False-Enquiry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

30.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$53

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-17 02:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

96% 50% +$23

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes		+3	$2	87¢	$2	$-0	05-14 14:06
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes		+12	$2	2¢	$0	$-2	05-17 02:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$20	48	+48	open	—	05-15 13:21
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$12	51	+51	Yes	$-12	05-08 07:15
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$10	200	+200	open	—	05-13 04:51
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	1	$5	41	+41	Yes	+$35	05-09 03:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-14 14:06
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	2	$2	12	+12	open	—	05-17 02:32
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$1	73	+73	open	—	05-15 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 02:32:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4c124c…
05-17 02:12:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x05641f…
05-15 13:24:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$1	0xe291a7…
05-15 13:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x8f5338…
05-14 14:06:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x769d74…
05-13 04:51:54	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x6075c4…
05-09 03:10:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	41	13¢	$5	0x8da9fb…
05-08 07:15:37	Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x03a486…
05-08 07:14:40	Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	27	23¢	$6	0xa4174d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e	6	$1.02K	48	05-17 00:56
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	5	$1.97K	106	05-17 05:19
Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8	5	$1.01K	69	05-17 02:47
Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad	5	$660	24	05-17 04:09
Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521	5	$570	18	05-13 17:17
Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905	5	$512	24	05-15 06:24
Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92	4	$3.08K	22	05-15 11:05
Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c	4	$1.09K	10	05-15 14:22