Optimal-Bead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

296

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$3.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-09 03:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 9?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	11-09 03:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 14:35
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:54
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 2?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:27
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:46
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:56
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 10:26
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 10:38
highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 64 65f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:55
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-23 06:43
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 04:21
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 43c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:41
highest temperature in karachi on april 19 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 04:41
highest temperature in karachi on april 18 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:34
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:04
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:44
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 15:33
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:16
highest temperature in atlanta on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 04:10
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 10:53
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 03:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4d0002…
11-08 04:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8b2950…
11-06 17:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf4c647…
11-05 16:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb3a209…
11-04 12:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdfe5b9…
11-03 09:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdd36cf…
11-02 13:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc507e5…
10-31 17:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb70737…
10-31 09:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf7292b…
10-30 09:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x266913…
10-29 07:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x807c13…
10-28 05:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdee64d…
10-27 08:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x183ba4…
10-26 05:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc10cf6…
10-24 06:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f7571…
10-22 09:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d3e29…
10-20 04:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee2200…
10-19 07:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f5108…
10-18 07:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcd961…
10-17 07:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcb5d7…
10-16 08:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55a881…
10-15 07:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb897a8…
10-14 07:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81d8fc…
10-13 05:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaba6eb…
10-12 04:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe38cb6…
10-11 03:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9493c3…
10-08 07:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x789861…
10-07 08:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x669af3…
10-06 07:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ab0ed…
10-04 08:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x140542…
10-03 04:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3704d4…
10-02 07:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe7af4…
10-02 03:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e6018…
10-01 07:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x209031…
09-30 09:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53eb8f…
09-29 08:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeffbe3…
09-28 08:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c2e32…
09-27 08:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2038e…
09-25 07:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb8202…
09-24 06:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec5453…
09-23 05:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65288d…
09-22 06:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac015c…
09-21 08:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x376054…
09-20 03:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7af77…
09-19 07:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8bfeaa…
09-18 01:13:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79d717…
09-17 03:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82bfba…
09-16 08:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59db88…
09-15 23:37:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb5a54…
09-15 02:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6514d…
09-14 02:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ce011…
09-13 12:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b6fb2…
09-12 08:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8ec8b…
09-11 06:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe27aef…
09-10 01:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f2b76…
09-09 09:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0dc3a0…
09-08 15:43:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2933ee…
09-08 01:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x993eb5…
09-07 01:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c34b5…
09-06 01:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9753a9…
09-05 09:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6105a…
09-04 08:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd834a…
09-03 07:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f9cea…
09-01 01:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9165a3…
08-30 01:02:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f4117…
08-29 05:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19724c…
08-28 02:02:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ce530…
08-27 01:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x805e7f…
08-26 02:04:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b06a7…
08-25 08:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f9652…
08-24 07:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc303f…
08-23 07:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b5c70…
08-22 06:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff025a…
08-21 01:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x575b88…
08-20 08:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d5d2f…
08-19 07:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8b4ab…
08-18 01:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ceba2…
08-17 06:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f883c…
08-16 10:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x243beb…
08-15 05:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42bb72…
08-14 06:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd1615…
08-13 01:00:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6c241…
08-12 06:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f38e9…
08-11 00:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x434904…
08-10 00:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9d3f3…
08-09 01:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6eac85…
08-08 07:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c5ac2…
08-07 00:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f6e26…
08-06 00:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97378b…
08-05 00:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa121a4…
08-04 03:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa7294…
08-03 01:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8d783…
08-02 00:25:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b48fe…
08-01 00:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad8a35…
07-31 07:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7eb2d…
07-30 00:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f82cf…
07-29 01:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x606356…
07-28 00:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6b8f1…
07-27 07:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff485a…
07-26 01:13:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ac739…