Great-Sesame-Improvement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,583

lifetime

Volume

$76.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 06-01 23:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 78% +$10

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$2.6K	26,777	26,777	+0	open	—	06-01 17:04
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$696	407	407	+0	open	—	06-01 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	5	$406	405	405	+0	open	—	06-01 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$283	300	0	+300	open	—	05-25 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$281	300	0	+300	open	—	05-25 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$273	300	0	+300	open	—	05-27 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$268	300	0	+300	open	—	05-30 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$262	450	0	+450	open	—	05-18 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$261	300	0	+300	open	—	05-27 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$257	300	0	+300	open	—	05-29 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$251	300	0	+300	open	—	05-29 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	13	$246	311	311	+0	open	—	06-01 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$245	300	0	+300	open	—	05-28 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$242	300	0	+300	open	—	05-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$238	300	0	+300	open	—	05-28 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$232	300	0	+300	open	—	05-26 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$225	300	0	+300	open	—	05-27 19:59
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	2	$224	126	126	+0	open	—	06-01 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$223	300	0	+300	open	—	05-28 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$206	300	0	+300	open	—	05-29 01:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	2	$202	161	161	+0	open	—	06-01 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$192	300	0	+300	open	—	05-28 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$190	300	0	+300	open	—	05-29 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	6	$184	432	289	+143	open	—	06-01 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$173	300	0	+300	open	—	05-25 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$168	300	0	+300	open	—	05-28 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	7	$148	150	0	+150	open	—	05-18 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$148	150	0	+150	open	—	05-18 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$148	150	0	+150	open	—	05-18 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$148	150	0	+150	open	—	05-18 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 23:08:38	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0x596da8…
06-01 23:06:22	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	126	79¢	$99	0x51271f…
06-01 23:03:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	SELL	161	63¢	$102	0x85a4f3…
06-01 20:17:38	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	407	85¢	$346	0x626788…
06-01 19:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	49	7¢	$4	0xb490fd…
06-01 19:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	107	8¢	$9	0xd80dc3…
06-01 19:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	156	36¢	$56	0xc90db5…
06-01 19:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	111	63¢	$70	0xf39098…
06-01 19:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x64bbd5…
06-01 19:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x58cee7…
06-01 19:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1b4ef9…
06-01 19:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x4f5130…
06-01 19:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0x60613e…
06-01 19:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0x5b362f…
06-01 19:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2659ee…
06-01 19:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb7de1d…
06-01 19:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xe34d9d…
06-01 18:57:34	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	407	86¢	$350	0x815f08…
06-01 18:54:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x2ad1f4…
06-01 18:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	191	7¢	$13	0xd6a9f9…
06-01 18:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	74	9¢	$7	0x201a22…
06-01 18:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0x71fff0…
06-01 18:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xcc9c9b…
06-01 18:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xac5fe7…
06-01 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0xf53220…
06-01 17:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0x726cbc…
06-01 17:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x449f82…
06-01 17:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	136	88¢	$120	0x7ac132…
06-01 17:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	235	16¢	$38	0xe88bf3…
06-01 17:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	235	21¢	$50	0x3ea790…
06-01 17:04:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25,000	0¢	$25	0xd81d7e…
06-01 17:03:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$50	0xfefee5…
06-01 17:00:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,426	99¢	$1,412	0x4c2109…
06-01 16:29:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	46¢	$24	0x5ea66a…
06-01 16:29:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	46¢	$40	0xc05e1c…
06-01 16:29:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8f79e5…
06-01 16:29:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	46¢	$69	0x1ed26b…
06-01 15:26:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	202	50¢	$100	0xb57cf2…
06-01 15:20:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0x682c18…
06-01 15:13:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x735c45…
06-01 15:11:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	557	54¢	$300	0xf4b70a…
06-01 15:11:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	351	46¢	$163	0x2321f2…
06-01 15:05:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0xe84f11…
05-30 22:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x578025…
05-30 21:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x57a392…
05-30 21:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x84c03f…
05-30 21:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3d8409…
05-30 21:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x35cc2a…
05-30 21:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x920a4d…
05-30 21:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	42¢	$12	0x717268…
05-30 21:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0x8af9a0…
05-30 21:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x101b34…
05-30 20:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3f5b8c…
05-30 20:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd3627a…
05-30 20:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdb047c…
05-30 20:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x958e5a…
05-30 20:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2bbfa7…
05-30 19:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa7ac0d…
05-30 19:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe5dda0…
05-30 19:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x412575…
05-30 19:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xb6aaa0…
05-30 19:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xd02fb3…
05-30 19:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x447723…
05-30 19:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0xf9b1a3…
05-30 19:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x53b50f…
05-30 18:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x82d611…
05-30 18:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xe591af…
05-30 18:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc7a621…
05-30 18:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x7ad8f7…
05-30 17:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x48a07c…
05-30 17:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xa1189f…
05-30 17:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x329b0e…
05-30 17:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xefb81d…
05-30 17:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xd3af4b…
05-30 17:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xe3f22b…
05-30 17:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xa8c55f…
05-30 16:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x9557ae…
05-30 16:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x978087…
05-30 16:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x04fbd8…
05-30 16:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x1c6a65…
05-30 16:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd03611…
05-30 15:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x25172c…
05-30 15:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5a34d7…
05-30 15:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x33f235…
05-30 14:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdd838e…
05-30 14:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x46b360…
05-30 14:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8553a3…
05-30 13:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4815f9…
05-30 13:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe5aeb1…
05-30 13:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x301c5c…
05-30 00:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xcb5159…
05-30 00:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xe000d1…
05-30 00:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xd3825b…
05-29 23:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xb4d6e6…
05-29 23:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3d3bd4…
05-29 23:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xd5c9e6…
05-29 23:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x111aed…
05-29 23:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x8e5a09…
05-29 23:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x401298…
05-29 22:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbcf428…