Bleak-Insurrection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.88K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

322

Trades

2,135

lifetime

Volume

$146.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$100

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-17 21:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 54% -$6,135

Other

4% 29% -$964

Politics

1% 12% -$607

Sports

1% 17% -$173

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes		+690	$104	15¢	$100	-$3	09-12 17:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 01:40 UTC	5	$3.9K	2,981	2,572	+409	Up	+$250	02-24 01:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:05 UTC	26	$2.6K	2,269	2,258	+11	Down	-$1,124	03-15 23:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 03:25 UTC	6	$2.5K	1,940	1,915	+25	Down	+$158	02-24 03:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:40 UTC	75	$2.3K	1,600	1,599	+1	Up	+$640	02-15 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:50 UTC	41	$2.1K	2,844	1,126	+1,718	Up	+$43	03-15 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:45 UTC	49	$2.1K	2,413	2,390	+23	Down	+$71	02-15 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:30 UTC	22	$2.0K	1,552	1,348	+204	Up	+$733	02-15 22:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 03:30 UTC	10	$1.9K	2,754	2,730	+24	Up	+$580	02-23 03:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 03:30 UTC	3	$1.9K	1,900	882	+1,018	Down	-$722	02-24 03:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:20 UTC	12	$1.7K	1,221	1,210	+11	Up	+$190	03-07 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 03:05 UTC	36	$1.7K	1,229	1,037	+192	Down	-$27	02-24 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:15 UTC	4	$1.6K	1,157	1,139	+18	Up	+$455	02-15 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 03:40 UTC	34	$1.6K	1,833	1,810	+23	Down	+$324	02-24 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 00:50 UTC	27	$1.5K	1,294	1,275	+18	Down	+$475	02-24 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:25 UTC	10	$1.4K	1,000	987	+13	Up	+$412	02-15 23:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:30 UTC	20	$1.4K	1,000	993	+7	Up	+$405	02-15 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 03:35 UTC	23	$1.3K	1,306	1,172	+134	Up	+$72	02-24 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:35 UTC	45	$1.3K	983	862	+121	Up	+$406	02-15 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 07:10 UTC	20	$1.2K	1,175	947	+228	Up	+$182	02-24 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 03:20 UTC	2	$1.2K	966	951	+15	Down	+$183	02-24 03:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 06:40 UTC	3	$1.1K	1,220	983	+238	Up	+$44	02-24 06:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:50 UTC	3	$1.1K	800	794	+6	Up	+$321	02-15 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 00:15 UTC	3	$1.1K	1,119	833	+286	Up	+$214	02-24 00:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 02:40 UTC	22	$1.1K	703	697	+6	Down	+$62	02-24 02:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 06:05 UTC	5	$1.1K	1,098	847	+251	Up	+$95	02-24 06:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:25 UTC	4	$1.1K	785	772	+12	Up	+$323	02-15 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:55 UTC	5	$1.1K	925	911	+14	Up	+$106	02-15 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 03:55 UTC	2	$1.1K	961	947	+14	Down	+$283	02-24 03:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 06:25 UTC	4	$1.1K	1,132	1,119	+13	Down	+$170	02-24 06:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 01:30 UTC	38	$1.0K	708	697	+11	Up	+$252	02-24 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 21:35:41	Auburn vs. Georgia	Auburn	BUY	188	25¢	$48	0x61e631…
10-17 21:34:35	Notre Dame vs. BYU: O/U 47.5	Under	SELL	96	51¢	$49	0xccbe81…
10-17 20:07:21	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Tennessee	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x72f0e5…
10-17 20:03:56	Notre Dame vs. BYU: O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x236a9a…
10-17 16:00:12	Missouri vs. Ole Miss	Missouri	BUY	92	37¢	$34	0xef3e0c…
10-17 15:59:27	Florida vs. Texas	Florida	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xeb36d8…
10-11 18:58:03	Bears vs. Packers	Bears	BUY	545	11¢	$60	0x1a7e75…
10-11 02:58:29	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	SELL	263	81¢	$213	0x51746c…
10-11 01:44:39	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x35143b…
10-10 23:27:33	Texas vs. Oklahoma	Oklahoma	SELL	357	84¢	$300	0x31a572…
10-10 23:09:28	Texas vs. Oklahoma	Oklahoma	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x33e681…
10-10 16:08:39	Indiana vs. Nebraska	Nebraska	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xce0125…
10-03 22:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xc05225…
10-03 22:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0x52823d…
10-03 22:45:31	Miami (FL) vs. Clemson	Clemson	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x521ae1…
10-03 22:44:29	Washington vs. USC	Washington	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x4bea9b…
10-03 22:30:32	Florida vs. Missouri	Missouri	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x9b247f…
10-03 22:30:13	Florida vs. Missouri	Missouri	SELL	221	100¢	$220	0x0a3416…
10-03 22:22:59	Florida vs. Missouri	Missouri	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x861af0…
10-03 19:07:24	Michigan vs. Minnesota	Michigan	BUY	353	17¢	$60	0xf5cdda…
10-03 19:04:44	UCF vs. Houston	UCF	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x073604…
10-03 19:03:38	Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: O/U 63.5	Under	SELL	143	79¢	$113	0xdb85b8…
10-03 16:47:27	Alabama vs. Mississippi State	Mississippi State	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xc522a4…
10-03 16:45:20	Ohio State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x90103f…
10-03 16:44:17	Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: O/U 63.5	Under	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x47fd18…
10-03 16:43:23	Florida vs. Missouri	Missouri	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x350428…
10-03 16:42:17	Auburn vs. Tennessee	Auburn	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xb1099b…
10-03 16:39:29	UCF vs. Houston	UCF	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x23e371…
09-27 00:31:59	Oregon vs. USC	USC	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xb5d01b…
09-27 00:31:11	Texas A&M vs. LSU	Texas A&M	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xe880c3…
09-27 00:29:56	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	SELL	435	100¢	$434	0x48f713…
09-26 18:38:14	cfb miss fl 2026 09 26	Ole Miss	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x8107c2…
09-26 18:37:44	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xdc4194…
09-19 23:49:30	Florida State vs. Alabama	Florida State	BUY	1,154	13¢	$150	0xaf4338…
09-12 21:10:54	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa State	BUY	518	17¢	$88	0x17bd1c…
09-12 21:09:48	Tennessee vs. Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech	BUY	669	19¢	$127	0x167064…
09-12 21:07:18	Oregon vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	SELL	228	97¢	$222	0xc6963f…
09-12 19:19:13	Oregon vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	BUY	57	41¢	$23	0xb7d165…
09-12 19:19:00	Oregon vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	BUY	168	41¢	$68	0xcbe38b…
09-12 19:16:57	Oklahoma vs. Michigan	Oklahoma	BUY	500	21¢	$105	0x1d7283…
09-12 19:16:18	Oregon vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xce080e…
09-12 17:40:42	Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	690	15¢	$104	0x4c33c7…
09-12 17:38:40	Oklahoma vs. Michigan	Oklahoma	BUY	320	32¢	$102	0x6d214c…
09-12 17:35:37	Rice vs. Notre Dame	Rice	BUY	20,000	0¢	$100	0xb06d8f…
09-09 03:00:34	Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	927	26¢	$241	0x880781…
07-01 22:48:26	Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xe1f4ff…
07-01 22:43:20	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	SELL	206	2¢	$4	0x7b35d9…
07-01 22:27:10	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	81	42¢	$34	0xacc9b9…
07-01 22:26:37	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x8a652f…
07-01 22:23:55	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	81	41¢	$33	0xf4d763…
07-01 22:22:31	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xd42bff…
07-01 22:10:47	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0xdcc1f3…
07-01 22:07:38	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xed287d…
07-01 20:31:17	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	404	25¢	$101	0x53dd77…
07-01 20:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x092d2d…
07-01 19:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1b94eb…
07-01 19:57:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2818a8…
07-01 19:57:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x84a4ca…
07-01 19:52:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x9fc8ec…
07-01 19:52:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:50 UTC	Down	SELL	83	66¢	$55	0xf6a6bc…
07-01 19:51:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x926144…
07-01 19:50:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	49	71¢	$35	0x0c2e89…
07-01 19:47:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x357a1b…
07-01 19:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x57f2cb…
07-01 19:43:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x9f2421…
07-01 19:39:58	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	893	3¢	$25	0x460553…
05-21 02:46:00	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0xdaa699…
05-20 16:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	201	49¢	$99	0x574285…
05-20 16:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x74d16b…
05-20 16:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	114	26¢	$30	0xa7aec5…
05-20 16:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	356	56¢	$200	0x032fe3…
05-20 16:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	277	54¢	$150	0x57498d…
05-20 16:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	294	51¢	$150	0x9df141…
05-20 16:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	300	84¢	$252	0x65e761…
05-20 16:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x46fa38…
05-20 16:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	315	79¢	$248	0x25a932…
05-20 16:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xcfc5dd…
05-20 16:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x964638…
05-20 16:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x4594c8…
05-20 16:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	92	73¢	$67	0xf91f9f…
05-20 16:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	92	16¢	$15	0x0b4eaf…
05-20 16:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	379	84¢	$318	0xcb6f80…
05-20 15:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	379	51¢	$193	0x73a480…
05-20 15:47:52	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	1,170	0¢	$1	0x5141b2…
05-20 15:46:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	3,478	2¢	$59	0xdfab32…
05-20 15:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x455629…
05-20 15:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	243	69¢	$168	0x28e62f…
05-20 15:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	243	54¢	$130	0x247c48…
05-20 15:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xea8b92…
05-20 15:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	83	7¢	$6	0x1874e0…
05-20 15:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x232390…
05-20 15:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	187	75¢	$141	0x211dc8…
05-20 15:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0xd2679f…
03-21 01:00:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	370	48¢	$177	0xfc404c…
03-21 00:59:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 00:55 UTC	Down	SELL	292	46¢	$134	0x22105c…
03-21 00:59:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 00:55 UTC	Down	SELL	126	37¢	$46	0xb62b9f…
03-21 00:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	425	49¢	$208	0x2faaaf…
03-21 00:49:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	499	50¢	$250	0xb128ff…
03-21 00:44:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	554	54¢	$300	0x626657…
03-21 00:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	198	25¢	$50	0x2eaa2c…