Wary-Quit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.38K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

21,023

Trades

137,717

lifetime

Volume

$1.96M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-23 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 70% +$7,373

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 1170 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 01:15 UTC	35	$1.6K	975	973	+2	Down	-$26	01-11 01:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 15:00 UTC	40	$1.3K	820	816	+5	Down	+$73	03-23 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 14:40 UTC	18	$1.1K	686	681	+5	Down	+$234	03-23 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	15	$1.1K	597	597	+0	Down	+$50	10-21 15:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 09:30 UTC	49	$1.1K	1,508	1,448	+60	Down	+$55	04-13 09:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 01:30 UTC	41	$999	1,675	1,667	+8	Up	+$449	03-10 01:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 00:00 UTC	44	$938	661	653	+7	Up	+$143	02-08 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 08:45 UTC	29	$921	605	598	+7	Up	+$270	03-12 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 03:15 UTC	36	$921	713	673	+41	Down	+$143	04-11 03:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 08:45 UTC	37	$919	570	566	+4	Down	+$205	03-23 08:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 02:45 UTC	52	$891	633	626	+7	Up	+$84	03-11 02:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:25 UTC	11	$874	494	493	+1	Up	+$103	03-14 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	15	$863	575	575	+0	Up	+$35	10-20 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	5	$857	449	449	+0	Down	+$23	10-20 11:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 02:00 UTC	19	$855	536	529	+7	Down	+$187	03-11 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 04:50 UTC	10	$855	687	677	+10	Up	+$76	03-21 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 06:25 UTC	4	$846	600	592	+8	Up	+$334	03-21 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 11:25 UTC	23	$835	449	447	+2	Up	+$52	02-25 11:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 04:30 UTC	23	$815	440	440	+0	Up	+$56	07-05 04:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 06:00 UTC	12	$809	500	495	+5	Down	+$177	03-12 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 08:00 UTC	38	$795	707	686	+21	Down	+$67	04-14 08:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:50 UTC	12	$793	415	415	-0	Down	+$29	03-20 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 02:15 UTC	13	$790	545	541	+3	Down	-$79	03-25 02:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 01:15 UTC	32	$787	650	643	+7	Up	+$279	03-09 01:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 16:45 UTC	25	$783	503	497	+5	Down	+$197	01-11 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 11:35 UTC	29	$776	494	487	+7	Up	+$195	03-09 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 08:25 UTC	16	$776	402	402	+0	Down	+$20	03-19 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 09:45 UTC	17	$775	523	517	+6	Up	+$49	02-22 09:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 13:00 UTC	42	$771	698	688	+10	Up	+$54	04-15 13:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 10:45 UTC	36	$764	985	857	+128	Down	+$213	04-13 10:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 15:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x3f8dd5…
10-23 15:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0xd3e67f…
10-23 15:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xc8ffc5…
10-23 15:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xc7ed26…
10-23 15:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	31	11¢	$3	0x0d14f4…
10-23 15:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x0bd231…
10-23 15:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xbdd368…
10-23 15:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xf543b0…
10-23 15:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x6b7508…
10-23 15:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x00847d…
10-23 15:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0xfff3e4…
10-23 15:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xddbe9a…
10-23 15:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xdfa7bd…
10-23 15:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa9c2cb…
10-23 15:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0xca3a1c…
10-23 14:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0xc62b03…
10-23 14:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x71aa74…
10-23 14:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	87¢	$9	0xcd864d…
10-23 14:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x0af23c…
10-23 14:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0xdf7126…
10-23 14:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdd1461…
10-23 14:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0xa1856c…
10-23 14:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0xffba41…
10-23 14:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	78¢	$22	0xf0315b…
10-23 14:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x530c73…
10-23 14:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xaff89c…
10-22 15:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	112	34¢	$38	0x916d60…
10-22 15:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xa6e89d…
10-22 15:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x857160…
10-22 15:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0xa2374a…
10-22 15:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x188c5e…
10-22 15:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x87211d…
10-22 15:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x1ced56…
10-22 15:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xcab444…
10-22 15:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	46	27¢	$13	0x8f865e…
10-22 15:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x1b270d…
10-22 14:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	42¢	$4	0xee3b8e…
10-22 14:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	33	45¢	$15	0x136483…
10-22 14:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x7bb643…
10-22 14:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x482e9b…
10-22 14:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x025d6f…
10-22 14:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x25f8c6…
10-22 14:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	29¢	$4	0x0ce69e…
10-22 14:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	34	10¢	$3	0x97b506…
10-22 14:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xeed548…
10-22 14:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8053a0…
10-22 14:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x3a9aa5…
10-22 14:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xd83e67…
10-22 14:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfbc214…
10-22 14:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0xec67c4…
10-22 14:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x30de4d…
10-22 14:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	33	36¢	$12	0xffba68…
10-22 14:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x3e51cf…
10-22 14:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x277b92…
10-22 14:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xcd89d0…
10-22 14:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x538f9a…
10-22 14:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xd9a942…
10-22 14:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xd702f9…
10-22 14:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0xd57b26…
10-22 14:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0xa2b04f…
10-22 14:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xb130eb…
10-22 14:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x97f248…
10-22 14:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xff3fb2…
10-22 14:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x890412…
10-22 14:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8d68b4…
10-22 14:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x68ae12…
10-22 14:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xc390c1…
10-22 14:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0xd4fad3…
10-22 14:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xbef2bf…
10-22 14:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x4267b9…
10-22 14:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x0837a9…
10-22 14:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x2a4bbe…
10-22 14:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x8681e0…
10-22 14:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x112c5e…
10-22 14:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x921e6c…
10-22 14:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x6b77c0…
10-22 14:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x121962…
10-22 14:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xe34fba…
10-22 14:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x580bf5…
10-22 14:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x283a45…
10-22 14:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	42	16¢	$7	0xf64b8d…
10-22 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xf2d4b4…
10-22 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe1d2c6…
10-22 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xc8b6b6…
10-22 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xa26238…
10-22 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x93d323…
10-22 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x313547…
10-22 14:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x793aac…
10-22 14:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x77e22a…
10-22 14:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xca9ad3…
10-22 14:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf975d9…
10-22 14:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xc4326c…
10-22 14:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xb87cd0…
10-22 14:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xaa1bb2…
10-22 14:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x545c14…
10-22 14:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0xa176a1…
10-22 14:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x6046c5…
10-22 14:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xd5cbe3…
10-22 14:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbdacb0…
10-22 14:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xe7e89e…