Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.14K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.4%

Resolved

Trades

555

lifetime

Volume

$362.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$653

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 08-14 11:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% 50% $-7,143

Other

44% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	27	$56.0K	28,373	28,373	+0	open	—	03-24 23:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	18	$51.7K	26,710	26,710	+0	open	—	04-30 19:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	33	$46.6K	25,295	25,295	+0	open	—	07-02 08:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$18.5K	9,680	9,680	+0	open	—	04-09 21:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	36	$17.7K	28,393	0	+28,393	open	—	08-14 11:08
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	32	$16.1K	13,164	13,164	+0	open	—	04-08 20:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	4	$14.3K	8,899	8,899	-0	open	—	06-16 11:12
Iran leadership change by April 30?	8	$11.4K	5,841	5,841	+0	open	—	05-01 01:58
atp alcaraz etcheve 2026 04 09	5	$11.3K	5,727	5,727	+0	open	—	04-09 16:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	14	$10.8K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	08-14 11:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$10.0K	5,976	5,976	+0	open	—	04-01 09:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	14	$9.9K	7,697	7,697	+0	open	—	04-18 09:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	21	$9.8K	5,194	5,194	+0	open	—	04-06 16:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	29	$9.6K	4,989	4,989	+0	open	—	03-31 12:08
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	2	$8.4K	4,286	4,286	+0	open	—	05-04 01:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$7.2K	7,815	0	+7,815	Yes	$-7,178	05-04 18:59
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie	4	$4.2K	2,149	2,149	+0	open	—	04-28 10:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$4.2K	1,400	3,260	-1,860	open	—	06-16 11:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	27	$4.0K	6,753	6,753	+0	open	—	05-01 12:26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	18	$3.6K	2,564	2,564	+0	open	—	04-13 19:15
cs2 lvg tyloo 2026 04 05	10	$3.4K	1,720	1,718	+2	open	—	04-05 18:21
epl bur bri 2026 04 11 bri	33	$2.6K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	04-11 15:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$2.1K	0	2,800	-2,800	open	—	06-11 12:24
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2	$2.1K	1,096	1,096	+0	open	—	04-27 14:50
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$2.0K	1,227	1,227	+0	open	—	04-12 11:32
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	3	$1.9K	1,620	1,620	+0	open	—	04-14 19:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	17	$1.7K	1,159	1,159	+0	open	—	04-15 16:56
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	6	$1.5K	951	951	+0	open	—	04-24 10:57
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	5	$1.5K	936	936	+0	open	—	04-04 14:57
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	7	$1.5K	1,156	1,156	+0	open	—	04-23 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 11:08:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6,798	46¢	$3,127	0xe90018…
08-14 11:06:45	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	609	92¢	$560	0x4660c7…
08-14 11:06:24	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,000	86¢	$5,186	0x550a88…
07-17 19:22:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,539	52¢	$1,840	0xaf74c0…
07-16 09:13:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,554	94¢	$1,456	0x8a760f…
07-16 08:59:56	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x4a6cf9…
07-16 06:00:31	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	94¢	$117	0x33de2b…
07-16 04:41:05	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4c9e48…
07-16 03:12:56	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	459	94¢	$430	0x96e3b3…
07-15 23:22:23	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x26c19e…
07-15 22:09:35	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,611	94¢	$1,510	0x3fbc2e…
07-15 21:43:05	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe1a68f…
07-15 21:16:55	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x9ee4b2…
07-15 21:15:38	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0x16ec5f…
07-15 21:15:35	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	94¢	$122	0x61c4ba…
07-15 21:15:16	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	94¢	$72	0x87fb07…
07-15 18:43:41	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,943	94¢	$1,821	0x4c4860…
07-15 14:20:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,390	59¢	$2,000	0x06e2a6…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4,000	60¢	$2,400	0xa9f42a…
07-05 11:12:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	73¢	$2,190	0x681ce7…
07-04 19:35:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,264	19¢	$240	0x7026cf…
07-04 18:59:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	313	19¢	$59	0xa5ff93…
07-04 18:57:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	91	19¢	$17	0x795ac2…
07-02 11:52:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xf1ee26…
07-02 08:54:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	12,017	100¢	$11,981	0xc8d035…
07-01 15:02:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	469	32¢	$150	0x5a345b…
07-01 15:01:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3ce976…
06-29 17:23:32	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x07532b…
06-28 20:25:50	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x601f26…
06-28 20:02:14	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xafa266…
06-28 15:19:20	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	92	61¢	$56	0xdcdbe1…
06-28 09:56:19	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x04df0d…
06-26 21:03:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12,117	94¢	$11,330	0x0283ac…
06-25 18:40:13	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	900	14¢	$126	0x939e19…
06-25 17:26:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8,136	94¢	$7,607	0xcb43d0…
06-25 17:15:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	34	93¢	$32	0x0bd614…
06-25 17:15:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x5a6ed3…
06-25 10:12:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,020	94¢	$1,899	0xdc5c36…
06-25 10:00:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	49¢	$490	0x113819…
06-22 11:58:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,657	94¢	$3,438	0xb94f38…
06-18 11:07:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	149	82¢	$122	0x3ed084…
06-18 11:06:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	272	82¢	$223	0x1af104…
06-18 11:05:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	241	82¢	$198	0x29d543…
06-18 11:02:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	41	82¢	$34	0xfbccf0…
06-18 11:02:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x05c96c…
06-18 10:59:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	91	82¢	$75	0x5309ce…
06-18 10:55:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0x2ab8d6…
06-18 10:52:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf31cb3…
06-18 10:47:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0xc876ab…
06-18 10:47:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0x9baf74…
06-18 10:47:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	53	82¢	$43	0x2e405a…
06-18 10:47:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	41	82¢	$34	0x09985a…
06-18 10:39:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x0ee2ad…
06-18 10:32:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	53	82¢	$43	0xa1d439…
06-18 10:32:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0xda1089…
06-18 10:31:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0xf194ab…
06-18 10:29:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xc7f639…
06-18 10:26:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	32	82¢	$26	0xbe253e…
06-18 10:26:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0x37cd40…
06-18 10:21:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	38	82¢	$31	0x54ee64…
06-18 10:20:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xb19ab8…
06-18 10:18:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x8373ab…
06-18 10:18:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,083	82¢	$888	0x49e737…
06-18 10:07:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5,000	82¢	$4,100	0x761296…
06-18 10:00:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5,000	82¢	$4,100	0x451761…
06-18 09:58:13	btc updown 5m 1781776500	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x156ee8…
06-18 09:54:58	btc updown 5m 1781776200	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x3b2892…
06-18 09:54:13	btc updown 5m 1781776200	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x25d5ed…
06-17 16:12:23	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	171	61¢	$104	0xca3deb…
06-17 15:08:22	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0x28d6e2…
06-17 11:00:47	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd9f0b4…
06-17 10:56:16	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x01e72d…
06-17 08:56:41	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x5b4236…
06-17 08:30:37	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	23	61¢	$14	0x9fe7de…
06-17 08:30:37	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x88a046…
06-17 06:58:40	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x27f3df…
06-17 06:58:38	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x1bd6b4…
06-17 06:57:37	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x0a147e…
06-17 06:41:44	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x9469a9…
06-17 06:40:41	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xcde931…
06-17 06:39:40	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xbb029e…
06-17 06:38:38	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x09131e…
06-17 06:37:37	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x06fe1f…
06-17 06:36:37	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x7859b7…
06-17 06:35:34	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x061ed1…
06-17 06:34:34	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xce6d2e…
06-17 06:33:29	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x9412aa…
06-17 06:32:28	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x5ad487…
06-17 06:31:29	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x84dcaf…
06-17 02:13:36	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x6b3385…
06-17 00:18:37	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9b600a…
06-16 14:26:14	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0xd8f66b…
06-16 11:12:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	8,899	99¢	$8,845	0xf6b311…
06-16 11:07:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,260	100¢	$3,244	0xe8ac8a…
06-15 12:27:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,430	86¢	$2,950	0xd07e6a…
06-11 17:34:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,541	75¢	$1,156	0x1013ec…
06-11 14:47:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,400	67¢	$938	0xae5e2a…
06-11 12:24:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,800	75¢	$2,100	0x0bf10b…
06-10 22:46:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x7cb56f…
06-09 15:18:52	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8913ed…