Realized P&L
+$1.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$74
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
31
Trades
75
lifetime
Volume
$106.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.41K
Open exposure
$6.10K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-30 02:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Tech
51% 100% +$734
Other
27% 94% +$70
Crypto
21% 100% +$211
Politics
2% 100% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,345 $1,983 90¢ $2.1K +$127 10-26 11:36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,064 $1,000 94¢ $1.0K +$5 10-30 02:00
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +1,250 $1,000 75¢ $938 -$62 10-27 06:55
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +843 $725 88¢ $746 +$21 10-26 11:37
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +515 $500 96¢ $493 -$7 10-30 02:04
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +333 $322 95¢ $315 -$8 10-27 06:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +309 $300 97¢ $300 +$0 10-27 07:03
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +203 $200 97¢ $198 -$2 10-27 06:58