Quiet-Lane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.26K

Unrealized P&L

+$239

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved

235

Trades

1,783

lifetime

Volume

$304.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$170

Open exposure

$1.72K

14 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 10-26 19:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

86% 41% -$4,925

Crypto

8% 49% -$1,323

Politics

5% 72% +$1,981

Sports

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	+560	$430	96¢	$540	+$110	10-26 19:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+600	$467	86¢	$516	+$49	09-14 19:28
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+300	$234	98¢	$294	+$60	08-27 01:13
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	+270	$246	93¢	$250	+$5	10-24 22:38
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$50	16¢	$33	-$17	08-29 02:39
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	+30	$23	88¢	$26	+$4	09-22 06:02
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	+20	$15	84¢	$17	+$1	10-21 23:28
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	+20	$16	82¢	$16	+$0	09-22 05:39
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+20	$12	66¢	$13	+$1	10-24 16:00
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+10	$7	68¢	$7	+$0	09-09 22:50
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+10	$3	38¢	$4	+$1	09-09 22:49
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+10	$4	32¢	$3	$0	09-09 22:51
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+5	$2	34¢	$2	-$1	08-30 21:20
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	No	+0	-$26	96¢	$0	+$26	09-03 00:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	149	$34.4K	22,856	22,856	+0	Yes	+$1,637	06-17 18:58
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	21	$23.9K	15,057	15,057	+0	Yes	+$1,764	06-15 21:03
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	51	$16.9K	10,415	10,415	+0	Yes	+$1,307	06-22 00:19
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	65	$12.6K	17,370	17,370	+0	No	-$143	06-17 05:48
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	55	$11.4K	6,130	6,083	+46	Yes	+$445	06-17 06:03
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	38	$10.1K	8,416	4,594	+3,822	No	-$2,385	06-18 00:54
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	2	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$95	06-18 01:12
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	19	$9.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	England	+$150	06-17 21:58
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	24	$8.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$336	06-19 23:57
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	3	$8.8K	6,259	6,259	+0	Yes	+$3,753	06-15 17:58
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	11	$8.5K	4,600	4,600	+0	Yes	+$620	06-21 21:03
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	21	$7.8K	4,400	4,400	+0	Yes	+$925	09-21 05:47
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	8	$7.3K	6,276	4,200	+2,076	Yes	-$1,705	06-14 00:44
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	39	$6.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$120	06-17 02:23
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	43	$6.6K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	-$2,638	06-18 17:43
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	3	$6.5K	4,408	4,408	+0	No	-$920	06-15 17:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$6.0K	20,094	0	+20,094	No	-$2,592	06-01 23:54
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	27	$5.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$147	06-22 19:19
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	31	$5.8K	3,360	3,360	+0	open	—	09-18 19:31
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	6	$5.7K	2,900	2,900	+0	Australia	+$120	06-19 21:12
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	7	$5.6K	13,802	7,698	+6,104	No	-$3,695	06-18 20:36
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	15	$4.7K	5,004	0	+5,004	Yes	+$300	06-18 03:55
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	14	$4.0K	4,500	0	+4,500	Yes	+$495	06-19 02:51
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	2	$4.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	-$2,280	06-15 20:32
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	2	$3.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$197	06-17 18:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 26?	15	$3.3K	1,900	1,900	+0	Yes	+$202	08-26 16:01
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	3	$2.9K	3,828	0	+3,828	Yes	+$928	06-18 17:51
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	13	$2.8K	1,700	1,700	+0	France	+$171	06-23 00:43
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	26	$2.7K	1,542	1,542	+0	France	+$138	06-23 00:56
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 4pt5	15	$2.5K	1,799	1,000	+799	Portugal	-$499	06-23 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:27:42	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0xa6d840…
10-25 01:42:57	Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x08657a…
10-25 00:38:48	Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x229748…
10-25 00:11:38	Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x8ae517…
10-24 22:41:51	Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xbeaf11…
10-24 22:38:23	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	63	91¢	$57	0xebad9a…
10-24 22:38:23	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	127	91¢	$116	0x9e99f1…
10-24 22:38:23	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	80	91¢	$73	0x0d395a…
10-24 22:33:20	Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x702fe7…
10-24 22:33:20	Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x48d640…
10-24 22:33:18	Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf22c2e…
10-24 22:33:18	Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x126e39…
10-24 22:29:38	Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x068c6b…
10-24 22:25:44	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x91074f…
10-24 22:25:42	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0xc3489d…
10-24 22:24:36	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	476	97¢	$462	0xcac1fe…
10-24 22:11:21	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xa88c89…
10-24 22:07:26	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$40	0x7b6ae1…
10-24 16:00:39	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x77bdf2…
10-21 23:28:44	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xce8ce1…
10-21 01:46:09	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xd12731…
10-20 19:03:59	Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x03ba3b…
10-20 15:20:50	Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb2c5d1…
10-20 14:17:42	Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xd13619…
10-20 14:17:42	Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x810ab5…
10-20 13:21:18	Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0xf965e7…
10-20 13:12:54	Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x705fbf…
10-20 05:57:51	Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0x4fdd24…
10-20 05:57:11	Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	3¢	$7	0x4426dc…
10-20 01:44:32	Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x2ce989…
10-18 04:19:47	Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Yes	SELL	80	8¢	$6	0xb7befb…
10-17 10:01:15	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xa9270e…
10-16 16:13:30	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x83848a…
10-16 16:06:24	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x24cd0c…
10-16 16:04:55	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x79a616…
10-16 16:04:55	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	84	78¢	$65	0x220e58…
10-15 23:06:07	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xd1b704…
10-11 11:50:33	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x1acd3a…
10-11 11:45:29	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xb40fe7…
10-11 09:09:37	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9de76b…
10-11 06:10:26	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x1a4921…
10-06 01:10:13	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xd96c46…
10-06 01:09:49	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x67547f…
10-06 01:00:53	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	125	50¢	$62	0x488cad…
10-06 00:57:38	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	146	57¢	$83	0x786953…
10-06 00:57:26	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xccbe56…
10-06 00:52:56	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x1d7ee2…
10-06 00:51:46	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x2043ef…
10-06 00:39:55	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	66	66¢	$44	0x9550b2…
10-06 00:23:46	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x00fbdb…
10-06 00:21:17	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x4f98a5…
10-06 00:07:08	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	26	66¢	$17	0x6f97c4…
10-05 23:30:10	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$33	0xa6edbf…
10-05 22:42:04	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x7d2bd9…
10-05 22:07:50	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	126	72¢	$91	0xc40132…
10-05 21:58:31	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x59c0ff…
10-04 03:33:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	90	75¢	$68	0xb4ff14…
10-04 03:33:19	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	36	43¢	$15	0x3a8304…
10-04 03:30:50	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	62	43¢	$27	0xd41ba4…
10-04 03:30:29	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x6c6a8f…
10-04 03:23:40	Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x772e36…
10-03 03:56:30	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xe3b034…
10-03 03:05:02	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x9e637d…
10-03 01:09:26	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x3f510e…
10-02 23:54:21	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x39be35…
10-02 23:46:15	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x831478…
10-02 08:32:18	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0xcab64a…
09-30 20:21:50	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Yes	SELL	80	9¢	$7	0xc5bbdf…
09-24 00:53:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xcdbd0d…
09-23 23:21:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xa4d91a…
09-23 22:03:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2d1e38…
09-23 13:47:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	Yes	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0xd45398…
09-22 20:20:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	Yes	BUY	65	58¢	$38	0xce3313…
09-22 19:03:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x7a5feb…
09-22 17:36:10	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	80	42¢	$34	0xacaeec…
09-22 08:13:19	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Yes	BUY	220	9¢	$20	0x4b98cb…
09-22 08:12:46	Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x094a25…
09-22 07:23:15	Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xc0b17b…
09-22 07:01:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xadd7b0…
09-22 06:41:43	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x15d44b…
09-22 06:19:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x22abb3…
09-22 06:19:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x75812e…
09-22 06:19:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6d95ca…
09-22 06:18:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x5910f7…
09-22 06:18:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x255c83…
09-22 06:17:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x6bd9a0…
09-22 06:17:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x3a9f51…
09-22 06:17:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x9d3398…
09-22 06:17:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xa627f0…
09-22 06:16:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x790e18…
09-22 06:02:13	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$23	0x229acd…
09-22 05:57:09	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x316c10…
09-22 05:48:49	Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xa5d359…
09-22 05:43:22	Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xeb1e42…
09-22 05:39:09	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x37c0b1…
09-22 05:15:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	Yes	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0x035dea…
09-22 03:20:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x56a549…
09-22 01:50:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	40	39¢	$15	0x1d59f9…
09-22 00:03:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$33	0x04ac3d…
09-21 21:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:40 UTC	Up	SELL	55	63¢	$35	0x85218f…