Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
974
lifetime
Volume
$19.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.13K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 06-29 12:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
50% 100% +$2
Politics
42% 100% +$1
Tech
4%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +267 $256 100¢ $266 +$10 06-20 05:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +250 $239 100¢ $249 +$10 06-18 00:41
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No +171 $165 100¢ $171 +$6 06-14 11:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +131 $124 100¢ $130 +$7 06-14 21:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +97 $92 96¢ $93 +$1 06-18 06:50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -70 $-70 100¢ $-70 +$0 06-18 05:13
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +53 $49 100¢ $53 +$3 06-29 12:30
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +47 $45 100¢ $47 +$2 06-09 12:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -26 $-26 100¢ $-26 $-0 06-08 16:40
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +26 $25 100¢ $26 +$1 06-10 23:32