Impure-Bowl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$24.8K

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved

109

Trades

1,972

lifetime

Volume

$426.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$216

Open exposure

$15.8K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-10 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

73% 80% +$44,904

Politics

25% 69% -$14,910

Crypto

1% 100% +$2,179

Sports

1% 80% +$918

Tech

0% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+19,014	$10,996	45¢	$8.5K	-$2,497	10-10 04:58
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+5,000	$4,350	94¢	$4.7K	+$350	07-19 11:43
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	+12,814	$7,543	12¢	$1.6K	-$5,942	08-05 02:07
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	+32,069	$17,297	2¢	$641	-$16,656	08-04 23:20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-400	-$320	92¢	$-366	-$46	05-28 16:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	224	$129.4K	105,739	105,799	-60	No	+$29,403	07-17 00:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	160	$49.7K	34,885	34,885	+0	No	+$13,242	06-23 11:41
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	132	$17.3K	32,069	0	+32,069	open	—	08-04 23:20
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	109	$13.2K	30,523	2,000	+28,523	No	-$12,789	08-14 12:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	75	$13.2K	7,476	8,100	-624	No	+$1,922	05-28 14:44
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$11.8K	7,000	7,000	+0	No	+$1,660	07-05 01:47
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	10	$11.2K	19,247	233	+19,014	open	—	10-10 04:58
us strikes iraq by february 28	79	$9.4K	12,969	13,169	-200	Yes	-$7,570	03-03 06:35
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	11	$9.0K	11,500	0	+11,500	No	+$2,520	08-01 02:04
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	26	$7.5K	12,814	0	+12,814	open	—	08-05 02:07
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	17	$7.4K	4,096	4,096	+0	No	+$696	07-29 23:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	14	$6.4K	2,716	4,000	-1,284	No	+$324	05-12 17:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$5.8K	4,003	4,003	+0	No	+$2,179	06-01 17:01
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	30	$5.3K	6,812	1,400	+5,412	No	+$2,362	02-08 12:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	24	$4.7K	2,403	3,100	-697	No	+$453	05-29 17:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	5	$4.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$301	05-24 21:03
us strikes iran by feb 28 odds 30 by friday	8	$4.5K	4,689	300	+4,389	Yes	-$66	02-04 18:13
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	3	$4.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$500	07-24 01:41
will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	83	$4.4K	2,366	2,788	-422	Yes	+$773	02-25 08:00
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	40	$4.3K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-19 11:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	24	$4.3K	2,077	3,000	-923	No	+$794	04-29 16:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	9	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$185	04-29 07:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	6	$3.4K	1,694	1,800	-106	No	+$105	04-01 07:57
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	55	$3.2K	9,265	500	+8,765	Yes	-$3,149	06-09 02:05
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	17	$3.0K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$69	05-26 13:53
James Comey arrested by May 15?	48	$2.8K	3,734	0	+3,734	Yes	+$951	04-29 11:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	6	$2.4K	1,250	1,250	+0	No	+$119	04-29 16:19
will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	4	$2.3K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$532	02-17 20:08
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	3	$2.3K	8,059	8,059	+0	No	-$432	03-03 19:16
nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	19	$2.3K	1,854	2,154	-300	No	+$1,379	02-23 11:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 04:58:55	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	52¢	$519	0x676def…
10-09 01:30:44	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	227	58¢	$131	0xf144db…
10-09 00:40:50	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x76e9c2…
10-08 23:46:50	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	58¢	$1,740	0x5866e9…
10-08 23:43:23	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	58¢	$1,740	0x965e83…
10-08 23:42:39	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	58¢	$1,160	0xd565ab…
10-08 23:38:29	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	58¢	$1,740	0x63a3df…
10-08 23:37:51	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	58¢	$1,158	0x036278…
10-08 23:37:08	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5,000	58¢	$2,895	0xe0d53a…
08-15 15:38:06	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	2,000	77¢	$1,540	0x9a750c…
08-14 12:50:46	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	899	11¢	$99	0x9fbdbb…
08-14 09:06:40	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	101	11¢	$11	0xf7842d…
08-13 13:50:28	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	453	10¢	$45	0x27a5ab…
08-12 10:43:55	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	382	10¢	$38	0x113428…
08-12 10:25:10	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	48	10¢	$5	0x2d5857…
08-11 16:32:36	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xf4febd…
08-11 16:19:34	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	116	10¢	$12	0x8a2d6b…
08-05 02:07:12	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	318	45¢	$143	0xffb885…
08-05 01:17:38	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	73	45¢	$33	0x3b58a6…
08-05 01:17:05	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	109	45¢	$49	0x31a34e…
08-04 23:20:09	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	400	48¢	$192	0xbb32cf…
08-04 23:20:09	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	938	48¢	$450	0x894cad…
08-04 23:20:06	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	640	48¢	$307	0x73ddfc…
08-04 23:20:06	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x3564ed…
08-04 23:20:05	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0x7693e7…
08-04 22:53:59	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	138	54¢	$74	0xedabde…
08-04 22:52:33	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	68	54¢	$37	0xa7da42…
08-04 22:52:24	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0x9cad5b…
08-04 22:41:38	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	3,162	52¢	$1,644	0x66480a…
08-04 22:28:11	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xb399e4…
08-04 22:11:29	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	32	51¢	$16	0x1c0b53…
08-04 22:10:44	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	1,527	51¢	$779	0xca8788…
08-04 22:08:09	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	62	52¢	$32	0x392bb7…
08-04 22:07:44	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	675	50¢	$338	0x6a023d…
08-04 20:04:30	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x860126…
08-04 19:42:57	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	5,000	60¢	$3,000	0x928eb2…
08-04 14:43:45	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	500	24¢	$120	0xc683f0…
08-04 14:41:30	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0xa7e9f9…
08-04 14:39:57	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x957107…
08-04 14:36:05	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xd95c6b…
08-04 14:32:15	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xb11cdf…
08-04 14:26:47	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	365	25¢	$91	0xb560bb…
08-04 14:26:45	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	135	25¢	$34	0x69261b…
08-04 14:25:51	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf2d9fc…
08-03 16:46:41	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	1,973	50¢	$986	0xcd7937…
08-02 17:57:59	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3019d1…
08-02 17:56:47	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0b04d1…
08-02 15:51:02	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x915889…
08-02 02:17:15	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	417	52¢	$217	0x8512cc…
08-02 00:36:05	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xb91e74…
08-02 00:35:50	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x219356…
08-01 22:07:26	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	1,000	62¢	$620	0x250980…
08-01 21:00:05	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	170	52¢	$88	0xa5d529…
08-01 19:46:18	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	83	52¢	$43	0x6c4282…
08-01 15:14:30	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x6862c2…
08-01 13:37:51	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	75	62¢	$46	0x13bba2…
08-01 13:33:00	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	93	53¢	$49	0x510311…
08-01 13:19:09	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	130	53¢	$69	0xa06bbb…
08-01 06:33:27	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x77f512…
08-01 02:04:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	1,000	73¢	$730	0xb27487…
07-31 14:58:41	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	277	53¢	$147	0x3ea19a…
07-31 14:46:47	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xab9053…
07-31 11:46:21	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xffccc6…
07-31 10:30:24	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	213	53¢	$113	0x824dda…
07-31 07:35:38	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5122e2…
07-31 07:03:27	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x84bdd2…
07-31 05:48:24	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x290fb3…
07-31 05:21:06	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2180af…
07-31 05:10:05	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc3f029…
07-31 02:21:12	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xaa106e…
07-31 02:15:35	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6ae472…
07-31 02:15:32	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x77c2d9…
07-31 01:57:38	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x72c547…
07-31 01:51:26	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc12ba1…
07-30 21:51:15	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	74	53¢	$39	0xcb6c68…
07-30 21:50:45	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x37f62a…
07-30 21:50:41	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xdc2d4d…
07-30 21:50:38	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	500	54¢	$270	0x4ce06e…
07-30 19:05:21	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	104	54¢	$56	0x749f83…
07-30 16:39:00	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	1,958	64¢	$1,253	0xa3cfa7…
07-30 15:13:36	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x97ae2c…
07-30 12:37:48	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf39c42…
07-30 10:19:30	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc23729…
07-30 08:26:00	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x93aa02…
07-30 08:23:50	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x846340…
07-29 23:11:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	4,096	99¢	$4,055	0xb2e260…
07-29 14:43:42	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0xfa9e30…
07-29 14:26:00	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x26d563…
07-29 10:49:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0xf765ec…
07-29 10:49:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	51	80¢	$41	0xbfaf21…
07-29 10:49:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x93259c…
07-29 10:49:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x430d79…
07-29 10:49:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	324	80¢	$261	0xe06fcf…
07-29 10:49:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x8d7bd2…
07-29 10:49:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	81	80¢	$65	0x2cff39…
07-29 10:49:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0x2eaf93…
07-29 10:44:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	800	82¢	$656	0x733d32…
07-29 10:43:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	161	83¢	$133	0x4c44a6…
07-29 10:43:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0x626d7b…
07-29 10:42:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xb07a3e…