Probable-Ford — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$362

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

615

Trades

739

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 07-12 14:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

84% 61% -$579

Sports

16% 67% +$214

Crypto

0% 50% +$2

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	2	$303	163	163	+0	Yes	+$23	06-23 19:05
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	1	$165	254	0	+254	No	-$165	04-08 18:48
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$158	103	103	+0	England	+$18	07-11 23:13
cze1 asp mfk 2026 04 05 asp	1	$150	197	0	+197	Yes	+$47	04-05 16:04
nhl stl ana 2026 04 03 total 4pt5	1	$138	175	0	+175	Over	+$37	04-04 00:44
sea nap mil 2026 04 06 nap	2	$136	114	111	+3	Yes	+$89	04-06 20:59
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$125	82	82	+0	Yes	+$25	07-10 20:54
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	2	$119	71	71	+0	Yes	+$23	06-24 01:01
cze1 mfk ssp 2026 02 14 ssp	2	$118	70	70	+0	Yes	+$22	02-14 19:27
cehl dyn spa 2026 04 04	1	$100	149	0	+149	Sparta Prague	-$100	04-04 14:51
nhl chi nyr 2026 03 27 total 5pt5	1	$100	169	0	+169	Over	+$69	03-27 22:41
nhl det buf 2026 03 27 total 5pt5	1	$100	169	0	+169	Over	+$69	03-27 22:41
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$100	163	0	+163	Yes	+$63	07-09 15:05
nhl nyi buf 2026 03 31 total 4pt5	1	$100	123	0	+123	Over	+$23	03-31 22:03
fif col fra 2026 03 29 fra	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	03-29 20:42
fif ger gha 2026 03 30 ger	1	$100	116	0	+116	Yes	+$16	03-30 14:39
wwoh swi usa 2026 02 09	2	$100	51	51	+0	USA	$0	02-09 17:22
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia	2	$98	58	58	+0	Czechia	+$18	05-23 19:02
nhl sj cbj 2026 03 28 total 4pt5	1	$94	115	0	+115	Over	+$21	03-28 13:54
cze1 asp fhk 2026 02 15 asp	2	$93	54	54	+0	Yes	+$13	02-15 20:32
nhl sj stl 2026 03 26 total 4pt5	1	$90	117	0	+117	Under	-$90	03-27 00:12
Morocco leading at halftime?	2	$89	70	70	+0	Yes	+$29	06-19 22:26
fr2 lmf pau 2026 04 06 total 1pt5	2	$84	48	47	+0	Over	+$10	04-06 20:59
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	2	$82	47	47	+0	Yes	+$11	03-15 17:09
lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	1	$80	111	0	+111	No	-$80	03-02 13:35
khl spa lok 2026 03 30	2	$79	104	0	+104	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	+$25	03-30 16:40
fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	2	$78	56	56	+0	Over	-$2	06-18 17:18
mwoh usa ger 2026 02 15	2	$75	40	40	+0	USA	+$3	02-15 21:30
wta rybakin pegula 2026 03 25	2	$75	45	45	+0	Elena Rybakina	+$15	03-25 20:47
cze1 asp fcs 2026 03 15 total 2pt5	2	$74	47	47	+0	Over	+$20	03-15 19:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:18:58	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0xfe1857…
07-11 23:13:50	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	SELL	103	86¢	$88	0xa2ab3f…
07-11 20:23:53	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	103	68¢	$70	0x736000…
07-11 20:23:31	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	43	68¢	$29	0xb99510…
07-11 13:03:31	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11	Karolina Muchova	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0x30aa6b…
07-10 20:54:08	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	82	91¢	$75	0xaaccce…
07-10 17:35:28	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x523c8f…
07-10 17:35:20	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xf659d3…
07-10 17:35:13	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x1e484b…
07-10 17:35:07	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xce4953…
07-09 15:05:01	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0x874c87…
07-09 15:04:55	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	132	47¢	$62	0x6e73af…
07-07 20:08:41	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xaf2f86…
07-04 20:16:34	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xef8f40…
06-28 13:28:43	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x6e8c5b…
06-28 10:33:58	chi qin zhe 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x9d56eb…
06-28 10:33:28	atp bergs humbert 2026 06 27	Ugo Humbert	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x822c06…
06-28 00:17:55	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	71	48¢	$34	0x21296c…
06-26 20:23:14	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xa3f2ee…
06-26 19:02:43	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0x8a3de5…
06-24 19:39:29	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	70	84¢	$59	0xaeff88…
06-24 01:01:47	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	109	64¢	$70	0x89469a…
06-24 01:01:25	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xb02707…
06-23 22:02:13	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	71	68¢	$48	0x78dd0d…
06-23 21:26:14	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x78c2a1…
06-23 19:07:05	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	106	64¢	$68	0x065163…
06-23 19:05:44	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0x167d8d…
06-23 17:25:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xaad792…
06-23 11:45:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x83b78e…
06-23 11:45:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x51f550…
06-23 11:45:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x96f105…
06-23 11:35:04	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	163	86¢	$140	0xaa574b…
06-23 10:56:37	wta salkova shymano 2026 06 23	Dominika Salkova	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xaff266…
06-23 09:51:31	wta ruse noskova 2026 06 22	Linda Noskova	BUY	46	57¢	$26	0xa87ab9…
06-23 06:11:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xeeae19…
06-22 20:47:11	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7b9c54…
06-22 20:43:23	France leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x64e9a9…
06-22 20:43:14	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x1c1aba…
06-22 20:43:05	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xd70829…
06-22 20:42:56	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x0fdea8…
06-22 17:48:20	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$18	0x9c749b…
06-22 17:45:29	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	49	83¢	$40	0x568346…
06-22 16:42:55	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xbbee01…
06-22 16:42:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	49	68¢	$33	0xd3a1ee…
06-22 16:42:22	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x23d016…
06-22 16:42:17	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x625dbc…
06-22 16:42:10	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x786746…
06-22 02:01:56	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6e1883…
06-22 02:01:43	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe40281…
06-21 17:05:05	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb5391d…
06-21 17:04:55	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x859c5b…
06-21 15:51:58	wta osaka frech 2026 06 21 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x6eb894…
06-21 15:30:16	Spain leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x87f1c8…
06-21 15:30:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe2d185…
06-21 15:29:59	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7dc156…
06-21 02:00:55	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x6b1124…
06-21 02:00:46	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xeca8d4…
06-20 21:11:50	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x210da8…
06-20 20:58:56	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x13f863…
06-20 20:54:59	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x86b64e…
06-20 20:53:56	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xa7178f…
06-20 18:47:23	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x2982ce…
06-20 18:47:08	Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x714ed6…
06-20 18:47:02	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x1e5685…
06-20 18:46:58	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x7fa5ec…
06-20 18:46:53	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0xa8184a…
06-20 17:14:20	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x618eaa…
06-20 17:14:08	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xdbc607…
06-20 16:31:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	11	68¢	$8	0x462795…
06-20 16:30:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf3f578…
06-20 15:14:34	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xc6346d…
06-20 15:14:14	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	49	75¢	$37	0xfb1285…
06-20 05:58:26	wta pliskov bouzkov 2026 06 20	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x9fd05e…
06-20 05:58:16	wta sabalen pegula 2026 06 20	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x3137d7…
06-19 22:26:56	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x4fe2d9…
06-19 22:26:34	Morocco leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	70	85¢	$59	0xec4ba3…
06-19 22:00:32	Morocco leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x4639a0…
06-19 22:00:13	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xa81c90…
06-19 18:27:17	bkbbl alb fc 2026 06 19	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1c710b…
06-19 18:07:44	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	38	73¢	$28	0xc84396…
06-19 18:05:31	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	57	69¢	$39	0x1bbbad…
06-19 16:00:38	atp paul fokina 2026 06 19	Tommy Paul	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa40d77…
06-19 14:51:35	atp altmaie medvede 2026 06 19	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x9189b6…
06-19 09:54:31	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x35cef4…
06-19 09:54:16	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe7c56e…
06-18 20:59:40	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x7bd7b1…
06-18 20:59:14	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x0d0402…
06-18 17:18:59	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	56	67¢	$38	0xbd142a…
06-18 17:18:41	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	SELL	47	76¢	$36	0x30f622…
06-18 15:56:38	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xdb9d12…
06-18 15:56:32	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x375535…
06-18 12:27:04	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xb5d81a…
06-18 12:26:53	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x693408…
06-18 07:24:11	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x960867…
06-18 07:23:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xda898c…
06-18 07:15:40	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x112694…
06-18 07:14:31	wta noskova parry 2026 06 17	Linda Noskova	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x82c850…
06-17 12:58:01	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x0e248a…
06-17 03:38:01	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa50642…
06-16 20:58:28	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x6fe573…