Extra-Large-Complicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$189

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

4,478

Trades

7,371

lifetime

Volume

$3.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 10-24 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Other

92% 14% +$199

Crypto

6% 45% -$6

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 9ine og1 2026 03 24	4	$213	279	200	+79	9INE	-$38	03-24 23:02
cs2 isg mibra 2026 03 20	3	$101	68	50	+18	Isurus	-$2	03-20 20:14
cs2 cyb ytigeres 2026 04 09	6	$87	52	51	+0	CYBERSHOKE Prospects	+$6	04-09 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 16?	6	$70	77	6	+71	Yes	+$2	05-16 15:38
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on May 7?	3	$52	30	30	+0	Yes	+$5	05-06 17:22
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	4	$50	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	02-12 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 29?	2	$47	30	30	+0	Yes	+$13	04-29 12:02
cs2 ruby1 ursa 2026 03 21	10	$42	53	55	-2	ex-RUBY	+$3	03-21 17:38
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on April 29?	3	$39	50	0	+50	No	-$39	04-28 21:42
cs2 fav esc1 2026 03 19	2	$36	41	0	+41	Favbet	$0	03-19 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:05 UTC	1	$35	35	0	+35	Down	+$0	03-10 22:09
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 27?	3	$28	50	0	+50	No	-$28	04-26 19:55
highest temperature in toronto on march 22 2026 12corbelow	2	$27	16	16	+0	Yes	+$4	03-20 12:09
cs2 m8 hs2 2026 03 25	17	$27	120	120	+0	Gentle Mates	+$6	03-25 18:24
cs2 nemi1 mana 2026 03 22	3	$23	53	0	+53	Nemiga	+$4	03-22 20:14
highest temperature in london on march 13 2026 12corhigher	6	$21	20	13	+7	Yes	+$6	03-12 16:39
highest temperature in ankara on april 10 2026 7c	4	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	04-10 11:34
highest temperature in lucknow on march 15 2026 35corbelow	4	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 17:48
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 29c	1	$18	49	0	+49	No	-$18	04-10 21:39
highest temperature in paris on april 10 2026 18corbelow	3	$15	12	6	+6	Yes	+$3	04-10 12:25
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 13 2026 24corhigher	4	$14	11	11	+0	No	-$5	03-13 17:47
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 11 2026 22c	9	$13	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	03-11 16:00
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 21corbelow	7	$13	15	10	+5	No	$0	04-14 17:01
cs2 fal2 navi 2026 03 20	4	$13	28	28	+0	Natus Vincere	+$1	03-20 20:10
highest temperature in toronto on april 2 2026 6corhigher	2	$13	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:15 UTC	4	$12	16	0	+16	Down	+$1	03-10 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 19:05 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	07-02 19:11
highest temperature in munich on march 12 2026 11c	8	$11	16	16	+0	No	+$1	03-12 12:34
cs2 biga lilmix 2026 03 20	3	$11	117	100	+17	BIG Academy	+$6	03-20 17:51
highest temperature in munich on march 12 2026 12c	8	$11	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	03-12 12:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 18:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2f1e9b…
10-24 18:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x473947…
10-24 18:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x757e05…
10-24 18:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x00d837…
10-24 18:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2c1835…
10-24 11:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x206fcb…
10-24 01:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xd50e4f…
10-24 00:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd1a8f6…
10-24 00:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcffe7e…
10-24 00:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x103c3e…
10-24 00:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6c0ed6…
10-24 00:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0c2ab9…
10-23 23:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa2dd34…
10-23 23:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5c3a4c…
10-23 22:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1b5bd9…
10-23 22:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x53079c…
10-23 22:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc1b63a…
10-23 22:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcd5155…
10-23 21:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x03d4d4…
10-23 21:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa5e583…
10-23 21:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x69727d…
10-23 21:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9a6a1e…
10-23 21:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb16426…
07-02 20:45:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1c6f0b…
07-02 20:34:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x84050d…
07-02 20:25:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1c3cc0…
07-02 20:18:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x8f9e9e…
07-02 20:04:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6302e6…
07-02 19:46:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xea363d…
07-02 19:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xafc641…
07-02 19:17:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xe5781f…
07-02 19:17:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x4a7095…
07-02 19:11:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 19:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6d55b7…
07-02 19:10:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xd0e341…
07-02 19:10:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x60bc71…
07-02 19:06:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x801890…
07-02 18:59:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdfd0fb…
07-02 18:50:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6b1d9d…
05-25 19:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x39c498…
05-25 18:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x059e44…
05-25 18:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x612fb3…
05-25 17:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C or higher on May 25?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x721c4e…
05-25 16:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x1324f6…
05-25 16:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x644655…
05-25 16:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x41b6a1…
05-25 15:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6ecc27…
05-25 15:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x044f39…
05-25 14:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x01a83f…
05-25 14:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x812f25…
05-25 13:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xa10bec…
05-25 13:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x49d0d2…
05-18 01:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x36efae…
05-18 01:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9c72e1…
05-18 01:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x54c4d2…
05-18 01:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd936e4…
05-18 00:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcbb9f1…
05-18 00:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7f0707…
05-18 00:07:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x3581b0…
05-18 00:05:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x90e49b…
05-17 23:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd7e03a…
05-17 23:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8b1d34…
05-17 23:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x5bc70c…
05-17 23:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7b28dd…
05-17 22:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcecbcc…
05-17 22:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x458a84…
05-17 22:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa0f107…
05-17 22:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa6c2b8…
05-17 22:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x84527e…
05-17 22:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9d4658…
05-17 22:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3b6c53…
05-17 21:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x60f950…
05-17 21:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x612538…
05-17 21:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xb6b041…
05-17 21:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x388ebc…
05-17 21:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9670cb…
05-17 20:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcb6b6b…
05-17 18:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x34bf9a…
05-17 17:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1255b4…
05-17 16:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf5e510…
05-17 16:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x96ef6f…
05-17 16:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5cd5bd…
05-17 16:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x350fa9…
05-17 15:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf3e394…
05-17 14:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc48de2…
05-17 14:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe4bd4a…
05-17 14:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x3bb8eb…
05-17 14:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3fadb6…
05-17 14:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xfbd285…
05-17 14:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x9bd09e…
05-17 13:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x25a89d…
05-17 13:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3c87f0…
05-17 13:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc40e4f…
05-17 13:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x99e11c…
05-17 13:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x87e93b…
05-17 12:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6145bc…
05-17 12:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x46dd48…
05-17 12:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xcb6ddc…
05-17 12:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xed9961…
05-17 11:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x340816…
05-17 11:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x54c12c…