Agonizing-Misrepresentation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,090

lifetime

Volume

$4.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-28 17:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 22% $-24

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 608 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776343800	9	$145	251	144	+107	open	—	04-16 12:55
eth updown 5m 1776919500	4	$97	99	94	+6	open	—	04-23 04:49
btc updown 5m 1776342600	7	$97	194	88	+105	open	—	04-16 12:35
eth updown 5m 1776916500	7	$85	109	103	+6	open	—	04-23 04:00
btc updown 5m 1776369300	6	$81	81	68	+13	open	—	04-16 20:00
eth updown 5m 1776912300	6	$75	103	79	+24	open	—	04-23 02:49
btc updown 5m 1776378000	3	$71	58	56	+3	open	—	04-16 22:24
btc updown 5m 1776377400	5	$68	152	49	+102	open	—	04-16 22:15
btc updown 5m 1776344400	3	$68	150	48	+102	open	—	04-16 13:05
btc updown 5m 1776343200	6	$68	269	68	+202	open	—	04-16 12:45
btc updown 5m 1776378600	5	$65	154	52	+102	open	—	04-16 22:35
eth updown 5m 1776912900	6	$60	169	65	+104	open	—	04-23 03:00
eth updown 5m 1776917700	6	$59	78	60	+18	open	—	04-23 04:19
eth updown 5m 1776918000	3	$52	63	60	+3	open	—	04-23 04:24
btc updown 5m 1776311400	3	$48	51	46	+5	open	—	04-16 03:55
btc updown 5m 1776322800	4	$48	144	42	+102	open	—	04-16 07:05
btc updown 5m 1776329700	6	$47	180	32	+148	open	—	04-16 09:00
btc updown 5m 1776342300	8	$46	162	46	+116	open	—	04-16 12:30
btc updown 5m 1776328800	4	$45	39	37	+2	open	—	04-16 08:45
btc updown 5m 1776394200	6	$44	189	32	+158	open	—	04-17 02:54
btc updown 5m 1776379800	6	$44	243	22	+221	open	—	04-16 22:54
btc updown 5m 1776344100	5	$41	311	0	+311	open	—	04-16 13:00
eth updown 5m 1776917100	4	$41	150	31	+119	open	—	04-23 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$40	37	37	+0	open	—	05-02 18:54
btc updown 5m 1776331200	7	$40	419	9	+410	open	—	04-16 09:23
eth updown 5m 1776918300	3	$40	80	28	+52	open	—	04-23 04:28
btc updown 5m 1776327900	6	$39	143	40	+103	open	—	04-16 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$38	26	26	+0	open	—	05-02 19:20
eth updown 5m 1776915600	5	$38	74	38	+36	open	—	04-23 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$36	41	28	+13	open	—	05-02 19:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 17:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xbcf0e5…
05-28 17:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xd546b9…
05-28 17:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8358db…
05-28 17:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xef29ee…
05-28 17:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf0de99…
05-13 03:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd90cb2…
05-13 03:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc360b4…
05-13 03:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x063dd4…
05-13 03:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd7a683…
05-13 03:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x780a39…
05-13 03:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0xe5c969…
05-13 03:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd5f153…
05-13 03:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xebdae5…
05-13 03:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5e56fe…
05-13 03:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3407db…
05-13 03:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7d09c5…
05-13 03:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0xd562cd…
05-13 03:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x92624d…
05-13 03:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xb75eeb…
05-13 03:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x054525…
05-13 03:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xaa6621…
05-13 03:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x8649a2…
05-13 03:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x495f43…
05-13 03:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6105cc…
05-13 03:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xe59050…
05-13 03:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x74c95c…
05-07 13:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x6ca2a1…
05-07 02:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd57441…
05-07 01:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0b4e31…
05-06 23:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x204f8b…
05-06 23:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfbdd97…
05-06 23:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x238705…
05-03 05:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x764900…
05-03 05:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xc8fea0…
05-03 05:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xb2c272…
05-03 05:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xf1246a…
05-03 05:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x837e67…
05-03 05:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xd776f1…
05-03 05:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xde8aee…
05-03 05:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x212888…
05-03 05:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x9c842c…
05-03 05:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x358c50…
05-03 05:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xa1b905…
05-03 05:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x288af4…
05-03 05:27:46	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x351f8b…
05-03 05:25:44	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xbfda14…
05-03 04:33:34	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x87468c…
05-03 04:33:06	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xe9947a…
05-03 04:31:02	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xfc29c1…
05-03 04:30:56	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x7851ba…
05-02 22:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9ef17e…
05-02 22:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc666f6…
05-02 22:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc7c4d2…
05-02 22:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8dac85…
05-02 22:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x121b11…
05-02 22:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfeb943…
05-02 22:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xf47567…
05-02 21:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xe3c4a8…
05-02 19:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x014aa7…
05-02 19:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x30d959…
05-02 19:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb572ad…
05-02 19:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	28	68¢	$19	0xfe0e08…
05-02 19:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x67e911…
05-02 19:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf8edbd…
05-02 19:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaf6e40…
05-02 19:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x439fff…
05-02 19:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	27	65¢	$18	0x2acebf…
05-02 19:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0x780e90…
05-02 18:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x40ec67…
05-02 18:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9001a7…
05-02 18:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x76640c…
05-02 18:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x6e3002…
05-02 18:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0xe5f9ff…
05-02 18:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x8034e3…
05-02 18:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x26f5a7…
05-02 18:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x0a9763…
05-02 18:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x52dd82…
05-02 18:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd3da73…
05-02 18:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf486e2…
05-02 18:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x74f121…
05-02 18:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x61d4b9…
05-02 18:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x172bea…
05-02 18:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2d0f15…
05-02 18:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x690e8f…
05-02 18:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2d4d77…
05-02 18:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x322626…
05-02 18:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe6d771…
05-02 18:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	23	67¢	$15	0x92e83a…
05-02 18:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xabb644…
05-02 18:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	16	93¢	$14	0xa54edb…
05-02 18:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xa025e5…
05-02 18:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xc57e1e…
05-02 18:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	36	57¢	$20	0x4f7e81…
05-02 18:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x772072…
05-02 17:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd4c3a3…
05-02 17:54:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x200a12…
04-25 04:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x7179e9…
04-25 04:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x37e9dc…
04-25 04:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7a8534…
04-25 04:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xa87bf0…