Untried-Teapot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$171

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

Trades

4,996

lifetime

Volume

$28.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 06-30 21:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-171

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 966 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+36	$5	8¢	$3	$-2	06-30 21:55
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes		+8	$1	11¢	$1	$-0	06-30 21:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1777034700	11	$317	314	302	+12	open	—	04-24 12:59
btc updown 15m 1777045500	24	$266	491	229	+262	open	—	04-24 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	38	$262	486	180	+305	open	—	05-02 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	38	$217	384	0	+384	open	—	05-03 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	25	$212	321	0	+321	open	—	05-02 23:38
btc updown 15m 1777047300	30	$208	1,393	84	+1,309	open	—	04-24 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$200	222	0	+222	open	—	04-29 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	24	$181	292	0	+292	open	—	05-02 22:09
btc updown 5m 1772146500	7	$180	182	141	+41	open	—	02-26 23:00
btc updown 15m 1777032000	16	$164	269	0	+269	open	—	04-24 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	23	$164	342	0	+342	open	—	05-02 22:24
btc updown 5m 1772931000	7	$145	120	98	+22	open	—	03-08 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	5	$143	204	194	+10	open	—	04-24 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	24	$139	1,818	70	+1,748	open	—	05-03 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	38	$126	444	0	+444	open	—	05-02 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	35	$115	261	0	+261	open	—	05-03 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	5	$113	151	112	+39	open	—	04-25 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	39	$111	194	0	+194	open	—	05-03 13:11
btc updown 5m 1772154300	4	$105	334	91	+243	open	—	02-27 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	15	$101	264	0	+264	open	—	05-02 23:44
btc updown 15m 1771809300	3	$100	123	0	+123	open	—	02-23 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	4	$99	229	0	+229	open	—	04-29 17:08
doge updown 5m 1775437200	13	$98	9,803	0	+9,803	open	—	04-06 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	41	$97	178	0	+178	open	—	05-03 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	10	$96	156	0	+156	open	—	05-02 00:03
btc updown 5m 1772934300	2	$91	114	113	+1	open	—	03-08 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	31	$89	156	0	+156	open	—	05-03 00:24
btc updown 15m 1777046400	17	$88	4,207	0	+4,207	open	—	04-24 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	10	$88	152	0	+152	open	—	04-28 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	31	$85	155	0	+155	open	—	05-03 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:55:49	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdf471f…
06-30 21:55:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x7cef0f…
06-22 14:52:55	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x92d924…
06-22 14:52:22	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	BUY	187	3¢	$5	0xb821c9…
06-22 14:52:19	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x79f560…
06-22 14:52:10	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	Yes	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x9808d5…
06-22 14:52:08	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x353c2f…
06-12 15:27:16	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xed69af…
06-12 15:26:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcf0266…
06-12 15:26:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x49acfa…
06-12 15:26:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x41ea31…
06-12 15:26:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x195e57…
06-12 15:26:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x735119…
06-03 21:00:00	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x8b7745…
05-30 01:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	101	5¢	$5	0x6e6c2e…
05-30 01:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0xb55fbd…
05-30 01:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	266	4¢	$10	0xb6873a…
05-30 00:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x7b28fd…
05-30 00:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xa60003…
05-29 23:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	174	6¢	$10	0x00a99c…
05-29 23:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2f1b41…
05-29 23:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x755571…
05-29 23:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x859a2c…
05-29 23:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd0b9c4…
05-29 23:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	149	7¢	$10	0x799f9c…
05-24 21:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x58c471…
05-24 21:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xabb90d…
05-22 23:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xdf4e2d…
05-22 21:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0x30e0ab…
05-17 21:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x693ab8…
05-17 21:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x2e02d0…
05-17 21:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe32f98…
05-17 21:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xb98f29…
05-17 21:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x83c07c…
05-17 21:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x00a816…
05-17 21:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xfd37bd…
05-17 21:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x44f571…
05-06 23:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8fb5b0…
05-06 23:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa958ff…
05-06 23:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x182367…
05-06 23:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x3139ee…
05-06 23:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xec8838…
05-06 23:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x8b073b…
05-06 23:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x5d2bf3…
05-06 23:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x1b9839…
05-06 22:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xedf6ae…
05-06 22:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8a0264…
05-06 22:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xace456…
05-06 22:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0xc09e39…
05-06 22:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x09c091…
05-06 22:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x621a3c…
05-06 22:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x183d49…
05-06 22:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x8a48fa…
05-06 22:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd5bbbf…
05-06 22:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x8a71c4…
05-06 21:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x118c0a…
05-06 21:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x597f3f…
05-06 21:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0d670a…
05-06 21:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2d4129…
05-06 21:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x463b06…
05-06 21:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7f910e…
05-06 21:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xda8e9f…
05-06 21:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0xdaada5…
05-06 21:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xef1081…
05-06 21:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0x5bb451…
05-06 21:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x024450…
05-06 20:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xfc541f…
05-06 20:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x961765…
05-06 20:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x4c3a37…
05-06 20:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xb35636…
05-06 20:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x2608c4…
05-06 20:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x1a951d…
05-06 19:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x481779…
05-06 19:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf83023…
05-06 19:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xf9265b…
05-06 19:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xf6ff26…
05-06 19:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x766c39…
05-06 19:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xc0cfcd…
05-06 19:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x1f144a…
05-06 19:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xfdd45e…
05-06 19:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x8ef953…
05-06 19:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x4f3dd0…
05-06 19:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x7ae858…
05-06 19:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x5468a2…
05-06 19:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xaffbf7…
05-06 19:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xea6d11…
05-06 19:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xa4ac0a…
05-06 19:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xf909e1…
05-06 19:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x4b8e46…
05-06 18:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x27e863…
05-06 18:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x3e11ec…
05-06 18:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x2a7d5c…
05-06 18:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xdbb6e1…
05-06 18:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x821cec…
05-06 18:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x58002c…
05-06 18:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xeaf747…
05-06 18:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x888990…
05-06 18:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x05660c…
05-06 18:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf499b5…
05-06 18:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xb9f1a8…