Educated-Depth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$297

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

735

Trades

1,813

lifetime

Volume

$34.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$47

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 07-23 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 87% $-297

Other

25% — —

Politics

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes		+114	$50	41¢	$47	$-3	06-24 08:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	4	$767	743	741	+2	open	—	06-15 08:18
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner	6	$283	549	0	+549	open	—	05-17 18:36
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	4	$277	1,059	0	+1,059	open	—	05-25 14:59
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	8	$197	521	0	+521	open	—	05-20 08:52
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	3	$195	500	0	+500	open	—	05-28 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$187	195	0	+195	Up	$-187	05-13 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	8	$187	223	0	+223	Up	$-187	05-12 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$187	206	0	+206	Up	+$19	05-13 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	6	$187	199	0	+199	Up	+$12	05-12 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$187	193	0	+193	Up	+$6	05-12 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	11	$187	257	0	+257	Down	+$69	05-13 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	17	$187	213	0	+213	Up	+$26	05-12 14:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$175	409	188	+221	open	—	06-15 21:42
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	4	$168	122	122	+0	open	—	06-02 13:48
Counter-Strike: Vexa vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	3	$142	216	0	+216	open	—	05-16 20:13
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	2	$133	237	0	+237	open	—	05-18 08:56
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A	3	$129	413	0	+413	open	—	05-25 12:43
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	7	$129	322	0	+322	open	—	05-19 16:09
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs	2	$128	189	0	+189	open	—	05-28 18:15
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	9	$127	316	0	+316	open	—	05-18 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$125	128	0	+128	Down	+$3	05-11 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$125	128	0	+128	Down	+$3	05-11 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$125	128	0	+128	Down	+$3	05-10 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$125	128	0	+128	Up	+$3	05-09 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$125	137	0	+137	Up	+$12	05-10 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$125	129	0	+129	open	—	05-14 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	7	$125	142	0	+142	Up	+$17	05-07 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$125	130	0	+130	Up	+$5	05-08 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$125	133	0	+133	Up	+$8	05-10 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$125	133	0	+133	Down	+$8	05-11 00:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 00:54:12	will warsh say good afternoon during july press conference 20260720204109060 622	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x731ef8…
07-23 00:53:27	will warsh say good afternoon during july press conference 20260720204109060 622	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x74acf0…
07-21 22:37:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	61	14¢	$9	0x6610cb…
07-21 02:22:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	61	14¢	$9	0xa46754…
07-19 23:31:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x011adb…
07-18 00:28:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0x62e975…
07-18 00:06:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0xbc7dda…
07-17 22:38:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xf2df3c…
07-17 21:33:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0xc782f0…
07-17 21:25:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0xb66371…
07-17 20:13:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x257ae7…
07-17 20:06:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x6ae8ce…
07-17 19:39:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x2c96e5…
07-17 18:21:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	417	11¢	$46	0x75c652…
07-17 18:12:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x02ff2c…
07-17 17:58:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xed7c7f…
07-16 18:58:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x88a356…
07-14 22:51:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	42	30¢	$13	0x16cef2…
07-13 04:25:56	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x63cce9…
07-13 04:09:28	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x4f0d71…
07-13 04:03:19	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb10482…
07-13 03:31:08	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x48c15f…
07-13 02:03:14	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xda0276…
07-13 01:38:14	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x708900…
07-13 01:25:38	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xaded73…
07-13 01:12:59	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xc7e9b8…
07-13 00:41:38	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x523cd2…
07-13 00:23:10	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x69bcff…
07-12 23:14:46	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb8ffd9…
07-12 22:50:07	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xae885f…
07-12 21:55:52	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x8913e6…
07-12 21:01:10	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	28	55¢	$15	0xff2e8b…
07-12 20:48:38	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xf6d825…
07-12 20:42:25	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x1a4289…
07-12 20:36:10	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0xc76736…
07-12 20:18:01	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x5fdb3c…
07-12 19:53:19	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x622abe…
07-12 18:33:47	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x0d019b…
07-12 17:16:04	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x3d7752…
07-12 16:58:16	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x942fa6…
07-11 23:48:49	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x80d956…
07-11 20:34:19	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xf651b4…
07-11 17:44:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	39	58¢	$23	0x010f06…
07-11 17:32:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x7f58e5…
07-11 17:31:20	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xbc5669…
07-11 17:28:44	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc18da5…
07-06 21:14:34	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x96c4e0…
07-06 21:14:32	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xde2ccd…
07-03 22:57:01	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x6b64f5…
07-03 20:34:58	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x599626…
07-03 20:10:05	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xe58d52…
07-02 23:42:58	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x00b5a4…
07-02 20:33:26	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x5156a8…
07-02 20:27:13	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0xd89fc6…
07-02 17:38:04	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xfc034f…
07-02 14:35:02	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x8ef85e…
07-02 12:17:49	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x8556dc…
07-02 02:58:56	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xe6d01f…
07-02 02:35:07	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0xf55442…
07-02 01:35:37	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x36d5c2…
07-01 16:16:35	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x1dcd86…
07-01 09:11:50	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xc0e6d2…
07-01 07:55:05	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x839400…
07-01 06:07:50	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	1	79¢	$0	0xbddef1…
07-01 01:11:08	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x7dc475…
06-30 20:20:59	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x1a5cab…
06-28 07:24:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa32af4…
06-28 02:06:11	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0xe11de9…
06-28 02:04:16	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xc1aae3…
06-27 14:47:16	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4c4ed5…
06-27 11:18:55	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x6a5097…
06-27 07:43:07	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1b55f3…
06-24 23:49:16	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xc50dc2…
06-24 18:45:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	46	39¢	$18	0xf81b56…
06-24 08:39:35	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x955be6…
06-23 14:09:35	will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	No	BUY	192	24¢	$46	0x2479a5…
06-22 18:17:05	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa1af35…
06-21 19:50:13	will kylian mbappe score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023006	Yes	SELL	62	74¢	$46	0xff0b55…
06-20 02:04:38	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x3df105…
06-20 01:51:25	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xd07bd6…
06-19 21:14:02	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	1	68¢	$0	0xc90829…
06-19 18:52:58	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x2d02fa…
06-19 16:18:22	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x6af263…
06-19 15:45:01	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x59e149…
06-19 06:59:53	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0xf83dcf…
06-19 04:33:56	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x7939f3…
06-19 02:28:19	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xe3afba…
06-19 01:10:29	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x49c421…
06-19 01:00:43	will kylian mbappe score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023006	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x494156…
06-18 10:50:52	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x5a070c…
06-17 19:16:32	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xa8b5e9…
06-17 14:19:37	will cristiano ronaldo score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406403	No	BUY	57	27¢	$15	0xe04568…
06-17 09:02:25	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x353645…
06-17 08:34:29	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x3c9244…
06-17 07:55:31	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x6d7ddb…
06-16 21:20:29	will lionel messi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xc067cc…
06-16 21:18:08	will lionel messi score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833284	No	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xf0da18…
06-16 20:30:56	will kylian mbappe score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023005	No	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xe7cd2b…
06-16 20:29:59	will kylian mbappe score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023005	No	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xe42797…
06-16 20:25:23	will kylian mbappe score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023005	No	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x735624…