Marvelous-Savage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$694

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

417

Trades

1,131

lifetime

Volume

$24.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 11-12 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 58% -$441

Other

5% 19% -$277

Sports

1% 42% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 00:40 UTC	7	$594	337	337	+0	Up	+$74	06-26 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:40 UTC	6	$511	304	304	+0	Up	+$91	06-25 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	7	$489	280	280	+0	Up	+$29	10-19 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:35 UTC	7	$434	295	295	+0	Up	+$14	06-25 09:40
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	4	$404	556	556	+0	No	-$76	06-24 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 00:35 UTC	7	$379	234	234	+0	Down	+$19	06-26 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 08:40 UTC	8	$372	318	318	+0	Up	+$38	06-25 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 08:25 UTC	8	$333	280	280	+0	Down	-$7	06-26 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	7	$295	329	151	+178	Up	-$225	06-26 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:40 UTC	4	$284	161	160	+2	Up	+$4	04-22 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 07:50 UTC	8	$282	209	209	+0	Up	+$32	06-25 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 08:45 UTC	4	$281	173	173	+0	Up	+$61	06-25 08:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:25 UTC	2	$279	146	145	+1	Up	+$10	04-17 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$257	154	154	+0	Up	+$47	06-24 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 10:35 UTC	8	$255	187	187	+0	Up	-$45	06-24 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:35 UTC	2	$245	139	137	+2	Up	+$27	04-22 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	6	$239	181	181	+0	Down	+$19	10-27 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 10:30 UTC	4	$227	125	125	+0	Up	+$17	06-24 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$224	128	128	+0	Down	+$24	06-26 00:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 15:15 UTC	3	$219	156	102	+53	Down	-$41	04-21 15:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:00 UTC	4	$217	152	150	+2	Down	-$23	04-22 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	5	$217	113	113	+0	Down	+$7	06-24 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$212	126	126	+0	Down	+$2	10-19 09:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:45 UTC	2	$206	107	106	+0	Up	+$4	04-22 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 08:15 UTC	2	$206	145	145	+0	Down	+$6	06-26 08:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 08:50 UTC	2	$202	104	103	+0	Up	+$1	04-22 08:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 00:35 UTC	4	$200	152	148	+4	Up	+$15	04-22 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 08:10 UTC	2	$191	100	99	+1	Up	+$6	04-22 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 08:45 UTC	2	$189	104	103	+1	Up	+$14	04-22 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 07:40 UTC	4	$178	99	99	+0	Up	+$18	06-24 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 15:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	46	5¢	$2	0xbaf2db…
11-12 15:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0x03d51e…
11-12 15:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	56	49¢	$27	0xdd630c…
11-12 15:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xd0761e…
11-12 15:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x6de2b4…
11-12 15:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7152c1…
11-12 15:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x63fea6…
11-12 15:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xaab0cf…
11-12 15:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x56d610…
11-12 15:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe1d495…
11-12 15:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xe8daf2…
11-12 15:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf7972f…
11-04 18:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x2bd923…
11-04 18:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x18d85e…
11-04 18:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0x82fd7f…
11-04 18:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x24c70c…
11-04 17:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3a39f6…
11-04 17:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x4621fa…
11-04 17:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	21	34¢	$7	0xdfae12…
11-04 17:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x4e9297…
11-04 17:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xae1054…
11-04 17:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa703be…
11-04 17:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x540449…
11-04 17:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x5b8da7…
11-04 17:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x55e768…
11-04 17:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3a513f…
11-04 17:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xb42c84…
11-04 16:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x41e6ed…
10-28 12:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x6e7c58…
10-28 12:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x7b79af…
10-28 12:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xf46fee…
10-28 12:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	38	83¢	$31	0xd406ed…
10-28 12:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xe76c97…
10-28 12:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38	67¢	$26	0x14bc23…
10-28 12:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x03edeb…
10-28 12:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	39	45¢	$18	0x9e9e9e…
10-28 11:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x19b54a…
10-28 11:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe0d2dc…
10-28 11:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x9c2532…
10-28 11:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4e2f29…
10-28 10:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x75f529…
10-28 10:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe78f50…
10-28 10:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0xc2ed94…
10-28 10:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xdde7a2…
10-28 10:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xcc7a97…
10-28 10:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	48	87¢	$41	0xefcb72…
10-28 10:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x94bcdd…
10-28 10:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x81f4c3…
10-28 10:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x934a87…
10-28 10:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3461da…
10-28 00:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x639595…
10-28 00:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x339984…
10-28 00:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x296cf4…
10-28 00:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x6126c1…
10-28 00:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0x483d59…
10-28 00:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	121	60¢	$73	0x853df5…
10-28 00:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xfc2d7d…
10-28 00:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x91e40e…
10-28 00:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x8c64ac…
10-28 00:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xd62bf2…
10-28 00:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	64	91¢	$58	0x1dac6f…
10-28 00:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xc15d71…
10-27 23:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xc28be1…
10-27 23:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xf26a37…
10-27 23:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	79	75¢	$59	0x126cf4…
10-27 23:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x5baf5c…
10-27 23:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	62	49¢	$31	0x1d1465…
10-27 23:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x1476d3…
10-27 23:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x787d1e…
10-27 23:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x809ba2…
10-27 23:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x66ac0a…
10-27 23:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x067444…
10-27 23:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x72c79e…
10-27 23:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	78	88¢	$68	0xfba1f0…
10-27 23:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xd45ee0…
10-27 23:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xa64882…
10-27 23:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x10ef63…
10-27 23:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	55	98¢	$53	0xc4c528…
10-27 23:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	55	92¢	$50	0xfb44af…
10-27 23:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xc70cc3…
10-27 23:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x6019f7…
10-27 23:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x617005…
10-27 23:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xb3ead3…
10-27 23:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9a5e52…
10-27 23:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x85077e…
10-27 23:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	59	18¢	$10	0x56b6f0…
10-27 23:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xf1680f…
10-27 20:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x87b1cb…
10-27 20:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	62	12¢	$7	0x852f45…
10-27 20:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	53¢	$33	0x11b3b2…
10-27 20:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	35	77¢	$27	0xeb2499…
10-27 20:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x002c20…
10-27 19:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x703a71…
10-27 19:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xe6dbd6…
10-27 19:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xffb0d6…
10-27 19:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0xababad…
10-27 19:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x177569…
10-27 19:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x5fb2a9…
10-27 19:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xdc1f1d…
10-27 19:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0x4f1d0e…