Realized P&L
+$1.20K
Unrealized P&L
-$663
Hit rate
92.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
28
lifetime
Volume
$11.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$408
Open exposure
$1.09K
2 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 07-12 15:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
90%
88%
+$1,476
Other
10%
0%
-$281
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iran coup attempt by december 31 | Yes | +11,239 | $950 | 6¢ | $731 | -$219 | 07-12 15:18 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | +1,549 | $800 | 23¢ | $356 | -$444 | 06-28 16:03 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026 | 3 | $2.2K | 1,213 | 1,213 | +0 | No | +$193 | 06-28 13:25 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252 | 2 | $1.6K | 1,000 | 1,000 | +0 | Yes | +$330 | 06-15 10:39 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 2 | $1.4K | 1,200 | 1,200 | +0 | Yes | +$842 | 04-07 23:07 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 2 | $1.3K | 719 | 719 | +0 | No | +$94 | 06-21 08:21 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 3 | $1.2K | 689 | 689 | +0 | Yes | +$126 | 03-22 11:31 |
| iran coup attempt by december 31 | 3 | $950 | 11,239 | 0 | +11,239 | open | — | 07-12 15:18 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | 2 | $800 | 1,549 | 0 | +1,549 | open | — | 06-28 16:03 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 4 | $658 | 8,420 | 8,420 | +0 | Yes | +$107 | 04-07 21:51 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 2 | $533 | 2,222 | 2,222 | +0 | Yes | +$133 | 04-06 14:50 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | 3 | $450 | 22,471 | 7,640 | +14,831 | No | -$350 | 06-26 08:12 |
| israeli parliament dissolved by july 15 | 2 | $319 | 1,040 | 510 | +530 | No | -$281 | 07-12 15:15 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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