Plump-Corsage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

41.8%

Resolved

101

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$40.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-27 06:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

73% 60% +$1

Other

26% 36% -$8

Crypto

1% 87% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-2	-$1	39¢	$-1	+$0	09-28 19:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	8	$13.2K	6,936	6,936	+0	Yes	+$0	02-10 15:41
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	4	$10.8K	5,400	5,400	+0	No	+$0	02-11 16:46
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	2	$5.3K	2,700	2,700	+0	No	+$0	02-14 18:09
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$4.8K	2,491	2,491	+0	No	+$0	02-09 17:33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?	4	$428	218	218	+0	No	+$0	10-10 03:52
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 6?	2	$395	500	300	+200	Yes	+$108	10-04 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 1?	3	$264	164	164	+0	Yes	+$64	10-01 05:07
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 1?	9	$263	164	164	+0	Yes	+$63	10-01 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 25?	8	$242	185	185	+0	Yes	+$126	10-25 06:53
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$214	110	110	+0	open	—	05-09 03:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	2	$196	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-13 09:47
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 28?	3	$164	270	0	+270	Yes	+$106	09-27 12:12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 12?	3	$161	335	157	+178	No	-$61	10-11 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	23	$155	223	223	+0	Yes	+$10	10-01 16:23
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$128	65	65	+0	No	$0	01-08 09:47
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 5?	3	$110	209	0	+209	No	-$105	10-03 20:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 30?	1	$108	233	0	+233	No	-$108	09-29 02:15
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 10?	1	$108	220	0	+220	No	-$108	10-08 11:08
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 28?	2	$103	281	9	+271	No	-$97	09-27 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30?	2	$103	235	0	+235	Yes	+$131	09-28 23:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?	3	$102	466	0	+466	Yes	+$364	10-09 21:48
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 29?	1	$100	204	0	+204	No	-$100	09-27 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30?	1	$100	196	0	+196	No	-$100	09-28 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 29?	1	$100	195	0	+195	No	-$100	09-27 23:26
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28?	1	$100	155	0	+155	Yes	+$55	09-27 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 26?	1	$99	150	0	+150	No	+$51	10-25 05:45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?	4	$98	367	200	+167	Yes	+$126	10-09 00:48
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	5	$97	318	130	+188	open	—	10-26 21:18
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 16?	2	$96	133	0	+133	No	+$37	10-15 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 11?	1	$96	216	0	+216	No	-$96	10-10 08:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	142	50¢	$71	0x3392dc…
10-27 06:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe66d31…
10-27 06:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8f64f8…
10-27 05:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	238	11¢	$27	0x76f176…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xd4daa0…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xc5cd4e…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x6e0bc5…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x6537b3…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x4a0dae…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x3b46bf…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x006698…
10-27 05:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x363ca5…
10-27 05:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x27500e…
10-27 05:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1d7e98…
10-27 05:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	275	13¢	$35	0x7664e4…
10-27 04:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	183	14¢	$26	0x9222e3…
10-26 21:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	130	36¢	$47	0x322cbb…
10-26 03:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xd0bb64…
10-26 03:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x4673ca…
10-26 03:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x7d866b…
10-26 03:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	298	16¢	$47	0x5d94f3…
10-26 02:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	325	13¢	$43	0xd13453…
10-25 11:06:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	109	29¢	$32	0x67178b…
10-25 10:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x02cdaf…
10-25 08:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xacbd2c…
10-25 08:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x73372e…
10-25 06:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	185	100¢	$184	0x30be48…
10-25 05:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	150	66¢	$99	0x1e3c94…
10-25 05:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	151	15¢	$23	0x8e02c0…
10-25 03:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x8b7875…
10-24 11:41:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0x03eedb…
10-24 05:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xefc675…
10-24 05:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xac70ec…
10-24 04:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xaa85ac…
10-24 04:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0x2d4d1e…
10-24 04:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x1efe06…
10-24 04:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0x45bfe9…
10-24 04:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x319fc5…
10-24 03:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	55	29¢	$16	0xf082f9…
10-24 03:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xe60d7d…
10-24 03:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	150	30¢	$45	0x0da955…
10-23 06:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	150	12¢	$18	0x9c875f…
10-23 06:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0xb2c34b…
10-23 06:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	390	13¢	$51	0x17bb6c…
10-23 06:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	87	15¢	$13	0x62a901…
10-23 05:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb8c3ae…
10-23 04:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x26ff0d…
10-23 04:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x218dfa…
10-23 04:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x89d312…
10-23 04:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x654456…
10-23 04:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4cebe1…
10-23 04:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8c1b69…
10-23 03:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x65c6be…
10-23 03:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	348	22¢	$76	0x675b7d…
10-23 03:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	102	29¢	$30	0x47835e…
10-23 02:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xa95dd9…
10-23 01:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x36b727…
10-23 00:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	45	30¢	$13	0xa0e3b7…
10-23 00:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0xe7e637…
10-23 00:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	34	39¢	$13	0x9f10b7…
10-22 15:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	35	44¢	$16	0x7cfb9e…
10-22 04:24:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	45	54¢	$24	0x556f59…
10-19 00:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0xd20d48…
10-19 00:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	95	6¢	$5	0x22e12e…
10-15 03:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 16?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x0fb23d…
10-14 23:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 16?	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x53fe19…
10-13 18:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xe93061…
10-13 16:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x4b573b…
10-13 16:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xc34c82…
10-13 07:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x6774a6…
10-13 07:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	117	26¢	$30	0x53f087…
10-12 22:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	120	52¢	$62	0x129aae…
10-12 18:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	127	26¢	$33	0x5077f8…
10-12 10:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	No	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0xe5869c…
10-12 09:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x80e577…
10-12 09:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 13?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xddc790…
10-12 09:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 13?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0x2494b7…
10-12 09:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 13?	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x40866d…
10-12 09:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 13?	No	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0xa322d8…
10-11 11:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 13?	No	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0xd789ee…
10-11 09:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	130	32¢	$41	0xe18f1e…
10-11 09:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	177	46¢	$82	0xc1986b…
10-10 19:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	157	32¢	$50	0xb3f08e…
10-10 18:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	35	33¢	$12	0x7011a4…
10-10 11:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	205	34¢	$70	0xbe5d94…
10-10 08:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	216	44¢	$96	0x87d022…
10-10 08:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	181	33¢	$59	0x44b9bf…
10-10 03:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?	No	SELL	193	98¢	$190	0x7f9302…
10-10 03:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xeb3535…
10-10 03:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x355851…
10-09 22:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?	No	BUY	218	98¢	$214	0x8e6761…
10-09 21:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xaad5d0…
10-09 21:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	300	20¢	$59	0x064fc7…
10-09 09:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	156	26¢	$40	0xfc138d…
10-09 01:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x92ab38…
10-09 01:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xbe0752…
10-09 00:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x9ad6ec…
10-08 15:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	128	5¢	$6	0xdb68e4…
10-08 11:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	220	49¢	$108	0x6d0b97…
10-08 10:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	80	38¢	$30	0xbde033…