Sympathetic-Clay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

976

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-11 03:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$2

Politics

42% 100% +$1

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	124	$2.8K	1,446	1,473	-27	open	—	06-18 05:13
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	140	$2.2K	1,155	1,169	-15	open	—	06-20 05:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	113	$1.9K	986	1,043	-57	open	—	06-14 21:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	67	$1.3K	762	586	+177	open	—	06-18 00:41
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	60	$1.1K	584	562	+22	open	—	06-14 11:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	39	$1.0K	522	522	+0	open	—	06-18 06:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	44	$862	498	393	+105	open	—	05-04 16:56
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	34	$750	393	393	+0	open	—	06-09 16:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	24	$565	337	249	+89	open	—	05-21 16:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	18	$450	263	211	+52	open	—	05-22 03:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	18	$426	235	209	+26	open	—	05-11 09:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	30	$412	232	197	+36	open	—	04-28 10:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	12	$326	181	156	+26	open	—	05-05 00:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	14	$291	164	138	+26	open	—	05-08 21:23
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	14	$284	162	136	+26	open	—	06-29 12:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	23	$278	201	88	+113	open	—	05-21 14:51
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	13	$253	131	131	+0	open	—	05-14 15:16
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	10	$251	130	130	-0	open	—	04-30 09:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	13	$238	124	124	+1	open	—	04-28 07:41
Iran leadership change by June 30?	14	$197	104	101	+3	open	—	06-09 12:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	13	$190	111	85	+26	open	—	04-28 08:49
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	02-27 22:48
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	4	$177	79	105	-26	open	—	06-15 02:46
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	9	$156	80	80	+0	open	—	04-27 22:22
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	6	$151	78	78	+0	open	—	04-30 09:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	7	$150	79	79	+0	No	+$0	05-02 06:24
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	13	$150	78	78	+0	open	—	05-15 21:17
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	7	$150	78	78	+0	open	—	04-30 02:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	6	$150	78	78	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 18:05
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	6	$146	77	73	+4	Down	+$0	05-04 18:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 03:38:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xb40e65…
07-01 14:43:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xebbf16…
06-29 12:30:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xe1b67c…
06-29 12:29:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x3a8679…
06-29 11:26:25	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x371151…
06-29 10:59:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xb1f364…
06-29 10:55:56	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf788ee…
06-29 10:38:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x23ef9a…
06-29 10:38:43	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x203e5b…
06-29 10:37:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x3e2059…
06-29 10:35:35	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x049040…
06-29 10:22:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x853b54…
06-29 10:22:19	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x272bd3…
06-29 10:20:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3a6fa8…
06-28 07:09:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xc20342…
06-21 09:19:44	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0xe156da…
06-20 22:23:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xbf4e67…
06-20 05:32:41	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xd339fa…
06-18 06:50:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xba6a78…
06-18 05:28:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xca0fd6…
06-18 05:13:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf3dd67…
06-18 02:37:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0x4f2b5e…
06-18 02:35:32	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x14fae3…
06-18 02:27:02	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	76	97¢	$74	0x85cfaf…
06-18 02:25:20	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xdfc78b…
06-18 02:24:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x93675a…
06-18 02:24:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x4fb2bc…
06-18 02:19:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xbe9a5e…
06-18 01:44:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x40c91f…
06-18 01:39:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xcfcf5e…
06-18 00:41:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x6959f4…
06-18 00:27:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x242c3a…
06-18 00:11:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x017076…
06-17 23:56:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	96¢	$76	0x05809b…
06-17 23:55:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x247c86…
06-17 23:49:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x2bf93a…
06-17 23:34:25	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x31d0e7…
06-17 23:33:29	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xd65dcb…
06-17 22:51:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x40f53d…
06-17 22:37:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x204be0…
06-17 22:08:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	78	96¢	$75	0xf6c6c2…
06-17 22:01:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x0dd370…
06-17 22:01:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x75c33c…
06-17 22:00:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xcd41f7…
06-17 22:00:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x7599e8…
06-17 21:58:25	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xf74889…
06-17 21:46:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0x41f822…
06-17 21:45:29	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x943d65…
06-17 21:37:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x0a04ff…
06-17 21:18:43	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x27ed3c…
06-17 21:18:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x9b55ed…
06-17 21:18:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x57a1f5…
06-17 21:18:37	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x6a67ae…
06-17 21:18:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x2d9496…
06-17 21:14:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	101	96¢	$96	0xf15450…
06-17 20:57:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x17d85b…
06-17 20:56:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x3c72dc…
06-17 20:56:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x4e77c9…
06-17 20:55:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xace10c…
06-17 20:54:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x1a2d23…
06-17 20:53:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xdabc91…
06-17 20:51:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x7d578e…
06-17 20:35:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xe6dd90…
06-17 20:32:25	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xcea599…
06-17 20:31:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xc5027d…
06-17 20:30:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x70dacf…
06-17 20:29:32	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xb834ab…
06-17 20:29:29	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$16	0xe62e1d…
06-17 20:27:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8ab071…
06-17 20:22:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x314159…
06-17 19:42:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x3355af…
06-17 19:35:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xdf73d0…
06-17 19:26:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x501fec…
06-17 19:08:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x702cd4…
06-17 19:08:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0xb6e1f9…
06-17 18:34:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x5b7e82…
06-17 18:27:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xbcee48…
06-17 17:56:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0xbdd27c…
06-17 17:45:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x4612e1…
06-17 17:39:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbd7812…
06-17 17:39:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x708864…
06-17 17:39:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x693486…
06-17 17:37:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xe63c35…
06-17 17:37:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x4a6759…
06-17 17:36:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xf48034…
06-17 17:35:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x7af7e4…
06-17 17:33:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xcf2f1c…
06-17 17:17:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x7a163e…
06-17 17:05:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xf4f469…
06-17 16:46:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	77	97¢	$75	0x1414bc…
06-17 16:37:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x9e50be…
06-17 16:36:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x9706bf…
06-17 16:33:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xf10757…
06-17 16:32:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x054492…
06-17 16:32:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xbfaa0b…
06-17 16:31:43	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0xf714ff…
06-17 16:03:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xd18920…
06-17 16:02:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x3ae35c…
06-17 16:02:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xd3fb43…
06-17 16:01:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x7d0d15…