Probable-Ford — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

Trades

679

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 06-28 13:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

81% 45% $-19

Sports

18% 100% +$8

Crypto

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	1	$165	254	0	+254	open	—	04-08 18:48
cze1 asp mfk 2026 04 05 asp	1	$150	197	0	+197	open	—	04-05 16:04
nhl stl ana 2026 04 03 total 4pt5	1	$138	175	0	+175	open	—	04-04 00:44
sea nap mil 2026 04 06 nap	2	$136	114	111	+3	open	—	04-06 20:59
cze1 mfk ssp 2026 02 14 ssp	2	$118	70	70	+0	open	—	02-14 19:27
cehl dyn spa 2026 04 04	1	$100	149	0	+149	open	—	04-04 14:51
nhl det buf 2026 03 27 total 5pt5	1	$100	169	0	+169	open	—	03-27 22:41
nhl chi nyr 2026 03 27 total 5pt5	1	$100	169	0	+169	open	—	03-27 22:41
nhl nyi buf 2026 03 31 total 4pt5	1	$100	123	0	+123	open	—	03-31 22:03
fif col fra 2026 03 29 fra	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-29 20:42
fif ger gha 2026 03 30 ger	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	03-30 14:39
wwoh swi usa 2026 02 09	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	02-09 17:22
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia	2	$98	58	58	+0	open	—	05-23 19:02
nhl sj cbj 2026 03 28 total 4pt5	1	$94	115	0	+115	open	—	03-28 13:54
cze1 asp fhk 2026 02 15 asp	2	$93	54	54	+0	open	—	02-15 20:32
nhl sj stl 2026 03 26 total 4pt5	1	$90	117	0	+117	open	—	03-27 00:12
fr2 lmf pau 2026 04 06 total 1pt5	2	$84	48	47	+0	open	—	04-06 20:59
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	2	$82	47	47	+0	open	—	03-15 17:09
lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	1	$80	111	0	+111	open	—	03-02 13:35
khl spa lok 2026 03 30	2	$79	104	0	+104	open	—	03-30 16:40
fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	2	$78	56	56	+0	open	—	06-18 17:18
mwoh usa ger 2026 02 15	2	$75	40	40	+0	open	—	02-15 21:30
wta rybakin pegula 2026 03 25	2	$75	45	45	+0	open	—	03-25 20:47
cze1 asp fcs 2026 03 15 total 2pt5	2	$74	47	47	+0	open	—	03-15 19:37
bun bay hof 2026 02 08 bay	2	$73	40	40	+0	open	—	02-08 18:40
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 1pt5	1	$71	100	0	+100	open	—	06-28 13:28
khl sib met 2026 03 28	2	$71	41	41	+0	open	—	03-28 13:56
mwoh cze den 2026 02 17	2	$70	42	42	+0	open	—	02-17 17:43
uel por1 stu3 2026 03 19 por1	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	03-19 22:35
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	1	$68	106	0	+106	open	—	06-23 19:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 13:28:43	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x6e8c5b…
06-28 10:33:58	chi qin zhe 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x9d56eb…
06-28 10:33:28	atp bergs humbert 2026 06 27	Ugo Humbert	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x822c06…
06-23 19:07:05	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	106	64¢	$68	0x065163…
06-23 17:25:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xaad792…
06-23 11:45:56	btc updown 5m 1782215100	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x83b78e…
06-23 11:45:53	btc updown 5m 1782215100	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x51f550…
06-23 11:45:44	btc updown 5m 1782215100	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x96f105…
06-23 10:56:37	wta salkova shymano 2026 06 23	Dominika Salkova	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xaff266…
06-23 09:51:31	wta ruse noskova 2026 06 22	Linda Noskova	BUY	46	57¢	$26	0xa87ab9…
06-23 06:11:38	btc updown 5m 1782195000	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xeeae19…
06-22 20:47:11	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7b9c54…
06-22 20:43:14	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x1c1aba…
06-22 20:43:05	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xd70829…
06-22 20:42:56	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x0fdea8…
06-22 16:42:55	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xbbee01…
06-22 16:42:17	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x625dbc…
06-22 16:42:10	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x786746…
06-22 02:01:56	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6e1883…
06-22 02:01:43	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe40281…
06-21 17:05:05	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb5391d…
06-21 15:51:58	wta osaka frech 2026 06 21 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x6eb894…
06-21 15:30:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe2d185…
06-21 15:29:59	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7dc156…
06-21 02:00:46	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xeca8d4…
06-20 21:11:50	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x210da8…
06-20 20:58:56	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x13f863…
06-20 20:54:59	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x86b64e…
06-20 20:53:56	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xa7178f…
06-20 18:47:02	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x1e5685…
06-20 18:46:58	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x7fa5ec…
06-20 18:46:53	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0xa8184a…
06-20 17:14:20	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x618eaa…
06-20 17:14:08	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xdbc607…
06-20 16:31:11	btc updown 5m 1781973000	Down	SELL	11	68¢	$8	0x462795…
06-20 16:30:35	btc updown 5m 1781973000	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf3f578…
06-20 15:14:14	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	49	75¢	$37	0xfb1285…
06-20 05:58:26	wta pliskov bouzkov 2026 06 20	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x9fd05e…
06-20 05:58:16	wta sabalen pegula 2026 06 20	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x3137d7…
06-19 22:26:56	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x4fe2d9…
06-19 22:00:13	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xa81c90…
06-19 18:27:17	bkbbl alb fc 2026 06 19	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1c710b…
06-19 18:07:44	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	38	73¢	$28	0xc84396…
06-19 18:05:31	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	57	69¢	$39	0x1bbbad…
06-19 16:00:38	atp paul fokina 2026 06 19	Tommy Paul	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa40d77…
06-19 14:51:35	atp altmaie medvede 2026 06 19	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x9189b6…
06-19 09:54:31	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x35cef4…
06-19 09:54:16	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe7c56e…
06-18 20:59:40	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x7bd7b1…
06-18 20:59:14	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x0d0402…
06-18 17:18:59	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	56	67¢	$38	0xbd142a…
06-18 15:56:38	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xdb9d12…
06-18 15:56:32	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x375535…
06-18 12:26:53	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x693408…
06-18 07:24:11	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x960867…
06-18 07:23:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xda898c…
06-18 07:15:40	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x112694…
06-18 07:14:31	wta noskova parry 2026 06 17	Linda Noskova	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x82c850…
06-17 03:38:01	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa50642…
06-16 19:13:31	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x3ddab2…
06-16 09:02:37	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x8b98ae…
06-15 22:15:31	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xd41d52…
06-15 07:18:00	wta sun kalinin 2026 06 13	Anhelina Kalinina	SELL	19	87¢	$17	0x0fd243…
06-14 23:17:43	wta parry seidel 2026 06 13	Diane Parry	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xe6ea4d…
06-14 20:54:18	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf683bd…
06-14 12:41:27	wta parry seidel 2026 06 13	Diane Parry	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf94ce7…
06-14 12:41:19	wta sun kalinin 2026 06 13	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb3f383…
06-14 08:58:40	bkbbl fc alb 2026 06 14	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xcbffc3…
06-13 21:52:55	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x10b6c4…
06-13 21:14:03	nhl car las 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x46085c…
06-12 15:24:33	btc updown 5m 1781277600	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x2e8f69…
06-12 15:21:36	btc updown 5m 1781277600	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa120f5…
06-11 16:30:45	nhl las car 2026 06 11 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xfd961e…
06-11 16:20:18	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x8ae9ba…
06-09 18:45:12	fif lbr sle 2026 06 09 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x4215f2…
06-09 15:05:52	Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x2ad6dc…
06-09 15:04:03	fif tjk ind 2026 06 09 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xe43511…
06-08 20:11:07	nhl car las 2026 06 09 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd21cc8…
06-08 20:10:37	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1792b5…
06-07 04:40:28	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Alexander Zverev	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0x3fbf20…
06-06 21:33:12	fif cvi ber 2026 06 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xfde8b3…
06-06 17:40:43	fif rom wal 2026 06 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xeb70cc…
06-06 13:19:42	wta hunter sasnovi 2026 06 06	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4ea2f6…
06-06 09:16:34	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x544e83…
06-06 09:16:03	atp barton molcan 2026 06 06	Alex Molcan	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2a3a68…
06-06 09:14:30	btc updown 5m 1780737000	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d0b91…
06-06 09:13:07	btc updown 5m 1780737000	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x776bd0…
06-06 09:07:15	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2fe836…
06-05 12:21:15	Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xf7672c…
06-04 23:04:54	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Hurricanes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x95e163…
06-04 23:04:42	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe19c2c…
06-04 05:18:36	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xc73b72…
06-01 12:48:58	Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider	Madison Keys	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xcc3c93…
05-31 07:47:30	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x003eca…
05-31 07:46:26	Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x1bf985…
05-30 19:32:48	World Championships: Canada vs. Finland	Canada	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xffb471…
05-30 13:27:57	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway	Switzerland	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xa38622…
05-30 13:16:19	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0xc3eba5…
05-29 15:35:36	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Tamara Korpatsch	Elina Svitolina	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x45c398…
05-29 15:34:26	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Casper Ruud	BUY	36	75¢	$27	0xaf2cec…