(anonymous) 0x2437e9…d06f03 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$240
Unrealized P&L
+$355
Hit rate
31.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
167
lifetime
Volume
$6.59K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$3.17K
28 positions
First seen
2026-10-17
last 11-03 19:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
64% 50% -$3
Other
35% 33% -$237
Crypto
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? No +1,116 $757 76¢ $848 +$91 11-03 19:30
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? No +693 $568 90¢ $620 +$52 10-23 13:11
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? No +502 $321 68¢ $344 +$23 11-03 19:38
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? No +507 $172 50¢ $256 +$84 11-01 23:27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +505 $97 38¢ $194 +$97 11-01 10:46
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? No +1,013 $162 15¢ $147 -$15 11-01 18:14
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? No +413 $153 34¢ $138 -$15 11-03 19:43
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes +186 $97 58¢ $109 +$12 11-01 15:52
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +1,000 $105 10¢ $98 -$7 11-03 11:57
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? No +512 $76 16¢ $79 +$3 11-03 19:28
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +709 $50 8¢ $60 +$11 11-01 18:32
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? No — +135 $38 36¢ $49 +$11 11-03 11:39
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +501 $30 6¢ $33 +$3 11-03 19:45
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes +115 $25 26¢ $29 +$4 11-02 23:38
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +545 $23 5¢ $29 +$6 11-03 01:40
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? No +40 $24 60¢ $24 +$0 11-01 20:40
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +170 $26 12¢ $21 -$4 11-01 18:37
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +33 $20 64¢ $21 +$0 11-03 19:29
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? Yes — +50 $20 38¢ $19 -$1 11-03 11:49
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? No +60 $14 26¢ $15 +$2 11-01 14:21
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? Yes +500 $10 2¢ $10 +$0 11-03 19:38
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +470 $11 2¢ $9 -$2 11-03 19:28
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +93 $8 9¢ $8 $0 11-03 19:30
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 94¢ $6 $0 10-17 01:16
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +80 $2 2¢ $1 $0 11-03 20:51
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +177 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-19 15:07
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +0 $0 80¢ $0 $0 11-03 00:03
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 11-03 19:07