Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$257

Unrealized P&L

+$28

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$825

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$78

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-29 07:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

49% 33% +$37

Tech

25% 0% -$205

Politics

15% 33% -$70

Sports

10% 0% -$14

Crypto

1% 0% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		+227	$50	34¢	$78	+$28	07-29 07:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	5	$205	3,567	0	+3,567	Yes	-$205	02-05 16:51
will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$201	462	462	+0	No	+$111	03-22 12:49
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$86	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$14	06-29 13:02
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	2	$52	32	32	+0	No	+$12	01-26 21:04
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	1	$50	915	0	+915	No	-$50	06-10 18:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	263	0	+263	No	-$50	05-01 11:39
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	1	$50	227	0	+227	open	—	07-29 07:06
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	2	$45	27	27	+0	No	+$5	01-22 22:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$25	192	0	+192	No	-$25	04-02 19:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$25	417	0	+417	No	-$25	05-01 11:39
nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt55	2	$19	45	45	+0	Yes	-$1	01-19 19:31
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$10	01-18 08:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:40 UTC	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	-$5	03-23 16:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 08:35 UTC	1	$1	12	0	+12	Up	-$1	03-24 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 07:06:26	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x4440b9…
06-29 13:02:11	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$36	0xe31ace…
06-10 18:32:22	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	915	5¢	$50	0x93d412…
06-10 18:30:24	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$50	0xbb86dc…
05-01 11:39:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xe403f8…
05-01 11:39:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xf15319…
04-02 19:38:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xbd1216…
03-24 08:36:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xae3a8b…
03-23 16:40:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb39d0f…
03-22 12:49:35	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	462	34¢	$156	0xf06def…
03-16 13:12:49	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	462	10¢	$45	0x8fed5f…
02-05 16:51:11	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	No	BUY	2,393	6¢	$135	0x611872…
02-04 12:23:56	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	No	BUY	354	6¢	$20	0x4381ea…
01-26 21:04:45	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xeb5271…
01-26 21:03:11	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	No	BUY	426	5¢	$20	0x96b498…
01-22 22:22:16	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	No	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0xfa1057…
01-19 19:31:40	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt55	No	SELL	45	21¢	$9	0x8ce483…
01-18 21:03:06	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	No	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0xbdfe6d…
01-18 13:57:44	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xf07c3c…
01-18 08:05:40	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt55	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x4f7034…
01-18 08:02:54	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x39e5ea…
01-18 08:00:16	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	No	BUY	236	8¢	$20	0xb5d3d6…
01-18 07:57:28	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x728fe4…