢	$7	0x24bcb3…
10-09 03:22:00	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$2	0x3dff32…
10-09 03:21:26	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	20,092	1¢	$138	0xb17f4a…
10-07 15:43:44	Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	1,191	1¢	$8	0x20063c…
10-07 02:12:35	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	139	1¢	$1	0x0cf5c8…
10-07 02:12:11	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x2ec337…
10-07 02:11:21	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	5,455	1¢	$44	0x7d8d65…
10-07 02:09:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$40	0x0cbdc7…
10-05 22:42:16	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?	Yes	SELL	211	1¢	$2	0xd00864…
10-05 22:41:07	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$8	0x287cd5…
10-05 13:12:53	will bitcoin reach 98k october 5 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1,211	2¢	$28	0xa6ee96…
10-05 13:05:59	Will Bitcoin reach $93,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	3,276	0¢	$13	0x1eabb6…
10-05 11:19:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2,470	0¢	$2	0xa170cc…
10-05 06:53:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xdd2f5d…
10-05 06:53:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	805	0¢	$1	0x8b5a50…
10-05 06:52:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	505	0¢	$1	0x66e136…
10-05 05:29:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	3,850	0¢	$4	0x432bc2…
10-05 05:28:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	505	0¢	$1	0x93e41d…
10-05 05:28:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	555	0¢	$1	0xd7675b…
10-05 05:27:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	505	0¢	$1	0xadc293…
10-05 05:25:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	810	0¢	$1	0x1a438f…
10-05 04:34:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1,010	0¢	$1	0xa07cee…
10-05 03:30:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	798	0¢	$1	0x27f2be…
10-05 03:24:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x7c6a4f…
10-05 03:17:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1,339	0¢	$1	0x9f2268…
10-05 02:58:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	6,850	0¢	$7	0xc18762…
10-05 02:57:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1,350	0¢	$1	0x752b1e…
10-01 03:27:35	will bitcoin reach 98k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3,898	1¢	$32	0x4cc495…
10-01 03:07:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9,167	0¢	$37	0x5cae2e…
10-01 01:25:08	will bitcoin reach 98k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1,010	1¢	$6	0x1f6002…
10-01 01:23:21	will bitcoin reach 96k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	739	1¢	$7	0x9faf43…
10-01 01:22:35	will bitcoin reach 94k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	995	1¢	$10	0x87e0d8…
10-01 01:08:53	will bitcoin reach 96k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	14,211	1¢	$117	0x8d3d43…
10-01 01:06:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	56,000	0¢	$112	0x048643…
09-30 10:39:59	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,069	0¢	$1	0x145ec2…
09-30 10:39:33	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	3,226	0¢	$3	0x1705ae…
09-30 10:26:35	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x7de78a…
09-30 06:32:45	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xa4cf39…
09-30 06:32:26	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	808	0¢	$1	0x18ceb1…
09-30 03:17:29	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xbc8646…
09-30 03:17:14	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	742	0¢	$1	0xdbb1b0…
09-30 01:54:00	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x68d24a…
09-30 01:44:32	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	107	0¢	$0	0x529517…
09-30 01:39:05	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	990	0¢	$1	0xff591a…
09-30 01:37:23	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	990	0¢	$1	0x13765c…
09-30 01:37:02	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf6972f…
09-30 01:37:02	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	5,973	0¢	$6	0x5e8b03…
09-30 01:36:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8,000	0¢	$16	0x92ce8a…
09-29 07:08:42	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	13,986	0¢	$28	0xe75b60…
09-29 07:08:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16,000	0¢	$32	0x064a11…
09-29 03:18:21	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	2,949	0¢	$6	0x89d206…
09-29 03:17:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$30	0x417425…
09-29 03:14:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20,000	0¢	$40	0xa7e5ec…
09-26 13:53:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	6,129	0¢	$25	0x346fc9…
09-26 13:53:26	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	657	0¢	$2	0xd9b171…
09-26 13:52:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	15,157	0¢	$30	0xa808aa…
09-22 09:32:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	252	0¢	$1	0x0716be…
09-22 09:22:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x174bc6…
09-22 09:18:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x7308de…
09-22 09:00:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xf3f88e…
09-22 08:59:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28,754	0¢	$86	0x43b395…
09-22 08:59:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	2,800	4¢	$98	0x6ec36b…
09-22 08:10:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	583	0¢	$2	0xdee066…
09-22 07:38:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,665	0¢	$29	0x15dc86…
09-22 07:37:21	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	800	4¢	$34	0xb0a6ea…
09-22 05:28:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,717	0¢	$29	0x3e373f…
09-22 05:28:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	1,106	3¢	$33	0xa9e51f…
09-22 01:46:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11,263	0¢	$34	0x921d8b…
09-22 01:45:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	1,350	3¢	$39	0xa90b17…
09-22 00:30:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	379	0¢	$1	0x87f21c…
09-21 09:41:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,521	0¢	$8	0x5a20e9…
09-21 09:41:02	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xea9cad…
09-21 09:40:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x198c63…