Devoted-Trail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$642

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

Trades

4,225

lifetime

Volume

$445.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 23:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

45% 100% +$404

Politics

38% 97% +$232

Sports

12% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% 100% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say ufc this week 20260612151047666	3	$4.7K	4,741	0	+4,741	open	—	06-16 14:56
will trump say sleepy joe or biden during the white house easter egg roll	13	$3.4K	1,741	1,741	+0	open	—	04-06 18:20
Will Marco Rubio say "Diplomacy" during press briefing today?	17	$3.0K	2,200	886	+1,314	Yes	+$104	05-05 21:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-02 22:19
will trump say go ahead 3 times during healthcare event	31	$2.9K	1,874	1,867	+7	open	—	04-24 01:07
will mrbeast say hundred or thousand or million 10 times during his next youtube video 20260616145800191	10	$2.7K	2,700	0	+2,700	open	—	06-27 16:05
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	6	$2.6K	2,682	0	+2,682	open	—	03-27 14:40
will donald trump publicly insult joe biden by july 31 2026 20260626210612716	6	$2.5K	2,556	0	+2,556	open	—	07-02 16:18
will trump post nuclear on truth social this week march 15	5	$2.4K	2,389	0	+2,389	open	—	03-12 13:39
will trump say heritage or culture during taoiseach events	22	$2.3K	2,422	0	+2,422	open	—	03-17 18:08
will fuck or fucking be said 10 times during the first episode of the joe rogan experience for the week april 5	5	$2.2K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	03-31 17:09
will xqc score a goal in the 2026 sidemen charity match	8	$2.1K	1,090	1,088	+2	open	—	04-18 16:33
will trump post military operation this week on truth social	4	$2.1K	2,082	0	+2,082	open	—	04-14 19:06
will trump say snake in march	4	$2.0K	2,039	0	+2,039	open	—	03-27 14:05
bitcoin above 72600 on april 15 2026 4pm et	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-16 17:10
bitcoin above 72200 on april 15 2026 4pm et	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-16 17:10
bitcoin above 73000 on april 15 2026 4pm et	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-17 08:30
will trump post never let you down on truth social this week march 8	11	$1.9K	900	1,083	-183	open	—	03-06 00:46
will trump post new york times this week on truth social	2	$1.9K	1,903	0	+1,903	open	—	04-13 22:55
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	8	$1.8K	1,892	0	+1,892	open	—	04-25 19:38
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	06-07 23:03
will trump say gay during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	4	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	04-21 15:24
will sketch score a goal in the 2026 sidemen charity match	10	$1.8K	900	899	+1	open	—	04-18 16:33
will the announcers say fitness during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032814	19	$1.7K	1,700	0	+1,700	open	—	07-03 20:37
will leavitt say china during the next white house press briefing 483	7	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	03-30 17:40
will trump say million or billion or trillion 27 times during kentucky visit	5	$1.4K	1,437	0	+1,437	open	—	03-11 23:58
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	5	$1.4K	717	717	+0	open	—	02-03 20:20
will trump post wall street on truth social this week march 15	4	$1.4K	1,374	0	+1,374	open	—	03-14 14:14
will mrbeast say thousand or million 10 times during his next video	4	$1.4K	1,385	0	+1,385	open	—	04-18 16:52
will trump say putin this week march 22	9	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	03-16 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 23:30:03	will bernie say tariff during minneapolis rally 20260719004357852	No	BUY	71	92¢	$65	0x2104c2…
07-20 23:25:22	will bernie say israel or netanyahu during minneapolis rally 20260719004357856	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x261a5d…
07-20 23:23:12	will bernie say ai or artificial intelligence during minneapolis rally 20260719004357853	Yes	BUY	199	97¢	$193	0x213843…
07-20 23:22:43	will bernie say climate during minneapolis rally 20260719004357858	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xfd6176…
07-20 23:20:25	will bernie say poverty during minneapolis rally 20260719004357855	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x187dae…
07-20 23:14:46	will bernie say supreme court during minneapolis rally 20260719004357857	Yes	BUY	138	99¢	$136	0xcbfc64…
07-20 23:14:24	will bernie say corrupt or corruption during minneapolis rally 20260719004357861	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x739d15…
07-20 23:13:48	will bernie say middle class or working class during minneapolis rally 20260719004357849	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x27e2ce…
07-16 21:24:44	will netflix say nfl football during earnings call 20260709145309023	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe416fd…
07-16 21:19:11	will netflix say ai artificial intelligence 5 times during earnings call 20260709145309021	Yes	BUY	190	95¢	$180	0xbddcc0…
07-16 21:15:53	will netflix say invest investment investing 10 times during earnings call 20260709145309020	Yes	BUY	123	98¢	$121	0x2258c2…
07-16 21:05:11	will netflix say podcast during earnings call 20260709145309029	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x200f5b…
07-16 21:03:44	will netflix say subscriber during earnings call 20260709145309027	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5e2aa2…
07-16 21:03:44	will netflix say subscriber during earnings call 20260709145309027	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d291b…
07-16 21:03:43	will netflix say subscriber during earnings call 20260709145309027	Yes	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0xe4bbab…
07-16 21:03:43	will netflix say subscriber during earnings call 20260709145309027	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xd6d55c…
07-16 21:03:43	will netflix say subscriber during earnings call 20260709145309027	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x02a044…
07-16 21:03:41	will netflix say subscriber during earnings call 20260709145309027	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xf51fe6…
07-16 20:46:59	will netflix say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260709145309022	Yes	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0x2a65bb…
07-16 20:46:58	will netflix say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260709145309022	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x4e020b…
07-16 17:54:14	will leavitt say cdc or who during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953938 875	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x54865f…
07-16 17:54:13	will leavitt say cdc or who during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953938 875	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa5461c…
07-16 17:54:11	will leavitt say cdc or who during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953938 875	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf6d566…
07-16 17:54:11	will leavitt say cdc or who during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953938 875	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7d37d4…
07-16 17:52:31	will leavitt say go ahead 5 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953933 695	Yes	BUY	162	99¢	$160	0x0c3b16…
07-16 17:42:53	will leavitt say hormuz or strait during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953944 687	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x744dc0…
07-16 17:37:43	will leavitt say administration 10 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953929 373	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9ac435…
07-16 17:37:43	will leavitt say administration 10 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953929 373	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4a1046…
07-16 17:37:43	will leavitt say administration 10 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953929 373	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0d8053…
07-16 17:37:41	will leavitt say administration 10 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953929 373	Yes	BUY	186	99¢	$184	0xe6d7f0…
07-16 17:32:29	will leavitt say congress during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953939 693	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x328908…
07-16 17:32:07	will leavitt say congress during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953939 693	Yes	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x0ad1b3…
07-16 17:23:49	will leavitt say alien during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953943 659	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xcdccbb…
07-16 17:23:47	will leavitt say alien during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953943 659	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0fea84…
07-16 17:23:38	will leavitt say border during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953947 584	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x88ec85…
07-15 19:36:49	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 15 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957167	Yes	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x7e53dc…
07-15 19:36:47	will honestly be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709162959371	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x42c8fa…
07-15 19:36:40	will china or chinese be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957184	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe36f18…
07-15 19:36:26	will money be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957174	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x73444b…
07-15 19:36:23	will trump be said 10 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957168	Yes	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xfc9afe…
07-15 19:36:23	will ukraine or ukrainian be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957186	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xb4e104…
07-15 19:36:19	will think be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709162959372	Yes	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x20daa7…
07-15 19:36:17	will world cup be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957175	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xaf8b73…
07-15 19:36:17	will iran or iranian be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957183	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x741360…
07-15 19:36:16	will blue be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957179	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x882e80…
07-15 19:36:16	will red be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957178	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6af3d5…
07-15 19:36:16	will problem be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957177	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x4d26d4…
07-15 19:36:16	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709162959369	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x15fc8d…
07-15 19:36:14	will different be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957176	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4fcbdf…
07-15 13:44:41	will conagra brands say ai or artificial intelligence during earnings call 20260703161814729	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xae7e7d…
07-15 13:44:40	will conagra brands say ai or artificial intelligence during earnings call 20260703161814729	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xf21192…
07-15 13:35:49	will conagra brands say inflation during earnings call 20260703161814714	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xde39ee…
07-15 13:35:49	will conagra brands say inflation during earnings call 20260703161814714	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x19ba86…
07-15 13:35:46	will conagra brands say inflation during earnings call 20260703161814714	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x30b5d0…
07-15 13:32:55	will conagra brands say volume during earnings call 20260703161814717	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x89d7a1…
07-14 23:50:52	will the announcers say messi during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716379	Yes	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xf7848a…
07-14 20:25:34	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716374	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xbb71ae…
07-14 20:22:41	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716374	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x2825b5…
07-14 20:22:31	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716374	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xe99bb9…
07-14 19:13:43	will the announcers say messi during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716379	Yes	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0x5b1c1e…
07-14 19:04:02	will the announcers say birthday during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713214517419	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x0983c2…
07-14 13:45:50	will bank of america say expansion during earnings call 20260710144833040	Yes	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0xfcd171…
07-14 13:43:41	will bank of america say expansion during earnings call 20260710144833040	Yes	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x3576d7…
07-14 12:53:19	will bank of america say ai or artificial intelligence 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833028	Yes	BUY	158	99¢	$156	0x6179b1…
07-12 11:04:34	will punish or punishing be said 5 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915154	Yes	BUY	1,399	89¢	$1,247	0xa8eb80…
07-12 10:58:04	will legendary be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915160	Yes	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0xa529e1…
07-12 10:28:10	will gold be said 30 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915150	Yes	BUY	145	99¢	$143	0x78d49b…
07-12 09:56:16	will dive be said 10 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915152	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$83	0x411315…
07-12 09:56:01	will dive be said 10 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915152	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x07823b…
07-12 09:55:59	will dive be said 10 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915152	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xb8a11a…
07-12 09:49:58	will spellbook be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915165	Yes	BUY	139	99¢	$137	0xebdc62…
07-12 09:36:10	will cleanse be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915161	Yes	BUY	139	99¢	$137	0x292bb7…
07-12 08:41:50	will level be said 15 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915151	Yes	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0xd5f924…
07-12 07:59:59	will four items or fourth item be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915158	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc267c5…
07-12 07:59:56	will dominating or domination be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915159	Yes	BUY	129	99¢	$127	0x7e9ea5…
07-12 07:59:46	will four items or fourth item be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915158	Yes	BUY	163	98¢	$160	0xd19a3d…
07-12 07:49:50	will soul be said 5 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915153	Yes	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0xc01d5d…
07-12 00:04:04	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543761	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xca3948…
07-11 23:14:31	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543761	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05a0cb…
07-11 23:07:35	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543748	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xf09c83…
07-11 23:03:53	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543761	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x37d39a…
07-11 22:40:16	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543761	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7bebcc…
07-11 22:28:04	will the announcers say ronaldo during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543767	Yes	BUY	123	98¢	$121	0x8d2c0c…
07-11 22:18:29	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543761	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xfe8e0c…
07-11 21:52:52	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4f8961…
07-11 21:52:04	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa8af78…
07-11 21:52:04	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa1e0c9…
07-11 21:52:04	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x955152…
07-11 21:52:02	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x12a143…
07-11 21:35:28	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543748	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x94bfac…
07-11 21:03:23	will the announcers say hot or heat during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543752	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x53b361…
07-11 02:44:28	will hundred or thousand or million be said 10 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212415	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x60ba9c…
07-11 02:40:40	will blue be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212420	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x51015f…
07-11 02:40:35	will ai be said 35 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212414	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xdec841…
07-11 02:40:31	will hundred or thousand or million be said 10 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212415	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1865b1…
07-11 02:40:29	will regulatory be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212422	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x6d6426…
07-11 02:40:25	will innovation be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212429	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xbdf667…
07-11 02:40:23	will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212418	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf7ba86…
07-11 02:40:22	will spacex be said 3 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212416	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$118	0x47976c…
07-11 02:40:19	will anthropic be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212421	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x603ea4…