Powerless-Buffet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.79K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

4,984

Trades

9,744

lifetime

Volume

$35.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 09-05 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 24% -$2,833

Other

1% 37% +$14

Sports

0% 100% +$36

Politics

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 5pm et	5	$355	216	212	+4	Down	+$37	04-23 22:00
bitcoin above 68k on february 26	12	$303	300	300	+0	No	+$23	02-26 14:48
bitcoin above 74k on march 16	6	$241	228	225	+3	No	+$24	03-16 15:02
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 4pm et	3	$223	140	137	+3	Up	+$26	04-23 20:41
bitcoin above 66k on february 27	9	$209	218	218	+0	No	+$29	02-27 16:40
bitcoin above 68k on february 17	7	$185	219	240	-21	No	+$40	02-17 16:40
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 7am et	7	$167	151	114	+38	Up	-$3	04-22 11:57
bitcoin above 66k on february 23	10	$138	159	159	+0	No	+$26	02-23 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 22:50 UTC	4	$118	254	114	+140	Up	+$118	02-16 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:35 UTC	6	$114	131	131	+0	Up	+$100	02-16 21:41
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-20 09:00 UTC	5	$108	130	130	+0	Down	+$28	02-20 11:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 19:00 UTC	4	$108	243	227	+16	Up	+$68	04-21 19:15
bitcoin above 72k on march 25	8	$107	88	86	+1	No	+$8	03-25 12:18
bitcoin above 70k on march 23	18	$106	1,620	1,620	+1	Yes	+$30	03-23 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 07:35 UTC	2	$103	125	125	+0	Down	+$93	02-19 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 07:55 UTC	3	$102	100	94	+6	Up	+$88	04-14 08:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 09:15 UTC	4	$96	105	98	+7	Down	+$99	04-03 09:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 21:30 UTC	10	$90	103	103	+1	Down	+$31	03-21 21:46
bitcoin up or down february 20 4am et	7	$89	368	0	+368	Up	-$89	02-20 09:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 20:45 UTC	10	$88	278	147	+131	Up	-$6	04-08 20:58
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC	16	$88	184	93	+91	Up	-$17	04-04 15:09
bitcoin up or down february 19 12pm et	6	$86	224	159	+65	Up	+$33	02-19 17:59
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-23 05:00 UTC	4	$80	239	0	+239	Up	-$80	02-23 06:04
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	10	$79	80	80	+0	Yes	+$11	03-03 08:42
bitcoin above 70k on march 24	6	$78	87	86	+1	No	+$21	03-24 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 18:45 UTC	6	$77	178	153	+25	Down	+$53	03-25 18:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 20:15 UTC	4	$76	79	78	+0	Down	+$46	02-16 20:20
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	11	$72	591	91	+500	Yes	+$36	07-07 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 22:15 UTC	4	$70	134	50	+84	Up	+$29	02-16 22:20
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-14 04:00 UTC	10	$69	152	124	+28	Up	+$6	04-14 07:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 18:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe513e5…
09-05 18:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa5484d…
09-05 17:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdf6091…
09-05 11:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x96200c…
09-04 21:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x7d0d42…
09-04 21:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x57a8cb…
09-04 21:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x2ba884…
09-04 21:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xed2a86…
09-04 21:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	21¢	$4	0xf17baa…
09-04 21:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x86e56c…
09-04 20:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7784aa…
09-04 20:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x697cd2…
09-04 20:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf10b74…
09-04 20:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x91e278…
09-04 20:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x69635e…
09-04 20:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf15c33…
09-04 20:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0xd969e3…
09-04 20:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x480915…
09-04 19:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x96161f…
09-04 19:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x67df16…
09-04 19:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xac4a86…
09-04 17:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x901655…
09-04 17:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x690c85…
09-04 17:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2f2382…
09-04 17:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd2989f…
09-04 17:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x16abbd…
09-04 17:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x4bcf3b…
09-04 17:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa5a41c…
09-04 12:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xa494c5…
09-04 12:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x199206…
09-04 12:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x0deca5…
09-04 12:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x832b1f…
09-04 12:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xfac244…
09-04 12:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x4ef4b8…
09-04 12:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x3fc296…
09-04 12:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe753d0…
09-04 08:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$3	0x6ea272…
09-04 08:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xcf9016…
09-04 08:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x8f0e5c…
09-04 08:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x868d7d…
09-04 08:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0xdbbd42…
09-04 08:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3f579a…
09-04 08:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x5328c2…
09-04 07:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x63c4dd…
09-04 07:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x761127…
09-04 07:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x5d74f4…
09-04 06:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x0787e4…
09-03 14:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x6af364…
09-03 14:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x20c426…
09-03 14:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5aed94…
09-03 13:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x7deb79…
09-03 13:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0x9b4316…
09-03 13:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xadf1b9…
09-03 13:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x4b9792…
09-03 13:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x478420…
09-03 12:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x942762…
09-03 12:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb13a17…
09-03 09:25:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x4346e8…
09-03 09:21:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0fee76…
09-03 09:19:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb857d5…
09-03 09:15:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x1d9946…
09-03 09:14:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x99f915…
09-03 09:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0ee17a…
09-03 09:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xf94b21…
09-03 09:00:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x411b89…
09-03 08:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc8e01a…
09-03 08:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xaa4470…
09-03 08:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x64eaea…
09-03 08:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x195195…
09-03 08:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xee5574…
09-03 06:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xa08c48…
09-03 06:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x493958…
09-03 06:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd9b195…
09-03 06:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xbc9024…
09-03 06:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbad625…
09-03 06:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc206d3…
09-03 06:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x8c6485…
09-03 06:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xcfb7ec…
09-03 05:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xabf89a…
09-03 05:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x77f47d…
09-03 05:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9bd39d…
09-02 22:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4ce7ca…
09-02 22:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf06d63…
09-02 22:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0xc3ce59…
09-02 22:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x75f9b8…
09-02 21:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0xac00e5…
09-02 21:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x08eb5a…
09-02 21:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x8653e7…
09-02 21:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x426503…
09-02 21:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xb96be2…
09-02 21:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x809eb3…
09-02 21:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0xf852db…
09-02 20:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x456b90…
09-02 20:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xb2e14b…
09-02 20:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xec3f9a…
09-02 20:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xcbe1b0…
09-02 20:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x96cd5c…
09-02 20:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x0b7c4e…
09-02 20:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x2d2029…
09-02 20:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x3a6de7…