Shocking-Popularity-Addition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

Trades

409

lifetime

Volume

$2.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-27 11:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 63% $-9

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$131	83	83	+0	open	—	05-04 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$97	83	83	+0	open	—	05-04 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$84	66	66	+0	open	—	05-04 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	5	$59	92	42	+50	open	—	05-04 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	7	$55	541	41	+500	open	—	05-04 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	6	$54	49	49	+0	open	—	05-04 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$45	37	37	+0	open	—	05-03 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$43	33	33	+0	open	—	05-03 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$41	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$35	1,766	0	+1,766	open	—	05-03 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$34	23	23	+0	open	—	05-03 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$33	43	43	+0	Down	$-7	05-07 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	05-03 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	4	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	05-03 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$24	32	32	+0	open	—	05-04 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	05-03 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$21	42	42	+0	open	—	05-04 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 10:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$21	91	91	+0	open	—	04-15 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 15:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 11:05:28	btc updown 5m 1782558300	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2a221a…
06-27 11:05:08	btc updown 5m 1782558000	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1df3bc…
06-27 11:00:20	btc updown 5m 1782558000	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x22f0b7…
06-24 06:41:32	btc updown 5m 1782283200	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9677a5…
06-24 06:38:13	btc updown 5m 1782282900	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x7b0033…
06-23 15:15:44	btc updown 5m 1782227700	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x0c44ff…
06-23 15:11:41	btc updown 5m 1782227400	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5eecdb…
06-23 15:02:04	btc updown 5m 1782226800	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x27c202…
06-23 14:56:59	btc updown 5m 1782226500	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1042b7…
06-23 14:50:50	btc updown 5m 1782226200	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcf87f9…
06-23 14:45:52	btc updown 5m 1782225900	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0381d5…
06-23 14:41:14	btc updown 5m 1782225600	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3f525b…
06-23 14:19:59	btc updown 5m 1782224100	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xcc83d3…
06-23 14:15:50	btc updown 5m 1782224100	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9353cf…
06-23 14:15:02	btc updown 5m 1782223800	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x593d6f…
06-23 14:14:40	btc updown 5m 1782223800	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9b11d9…
06-23 14:14:17	btc updown 5m 1782223800	Up	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x311979…
06-23 14:10:23	btc updown 5m 1782223800	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x18ffca…
06-23 14:01:17	btc updown 5m 1782223200	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xb2a56e…
06-23 14:00:38	btc updown 5m 1782223200	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa6ba18…
06-23 13:57:55	btc updown 5m 1782222900	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3e960c…
06-23 13:57:19	btc updown 5m 1782222900	Down	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x63e6f0…
06-23 13:55:38	btc updown 5m 1782222900	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3903db…
06-23 13:43:26	btc updown 5m 1782222000	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xb16da8…
06-23 13:42:26	btc updown 5m 1782222000	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x03f309…
06-23 13:18:23	btc updown 5m 1782220500	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xc77f6b…
06-23 13:17:19	btc updown 5m 1782220500	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf7a102…
06-23 13:09:28	btc updown 5m 1782219900	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x63182b…
06-23 13:04:38	btc updown 5m 1782219900	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1d380d…
06-23 12:58:23	btc updown 5m 1782219300	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xcd8445…
06-23 12:57:46	btc updown 5m 1782219300	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xda23d1…
06-23 12:56:43	btc updown 5m 1782219300	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4c1dd1…
06-23 12:55:26	btc updown 5m 1782219300	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4e0bf2…
06-23 12:39:14	btc updown 5m 1782218100	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xab81e9…
06-23 12:34:43	btc updown 5m 1782217800	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5a5d0e…
06-23 12:32:47	btc updown 5m 1782217800	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6dab91…
06-23 12:29:41	btc updown 5m 1782217500	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0x0d9da2…
06-23 12:28:50	btc updown 5m 1782217500	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd9fa59…
06-23 12:18:53	btc updown 5m 1782216900	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xfc42df…
06-23 12:16:31	btc updown 5m 1782216900	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf40b2f…
06-21 13:23:20	btc updown 5m 1782048000	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1845e2…
05-31 05:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x13820b…
05-31 04:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x344346…
05-31 04:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc36c35…
05-31 04:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x9084f4…
05-30 16:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa785dd…
05-30 16:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa1d345…
05-30 16:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x1b5f4f…
05-30 16:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2850f3…
05-30 16:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x43bf9c…
05-30 16:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xd9d5e7…
05-30 16:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x272a35…
05-30 14:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x696c9c…
05-30 14:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x3fbaf6…
05-30 14:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x77bb5d…
05-30 14:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x711f05…
05-30 14:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	38¢	$4	0x94240c…
05-30 14:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x514469…
05-30 14:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x41ca0c…
05-30 14:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x14b667…
05-30 14:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x78d8da…
05-30 12:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1cd753…
05-30 12:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x8be411…
05-30 12:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x45016b…
05-30 12:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc59108…
05-30 12:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x575a77…
05-30 12:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xf47ebb…
05-30 12:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0dad75…
05-09 20:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x174a2f…
05-09 19:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	71¢	$5	0x107ae2…
05-09 19:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa35281…
05-09 19:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcf926b…
05-09 19:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc071a1…
05-09 18:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb5bfb3…
05-09 18:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x62e2e1…
05-09 18:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8a19d8…
05-09 17:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xbd05f7…
05-09 17:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x27364f…
05-09 17:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc3ff01…
05-09 17:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x0767d6…
05-09 17:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x768b05…
05-09 17:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa43045…
05-09 17:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x51ecb8…
05-09 17:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x92efd0…
05-09 17:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4bf40b…
05-09 17:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xf5ca15…
05-09 17:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x29f037…
05-09 17:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x8a04f6…
05-09 17:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x26aa43…
05-09 17:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x331d48…
05-09 17:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xee7812…
05-09 17:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x617087…
05-09 17:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x31e06f…
05-09 17:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x6172d6…
05-09 17:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x34e62f…
05-08 08:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x77fb55…
05-07 19:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0x4478f8…
05-07 19:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xfd2bc4…
05-07 18:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xcdb30e…
05-07 18:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x288613…