Demanding-Classification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

442

Trades

841

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-19 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

77% 81% -$14

Crypto

18% 86% -$5

Politics

5% 67% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	6	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$0	07-26 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 19?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-19 10:41
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	10-12 06:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-28 17:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-10 21:30
bitcoin above 70k on july 24 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-23 10:35
Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-31 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or below on July 20?	3	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-20 00:07
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 08:11
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	06-26 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-19 10:42
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 24?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-24 20:10
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 27?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-27 04:23
us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	4	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-30 22:33
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 11?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-10 21:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 23?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-23 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 20?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-20 11:10
uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-30 22:32
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-24 02:47
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 23?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-23 02:00
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-20 02:48
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 24?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-24 09:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	10-13 02:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29?	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 28?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-27 22:06
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?	5	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-10 22:41
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on July 21?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-21 23:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-28 06:04
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 06:23
xrp above 1pt3 on july 25 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-24 20:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xeebe78…
10-18 15:25:14	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd9063f…
10-16 11:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 16?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x58db7a…
10-13 02:36:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0x09b3b6…
10-13 02:05:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xad6399…
10-12 13:59:17	Will Matouš Pelikán be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb5e5bc…
10-12 06:33:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x7cd602…
10-12 03:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x42ae99…
10-12 01:55:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x74ba34…
10-12 00:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x711391…
10-11 22:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x90b357…
10-11 18:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4d682b…
10-10 06:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa4b9a7…
10-10 02:54:36	Will Matouš Pelikán be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x07aa5f…
10-05 09:32:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x419aba…
10-02 03:54:47	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30.5 and 31 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2a694d…
10-01 23:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83d728…
10-01 06:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 1?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x32e5af…
09-28 05:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x90005f…
09-27 18:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x95cbf8…
09-22 18:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x35ca68…
09-22 16:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc37fbb…
09-21 23:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf50c99…
09-18 16:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2544c6…
09-18 00:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x229bf8…
09-17 16:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x8a6e93…
09-13 03:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd6fb3d…
09-11 22:09:13	Will Eva von Angern be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x956435…
09-11 22:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdd2ce5…
09-11 22:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 11?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa4d30b…
09-11 02:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0d72df…
09-10 19:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9e0978…
09-07 13:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x68c8fd…
09-06 16:10:40	Will "The Odyssey" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 10.5m and 11m?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x307eeb…
09-06 05:44:13	Will Eva von Angern be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78469e…
09-05 23:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc6faf0…
09-05 08:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5eeb18…
09-05 03:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x1bd714…
09-04 23:13:43	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 4?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xa6c4a9…
09-04 22:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0eabd8…
09-04 16:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on September 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa329fc…
09-04 10:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 4?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdb75de…
09-03 23:45:48	will bitcoin reach 85k on september 3 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2ed69a…
09-03 22:47:01	will bitcoin reach 85k on september 3 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2d85cf…
09-03 13:48:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc68e17…
09-03 12:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x72dd53…
09-03 00:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03b2c5…
09-02 21:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x794a90…
09-02 12:56:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe243bd…
09-02 05:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa9aac2…
09-01 12:55:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4880cc…
09-01 02:13:57	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc517df…
08-31 03:05:15	Iran leadership change by August 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x852087…
08-31 02:17:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa25488…
08-30 20:10:15	Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8606f0…
08-30 10:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xcf155b…
08-30 01:19:09	will bitcoin dip to 76k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6d9959…
08-29 23:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc04235…
08-28 21:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7cadfc…
08-28 20:29:33	where will it rain on august 28 2026 houston tx	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd270b4…
08-27 13:51:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc66fd5…
08-27 06:10:03	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3250ac…
08-26 23:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2d80b0…
08-26 19:50:00	will bitcoin reach 84k on august 26 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x56e351…
08-26 19:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x09b1d6…
08-26 08:58:04	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf1e4cf…
08-25 11:39:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2a8f8f…
08-25 06:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2ed885…
08-24 21:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5b6e0…
08-24 19:10:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x2f7ea1…
08-24 18:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x7d920e…
08-24 08:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6458c7…
08-24 04:35:34	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x601644…
08-23 20:43:13	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd79260…
08-23 15:48:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbb9525…
08-14 08:38:48	ethereum above 2000 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x564452…
08-13 21:59:27	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x57f4fe…
08-13 16:15:37	Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 240k and 280k?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc7ce4d…
08-13 08:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe4d94e…
08-13 06:50:55	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb52091…
08-12 22:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 13?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd664e4…
08-12 06:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbc1234…
08-12 02:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa7864b…
08-11 23:29:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1b9e81…
08-11 15:02:22	ethereum above 1800 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xbb4626…
08-11 14:04:15	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x213835…
08-10 23:07:49	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb50e91…
08-10 21:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc6423c…
08-10 15:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35d15c…
08-10 12:03:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e0ff7…
08-09 18:01:22	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbe085f…
08-09 11:23:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd23758…
08-09 05:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 9?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb3446f…
08-09 04:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 9?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8db719…
08-08 18:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x93bd8f…
08-08 04:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1266ff…
08-08 04:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x630eaa…
08-07 21:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0776dc…
08-07 18:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x48c664…
08-07 11:44:51	will spy dip to 730 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0d6c68…