Dead-Freon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$828

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$46

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-14 22:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Crypto

23% — —

Tech

9% — —

Sports

6% 0% $-5

Politics

6% 0% $-47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No		+30	$30	99¢	$30	+$0	06-09 21:13
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No		+24	$15	66¢	$16	+$1	05-28 03:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$181	110	110	+0	open	—	06-06 00:22
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	6	$150	198	198	+0	open	—	05-01 21:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	3	$99	51	51	+0	open	—	04-30 00:20
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	1	$68	70	0	+70	open	—	06-07 22:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$47	50	0	+50	Yes	$-47	05-02 09:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	05-09 10:38
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	06-14 22:17
highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 19c	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-16 19:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	06-09 21:13
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread away 1pt5	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	04-14 19:24
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	1	$23	28	0	+28	open	—	04-15 09:49
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	2	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	04-14 19:25
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	3	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	05-28 03:14
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-08 22:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-24 14:58
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$6	20	20	+0	No	$-5	05-05 20:52
bitcoin above 74k on april 16	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-16 14:31
btc updown 5m 1780952100	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-08 20:58
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-27 08:25
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	04-07 20:51
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 22:39
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-08 21:12
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-08 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 22:17:54	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x431caf…
06-09 21:13:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2bf2a0…
06-08 21:12:12	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x85a9cb…
06-08 20:58:46	btc updown 5m 1780952100	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xca08ef…
06-07 22:58:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x193313…
06-06 00:22:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	83¢	$91	0x9c0979…
06-03 22:18:28	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	82¢	$90	0xa4bb28…
05-28 03:14:26	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x4a217b…
05-28 03:02:40	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1e33a5…
05-27 22:14:22	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xcfb0aa…
05-09 10:38:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xcd272d…
05-05 20:52:12	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x013384…
05-05 18:55:02	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x88c952…
05-02 09:46:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x225488…
05-01 21:07:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9e4326…
05-01 18:59:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xff1859…
05-01 12:10:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	169	30¢	$51	0x773f6b…
05-01 12:03:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x2d282c…
05-01 11:46:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x0ce50c…
05-01 09:57:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	178	32¢	$57	0x90ce62…
04-30 00:20:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x940085…
04-27 08:25:08	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0xc5f70e…
04-25 10:49:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9be46b…
04-24 14:58:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xad52df…
04-17 08:48:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x71a52d…
04-16 19:03:20	highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xe6de16…
04-16 14:31:36	bitcoin above 74k on april 16	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8720b0…
04-15 09:49:06	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xf0751a…
04-14 19:25:12	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x6561e1…
04-14 19:24:08	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread away 1pt5	FC Barcelona	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0x3d5410…
04-14 19:23:50	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread away 1pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0xb5db13…
04-08 22:44:03	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x1b8a43…
04-08 22:39:59	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6af8da…
04-08 22:39:47	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x05f950…
04-08 20:37:29	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x93d96b…
04-08 19:04:51	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x55994b…
04-08 19:03:21	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3291a9…
04-07 20:51:07	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x00fc48…
04-07 19:01:23	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb8e52a…