Reckless-Derivation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$106.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

600

Trades

3,264

lifetime

Volume

$6.22M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.91K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-28 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

81% 73% +$53,693

Sports

17% 76% +$62,285

Crypto

3% 65% -$9,744

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 267 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp duckwor zhukaye 2026 04 03	2	$79.7K	40,712	40,663	+49	James Duckworth	+$1,578	04-04 06:19
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	4	$75.6K	56,542	56,542	+0	Leylah Fernandez	-$12,367	10-23 09:27
Cavaliers vs. 76ers	25	$74.7K	72,403	72,403	+0	76ers	-$5,121	10-23 01:54
Guangzhou 2: Yi Zhou vs Andre Ilagan	2	$65.9K	35,920	35,920	+0	Yi Zhou	+$5,884	10-23 07:26
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	2	$65.4K	34,322	34,227	+94	Yes	+$3,114	04-07 21:50
nba det phi 2026 04 04	8	$60.3K	74,812	10,000	+64,812	Pistons	+$24,491	04-05 02:55
atp buse berrett 2026 03 30	3	$60.0K	39,335	38,792	+543	Ignacio Buse	+$18,056	03-31 17:37
lol nip ig1 2026 04 08 game2	4	$56.8K	29,366	29,310	+56	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$1,822	04-08 10:57
wta muchova sasnovi 2026 04 14	2	$56.2K	30,132	30,014	+118	Karolina Muchova	+$3,906	04-14 12:13
atp mena schoolk 2026 04 03	2	$54.7K	37,786	37,178	+608	Tristan Schoolkate	+$20,233	04-03 23:43
wta sabalen gauff 2026 03 28	2	$52.8K	29,755	29,755	+0	Aryna Sabalenka	+$6,610	03-28 21:41
lol dk hle1 2026 04 08 game2	10	$52.5K	27,154	27,102	+52	Hanwha Life Esports	+$1,711	04-08 09:46
Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul	3	$51.7K	27,707	27,707	+0	Tommy Paul	+$3,679	10-21 21:31
atp tiafoe sinner 2026 03 26	2	$51.5K	26,576	26,576	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$1,568	03-26 18:24
nba min hou 2026 04 10	3	$51.1K	27,943	27,803	+140	Timberwolves	+$4,631	04-11 04:11
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti	2	$49.1K	28,171	28,171	+0	Lorenzo Musetti	+$7,143	10-21 19:05
nba atl det 2026 03 25	2	$47.6K	24,360	24,360	+0	Hawks	+$585	03-26 01:51
wta pegula jovic 2026 04 04	2	$46.6K	26,310	26,135	+175	Jessica Pegula	+$5,812	04-04 23:01
wta sabalen baptist 2026 03 25	2	$45.2K	23,555	23,555	+0	Aryna Sabalenka	+$1,861	03-26 00:29
cs2 navi prv 2026 03 28 game1	3	$43.6K	23,139	23,139	+0	Natus Vincere	+$2,637	03-28 17:48
nba okc den 2026 04 10	2	$42.8K	23,888	23,744	+143	Nuggets	+$4,754	04-11 03:46
nba hou min 2026 03 25	5	$42.3K	30,605	30,605	+0	Timberwolves	-$11,574	03-26 04:32
Counter-Strike: BIG vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner	13	$42.2K	26,347	26,347	+0	PARIVISION	-$2,330	10-21 16:11
atp kasniko assche 2026 04 07	9	$42.2K	22,796	22,699	+97	Luca Van Assche	+$3,216	04-07 10:04
cs2 mglz vit 2026 03 21	2	$42.0K	22,834	22,834	+0	Vitality	+$3,631	03-21 23:09
Ningbo Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	2	$42.0K	21,986	21,986	+0	Diana Shnaider	+$1,964	10-22 11:04
lol jdg omg 2026 03 31	2	$41.9K	21,281	21,262	+19	JD Gaming	+$617	03-31 14:42
atp kotov holmgre 2026 04 07	87	$40.9K	24,024	23,874	+150	Pavel Kotov	+$6,989	04-08 08:10
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	2	$40.8K	21,134	21,134	+0	Corentin Moutet	+$1,413	10-21 16:50
nba ind orl 2026 03 23	2	$40.6K	21,273	21,273	+0	Pacers	+$1,860	03-24 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:15:00	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline	Trail Blazers	BUY	1,310	47¢	$616	0x8a901c…
10-28 03:15:00	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline	Trail Blazers	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1e823e…
10-28 03:14:58	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline	Trail Blazers	BUY	3,608	47¢	$1,696	0x33822d…
10-28 03:14:05	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline	Trail Blazers	BUY	37	47¢	$17	0x4f6fc4…
10-28 03:13:44	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x78b9a8…
10-28 03:13:42	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline	Trail Blazers	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x4cfc6e…
10-28 03:04:11	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline	Trail Blazers	BUY	303	47¢	$142	0x2814a7…
10-28 03:02:24	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline	Trail Blazers	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x2b16d2…
10-28 03:01:42	Spread: Knicks (-13.5)	Knicks	SELL	2,500	100¢	$2,497	0xe63d9a…
10-28 02:41:57	Spread: Knicks (-13.5)	Knicks	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0xf2e76a…
10-28 02:41:57	Spread: Knicks (-13.5)	Knicks	BUY	1,848	60¢	$1,109	0xb3a2ae…
10-28 02:41:57	Spread: Knicks (-13.5)	Knicks	BUY	462	60¢	$277	0x815610…
10-28 02:41:57	Spread: Knicks (-13.5)	Knicks	BUY	120	60¢	$72	0x73c886…
10-28 02:41:54	Spread: Knicks (-13.5)	Knicks	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x745bc3…
10-28 02:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xf393d4…
10-28 02:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xf06152…
10-28 02:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xee9410…
10-28 02:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x934eb4…
10-28 02:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x7d4f4d…
10-28 02:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x6d7f4d…
10-28 02:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x6667a1…
10-28 02:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x53761e…
10-28 02:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	47	50¢	$23	0x252051…
10-28 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd4932b…
10-28 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc6964f…
10-28 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0xc02c36…
10-28 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xb6db9c…
10-28 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x8cc50d…
10-28 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x826844…
10-28 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x7a3eb8…
10-28 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x701a1f…
10-28 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6c1068…
10-28 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x63f635…
10-28 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x5b3778…
10-28 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x5abc07…
10-28 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	59	50¢	$30	0x32198a…
10-28 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x0969a0…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xfc3596…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xf6b25c…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeb551d…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcf07da…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xce3598…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xb1a48e…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb10f97…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xad074f…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xad06cd…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9f4040…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9db3b7…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x890879…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	59	50¢	$30	0x7d7480…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x65e595…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x5d142c…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4dfc38…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x49adb8…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x353b2b…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x343559…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2e6143…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x2cff18…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x2c84da…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0x2a944e…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x24b023…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1ff9bc…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x1ca069…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x184ea7…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x0f00e9…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x07f15b…
10-28 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x04d74d…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf6bfd6…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf660df…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xeaac60…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xe9d760…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcc78d7…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xc8acb6…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb2fbdb…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9d94ca…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9b174f…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x93c634…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x8343f6…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7a2af3…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6f4ca2…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5d54f7…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5647be…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x308f5d…
10-28 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x04872b…
10-28 02:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	186	50¢	$93	0xbfda4b…
10-28 02:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf4f58…
10-28 02:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1b7725…
10-28 02:14:47	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	1,295	58¢	$749	0x8d00e5…
10-28 02:14:23	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	4,291	68¢	$2,912	0x0b534a…
10-28 02:03:35	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	4,363	100¢	$4,359	0xda9b58…
10-28 02:03:23	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xbf2fe5…
10-28 02:03:14	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6a454b…
10-28 01:53:18	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	4,382	89¢	$3,900	0x1d22d1…
10-28 01:53:00	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	SELL	4,628	11¢	$509	0x2e8500…
10-28 01:40:45	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	4,628	43¢	$2,000	0x0da793…
10-27 23:49:56	nba bkn bos 2026 10 27 1h spread home 2pt5	Celtics	BUY	1,904	63¢	$1,200	0x7d71a9…
10-27 23:49:26	nba bkn bos 2026 10 27 1h spread home 2pt5	Celtics	BUY	3,506	64¢	$2,226	0x6d8970…
10-27 23:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	978	32¢	$314	0xa8ba07…
10-27 23:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,593	31¢	$486	0x08d94e…
10-27 23:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	74	49¢	$36	0x45dbce…