Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$159

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-20

last 10-09 00:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

61% 0% -$23

Crypto

29% 29% -$10

Politics

6% 0% -$1

Tech

4% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by October 31?	4	$18	40	40	+0	No	-$10	10-02 10:49
Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?	4	$16	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	09-22 00:54
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?	2	$15	20	20	+0	No	-$4	10-02 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	10-07 15:43
Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	2	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	09-22 00:54
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	10-02 08:17
saudi airspace closed by december 31 2026	2	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	09-21 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	Up	-$4	10-07 15:48
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 23, 2026?	2	$6	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	09-22 16:05
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.29% in October?	2	$6	20	20	+0	Yes	-$3	10-02 07:33
Will Palmer Luckey attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$5	20	20	+0	open	—	10-02 07:33
will the 10 year treasury yield dip below 4pt95 in october	2	$5	19	19	+0	Yes	-$1	10-02 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:55 UTC	1	$5	147	0	+147	Up	-$5	09-28 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	-$3	10-09 00:03
Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?	2	$5	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-23 00:42
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 7, 2026?	2	$5	20	20	+0	No	-$3	10-02 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	10-07 15:52
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026?	1	$3	20	0	+20	Yes	-$3	09-22 16:23
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 24, 2026?	3	$3	20	8	+12	Yes	-$1	09-22 16:38
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 23, 2026?	2	$3	20	20	+0	No	-$3	09-23 00:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 00:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x6c63bc…
10-09 00:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3ba28b…
10-07 15:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9be45e…
10-07 15:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x3e938a…
10-07 15:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x072dab…
10-07 15:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xe9f0c7…
10-07 15:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xebde9f…
10-02 11:41:36	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x5b887a…
10-02 10:49:56	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x8aff25…
10-02 10:49:47	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x13d2e8…
10-02 09:13:41	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xd93d2b…
10-02 08:17:00	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xe58acd…
10-02 07:45:05	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x7da30d…
10-02 07:45:02	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x8c065d…
10-02 07:37:51	will the house pass a reconciliation bill by october 310626182353439	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xbfb04b…
10-02 07:33:38	Will Palmer Luckey attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x2513e4…
10-02 07:33:33	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x6d9222…
10-02 07:33:27	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.29% in October?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xc7debc…
10-02 07:06:42	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt29 in october	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x8ff36a…
10-02 06:53:27	will the house pass a reconciliation bill by october 310626182353439	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x6426d7…
10-02 05:10:14	will the 10 year treasury yield dip below 4pt95 in october	Yes	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0x388508…
10-02 03:42:06	will palmer luckey attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xfe123e…
10-02 03:08:03	will the 10 year treasury yield dip below 4pt95 in october	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xcb17fb…
09-28 11:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0xeab1c4…
09-23 00:42:46	Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe2dd10…
09-23 00:42:37	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x3ca584…
09-22 20:45:08	Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x0a68b5…
09-22 16:38:09	Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x03749e…
09-22 16:34:39	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x202add…
09-22 16:23:34	Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x2386c8…
09-22 16:05:36	Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 24, 2026?	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xe80d30…
09-22 16:05:28	Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 23, 2026?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xf3b868…
09-22 15:55:06	Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x50a62f…
09-22 15:18:27	Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xed935c…
09-22 00:54:46	Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xee2809…
09-22 00:54:37	Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?	No	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xcc8520…
09-21 11:10:12	Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x6e54a5…
09-21 07:06:36	Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x30caae…
09-21 07:03:44	Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xeb010c…
09-21 07:03:32	Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?	No	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x726615…
09-21 04:25:19	saudi airspace closed by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xa911f5…
09-20 16:01:54	saudi airspace closed by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x6df6bb…