Direct-Oat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

205

Trades

261

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 05-14 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 99% $-14

Other

20% 100% +$1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$21	25	+25	Down	$-21	05-13 20:13
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$19	19	+19	Down	+$0	05-13 21:14
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$19	19	+19	Up	+$0	05-13 20:43
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$19	20	+20	Down	+$1	05-13 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$19	19	+19	Down	+$0	05-13 19:13
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$18	18	+18	Up	+$0	05-13 21:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$18	19	+19	Up	+$0	05-13 20:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$18	18	+18	Up	+$0	05-13 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$18	18	+18	Up	+$0	05-13 19:58
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$18	18	+18	Down	+$0	05-13 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$18	18	+18	Up	+$0	05-13 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$18	19	+19	Down	+$1	05-13 21:29
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$12	12	+12	Up	+$1	05-14 01:14
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$11	12	+12	Up	+$1	05-14 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$11	11	+11	Down	+$0	05-13 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	05-14 13:44
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	05-14 14:59
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	05-14 16:59
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	05-14 06:59
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$11	11	+11	Down	+$0	05-14 06:29
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	05-14 09:14
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	05-14 10:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	05-14 15:29
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	05-14 07:14
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	05-14 10:44
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$11	11	+11	Down	+$0	05-14 02:14
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$11	11	+11	Down	+$0	05-14 03:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$11	11	+11	Up	+$0	05-14 05:14
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$11	11	+11	Down	+$0	05-14 00:59
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$11	11	+11	Down	+$0	05-14 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 16:59:15	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe3a69b…
05-14 16:44:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x214223…
05-14 16:29:16	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfc58fd…
05-14 15:44:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdb1de7…
05-14 15:29:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf7e8af…
05-14 15:14:10	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xff85aa…
05-14 14:59:26	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x149460…
05-14 14:44:09	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x47f3b6…
05-14 14:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd74488…
05-14 13:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf0f06c…
05-14 13:29:15	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x33e707…
05-14 13:14:10	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdcdd86…
05-14 12:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdbb048…
05-14 12:29:06	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb4b32c…
05-14 12:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb36528…
05-14 11:59:06	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb62a67…
05-14 10:59:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x89558d…
05-14 10:44:13	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6167b5…
05-14 10:29:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xddf028…
05-14 09:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe6b549…
05-14 09:44:07	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x82d376…
05-14 09:14:11	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x85cb2a…
05-14 08:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcdf24f…
05-14 08:44:07	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf065c0…
05-14 08:29:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x05f254…
05-14 08:14:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd15084…
05-14 07:44:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd93c97…
05-14 07:29:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3c42fa…
05-14 07:14:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6e45e5…
05-14 06:59:24	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xef6aae…
05-14 06:44:16	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6ce7d8…
05-14 06:29:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8a6912…
05-14 05:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x48eeb6…
05-14 05:44:13	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf9bf69…
05-14 05:29:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4f90b4…
05-14 05:14:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3aa5e2…
05-14 04:59:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x959aee…
05-14 04:45:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x600e77…
05-14 04:29:07	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0xd56bd3…
05-14 04:14:09	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x765e48…
05-14 03:59:15	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd3ce60…
05-14 03:44:06	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x00028d…
05-14 03:29:16	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd7469b…
05-14 03:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc84d87…
05-14 02:59:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa57585…
05-14 02:44:10	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xccb8c4…
05-14 02:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb62ff0…
05-14 02:14:23	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd477e3…
05-14 01:59:05	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xccdf12…
05-14 01:14:39	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x5f3c4a…
05-14 00:59:05	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd769cd…
05-14 00:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3e2316…
05-14 00:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbf6088…
05-13 23:59:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2cec36…
05-13 23:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x9a849c…
05-13 23:14:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6ebdca…
05-13 22:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xea701c…
05-13 21:59:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfdefbd…
05-13 21:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x142243…
05-13 21:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xba2e8d…
05-13 21:14:11	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7699b1…
05-13 20:43:35	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa054d3…
05-13 20:28:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0x9a91cc…
05-13 20:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x1735fb…
05-13 19:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x970c1f…
05-13 19:43:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xddac04…
05-13 19:28:41	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x03bcca…
05-13 19:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x69a379…
05-13 18:58:38	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x7d9815…
05-13 18:29:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa8752b…
05-13 18:29:11	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x546e03…
05-13 18:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x058ba3…
05-13 18:28:46	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa7743b…
05-13 18:28:41	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xda35fd…
05-13 18:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x830808…
05-13 18:13:47	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x66ed0b…
05-13 18:13:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe813db…
05-13 18:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc28756…
05-13 17:59:54	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xab91aa…
05-13 17:58:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8697bc…
05-13 17:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x601f61…
05-13 17:13:45	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x4bb714…
05-13 16:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb77304…
05-13 16:28:45	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa71877…
05-13 16:13:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x42a073…
05-13 16:13:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x149401…
05-13 16:13:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1212fb…
05-13 16:13:46	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x40a8df…
05-13 16:13:40	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x684f6a…
05-13 15:59:21	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xde01e3…
05-13 14:58:45	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x9d0403…
05-13 14:43:49	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb1465e…
05-13 14:43:45	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2d7d13…
05-13 14:13:48	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8854e5…
05-13 14:13:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc963c9…
05-13 13:44:22	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x11d9e4…
05-13 13:43:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc348d5…
05-13 13:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6fb9e9…
05-13 13:14:44	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3777ac…
05-13 13:13:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x168f36…