Back-Hardboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.00K

Unrealized P&L

+$101

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

2,555

Trades

5,007

lifetime

Volume

$104.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$151

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 182 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 33% -$3,239

Other

5% 33% -$715

Politics

0% 0% -$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	—	+158	$50	96¢	$151	+$101	10-31 09:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$511	527	527	+0	Down	+$111	09-08 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	6	$441	467	467	+0	Down	+$81	09-03 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6AM ET	7	$381	642	487	+155	Down	+$221	09-10 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$321	396	396	+0	Up	+$41	09-07 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	5	$314	298	298	+0	Up	+$214	10-28 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$312	502	368	+133	Up	-$8	09-03 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	5	$298	694	444	+250	Down	+$8	09-04 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 10:00 UTC	6	$283	250	250	+0	Up	+$63	09-03 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	7	$274	292	233	+59	Down	+$84	09-02 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$269	441	243	+198	Down	-$31	09-09 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$266	340	340	+0	Down	+$106	09-03 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$260	229	229	+0	Down	+$60	09-03 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	8	$260	472	267	+205	Down	+$80	10-30 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$252	284	214	+70	Up	-$8	09-03 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	6	$251	215	215	+0	Up	+$31	09-02 19:39
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 15:30 UTC	6	$247	230	230	+0	Down	+$47	08-15 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$245	277	277	+0	Up	+$105	10-23 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	5	$237	357	332	+24	Down	-$3	09-09 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$231	277	277	+0	Up	+$91	09-03 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$231	233	233	+0	Down	+$51	09-03 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4PM ET	4	$229	424	424	+0	Up	+$49	09-08 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$228	229	229	+0	Up	+$68	09-03 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$227	205	205	+0	Up	+$68	09-05 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9AM ET	4	$223	473	473	+0	Up	+$23	09-03 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$220	155	155	+0	Up	+$80	09-09 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$219	181	181	+0	Up	+$139	10-23 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$215	184	184	+0	Down	+$115	10-26 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:05 UTC	6	$214	265	265	+0	Down	+$44	08-06 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 09:15 UTC	7	$212	229	195	+34	Down	+$90	09-17 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$210	295	111	+184	Down	+$10	10-27 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 09:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	158	32¢	$50	0x7e2d2f…
10-31 09:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x75cd31…
10-31 09:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	533	11¢	$60	0x3b1da3…
10-31 09:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	286	14¢	$40	0x3db83a…
10-31 09:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x7475ad…
10-31 09:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	261	16¢	$43	0x5c21fc…
10-31 09:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	261	23¢	$60	0xd2ea5b…
10-31 09:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x00578e…
10-31 09:07:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xf84324…
10-31 09:03:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-31 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	135	22¢	$30	0xc2ee3d…
10-31 09:00:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x68f0ba…
10-31 08:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x21758a…
10-31 08:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xa0e9b3…
10-31 08:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xf70a86…
10-31 08:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x799aee…
10-31 08:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	147	81¢	$119	0x4fb728…
10-31 08:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x6ce65a…
10-31 08:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x32ab14…
10-31 08:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x650b09…
10-30 23:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0xd08da6…
10-30 23:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xf76674…
10-30 23:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x501418…
10-30 23:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	97	89¢	$86	0xfd9420…
10-30 23:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xfcf90b…
10-30 23:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x2316e5…
10-30 23:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xa2a0d7…
10-30 22:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x0460dc…
10-30 22:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	333	37¢	$124	0xd8eee6…
10-30 22:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	333	12¢	$40	0x7f5ded…
10-30 22:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x563b60…
10-30 22:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x843a95…
10-30 22:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x04c2a4…
10-30 21:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0fa24c…
10-30 21:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	56	98¢	$54	0xa8b289…
10-30 21:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x925eee…
10-30 21:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xec22e7…
10-30 21:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x23432e…
10-30 21:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x0b0b15…
10-30 21:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xcd2e03…
10-30 21:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x87e42b…
10-30 20:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd0634a…
10-30 20:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xe0b5d9…
10-30 20:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xdb4817…
10-30 20:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xcdde94…
10-30 20:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	53	79¢	$42	0x9a5c6b…
10-30 20:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd4e51e…
10-30 20:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xe69363…
10-30 19:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x23f832…
10-30 19:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x14e827…
10-30 19:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xec5faa…
10-30 19:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	143	56¢	$81	0x235968…
10-30 19:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xffc012…
10-30 19:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x135743…
10-30 19:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0xbbb195…
10-30 19:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	48	73¢	$35	0xb7dfaa…
10-30 19:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xdaeb11…
10-30 19:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	118	78¢	$92	0x377672…
10-30 19:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x0194c4…
10-30 19:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	151	81¢	$123	0xbf5698…
10-30 19:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xe1790b…
10-30 19:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	151	20¢	$30	0x80a39a…
10-30 17:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9cdf75…
10-30 17:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x962057…
10-30 17:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc56a8e…
10-30 17:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	53	72¢	$38	0x266b66…
10-30 17:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x715309…
10-30 17:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	214	61¢	$131	0x11db85…
10-30 17:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd533fb…
10-30 17:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	94	27¢	$25	0x7d11d8…
10-30 17:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x0af7e4…
10-30 15:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd46fb2…
10-30 15:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x6ffc63…
10-30 15:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3acde7…
10-30 15:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xeeedc4…
10-30 15:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x47cc8b…
10-29 16:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	32¢	$15	0x47f62d…
10-29 16:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	23	67¢	$16	0x82e0f5…
10-29 16:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x1d16a7…
10-29 15:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd52c18…
10-29 15:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x8a6a0b…
10-29 15:53:01	bitcoin above 81600 on october 29 2026 12pm et	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x7f25c0…
10-29 15:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	67	61¢	$41	0xc04774…
10-29 15:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x4801dc…
10-29 15:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	189	21¢	$40	0x600974…
10-29 15:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x34b210…
10-29 15:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0xdc20ee…
10-29 15:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x4a2f27…
10-29 15:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xee9748…
10-29 15:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0xfbe8bb…
10-29 15:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x9650a2…
10-29 15:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0x52da30…
10-29 15:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x1c1969…
10-29 15:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x5c1b71…
10-29 15:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xfc9773…
10-29 15:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x916d37…
10-29 15:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x539023…
10-29 15:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xf6121e…
10-29 14:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb85e54…
10-29 14:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	61	71¢	$43	0x6be5a1…
10-29 14:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x68195b…