Narrow-Manatee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$226

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-12 00:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

39% — —

Sports

27% 33% $-2

Tech

25% — —

Politics

8% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	13	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	02-20 02:42
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	7	$17	6	13	-6	open	—	02-28 00:17
will powell say good afternoon during january press conference 696 565	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-15 00:43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-04 00:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-10 00:16
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-15 00:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 02:01
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-10 00:25
bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	02-16 05:29
gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 07:49
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-04 00:41
will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-17 00:49
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-05 00:44
will there be 12 14 inches of snow in nyc in january	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-31 00:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-10 01:43
will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be less than 47m	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-15 02:11
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-03 00:42
Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-25 07:58
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-08 02:30
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-06 00:22
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-21 02:59
will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions octdecjan	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-14 08:53
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-24 01:40
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-20 00:10
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-12 10:35
will there be at least 500 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026 onf	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-28 06:23
will the united states of america win the gold medal for winter olympics 2026 womens ice hockey at the 2026 milano cortina winter olympics	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-19 09:26
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 00:38
will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-17 00:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 00:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 00:33:49	wnba chi ind 2026 06 11 total 172pt5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x58807d…
06-11 01:38:43	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 216pt5	Over	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd02ab4…
06-10 00:39:24	mlb sea bal 2026 06 09	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x29216d…
06-09 00:21:10	mlb sea bal 2026 06 08	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf9c54e…
06-06 00:30:43	mlb sea det 2026 06 05 spread away 1pt5	Detroit Tigers	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc98ae2…
06-05 00:35:39	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04 spread home 1pt5	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x568c2d…
06-04 00:17:45	mlb sd phi 2026 06 03 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x382107…
06-01 00:21:01	Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbbdfe9…
05-31 01:19:35	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6e640b…
05-30 00:10:34	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8919e5…
05-29 00:08:01	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Chicago Cubs	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4a79d4…
05-28 00:25:51	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9c28af…
05-28 00:25:17	Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x347d9f…
05-28 00:24:27	Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe2b37b…
05-27 00:11:44	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd925d6…
05-26 00:37:09	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf0897f…
05-24 01:27:52	Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcc2adb…
05-23 00:23:53	Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4bf326…
05-22 00:25:23	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd57bd5…
05-21 00:16:49	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x34b99f…
05-19 00:26:09	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x95fb95…
05-17 02:24:37	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x06d687…
05-15 00:10:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x89b8ca…
05-14 00:22:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca8407…
05-10 01:43:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xfbc930…
05-09 00:05:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc29b54…
05-07 00:09:03	Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	Athletics	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x49b185…
05-06 00:21:20	Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	Athletics	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf6e641…
05-05 00:11:14	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0a614a…
05-04 00:06:42	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3e414d…
05-03 00:15:24	Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf4d402…
04-30 00:14:10	Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfc4b6a…
04-29 00:12:16	San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xebc427…
04-27 00:10:34	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3a04de…
04-25 00:10:44	Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8ed401…
04-24 00:15:30	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23 spread away 1pt5	Hawks	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc2159a…
04-23 02:05:36	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9432b5…
04-22 09:15:28	Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Svyatoslav Gulin	Timofey Skatov	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc7f300…
04-21 00:54:16	nba tor cle 2026 04 20 total 222pt5	Under	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6dae28…
04-19 00:33:36	mlb tb pit 2026 04 18 spread home 1pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x164b03…
04-18 01:18:40	mlb bal cle 2026 04 17 spread home 1pt5	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x56af65…
04-17 02:01:44	nhl ana nsh 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	Predators	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf16f89…
04-17 02:01:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd1a31d…
04-16 00:04:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x201968…
04-15 00:15:00	mlb kc det 2026 04 14 spread home 1pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xca67ef…
04-14 01:36:53	nhl dal tor 2026 04 13 spread away 1pt5	Maple Leafs	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf80680…
04-13 00:09:03	nba bkn tor 2026 04 12 spread home 20pt5	Raptors	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdc2239…
04-12 01:12:33	nhl fla tor 2026 04 11 spread home 1pt5	Panthers	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4275fb…
04-11 00:48:17	nba det cha 2026 04 10 spread home 5pt5	Pistons	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x48767c…
04-10 00:16:47	nba mia tor 2026 04 09 spread home 4pt5	Raptors	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xaf2785…
04-10 00:16:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x240a14…
04-09 00:11:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0a499c…
04-08 00:17:55	mex que jua 2026 02 22 que	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xca10a5…
04-07 00:59:13	nba cle mem 2026 04 06 total 230pt5	Over	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x75cc57…
04-06 00:11:27	nba ind cle 2026 04 05 spread home 15pt5	Pacers	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcf0e02…
04-05 02:29:21	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04 total 157pt5	Over	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0ea52e…
04-04 02:21:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x621dc0…
04-03 00:09:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x065559…
04-02 07:05:17	atp zhou milic 2026 04 01	Ognjen Milic	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4e273d…
04-01 00:54:17	nba dal mil 2026 01 25 total 219pt5	Over	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x75199d…
03-31 01:33:01	nba phi mia 2026 03 30	Heat	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x68de11…
03-29 01:33:50	fif hai tun 2026 03 27 spread away 1pt5	Haiti	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2a3299…
03-29 01:32:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3ec341…
03-28 00:16:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7970fd…
03-26 00:41:05	nba atl det 2026 03 25 total 228pt5	Over	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x622205…
03-25 00:38:45	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xcffd9e…
03-24 00:14:05	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6d5789…
03-24 00:13:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xaad6c4…
03-23 00:08:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6f9d69…
03-20 00:25:33	nba orl cha 2026 03 19 total 226pt5	Over	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9e7f01…
03-20 00:24:57	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x92d8de…
03-19 00:20:41	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xad551c…
03-18 02:32:27	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x36375a…
03-17 00:09:09	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Hawks	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x73ce3e…
03-16 00:03:29	nhl ana mon 2026 03 15 spread home 1pt5	Ducks	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x521111…
03-15 05:59:31	kor bch uls 2026 03 15 spread away 1pt5	Bucheon FC 1995	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdd1ff4…
03-14 00:30:29	nba cle dal 2026 03 13 spread away 13pt5	Cavaliers	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8bb6fd…
03-13 00:11:21	nba phi det 2026 03 12 total 221pt5	Over	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8ce8bd…
03-12 00:16:33	nba cle orl 2026 03 11 total 226pt5	Over	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x27e250…
03-10 00:25:07	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeede6d…
03-09 00:24:35	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8f715a…
03-09 00:23:59	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 65 89	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7bbb7e…
03-08 06:59:55	will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0xb52f6b…
03-07 00:21:05	will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x993ef0…
03-07 00:20:29	highest temperature in nyc on march 6 2026 40 41f	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x326a44…
03-06 00:28:23	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x690b2c…
03-05 00:12:17	cbb creigh butl 2026 03 04 spread home 2pt5	Creighton Bluejays	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9c04e7…
03-05 00:11:23	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xcfb79f…
03-04 00:42:11	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7e4fce…
03-04 00:41:31	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xea9745…
03-04 00:41:23	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x824e44…
03-02 00:15:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x207349…
03-02 00:14:49	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xeed677…
02-28 00:17:09	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x16ce56…
02-28 00:16:43	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x36e5e1…
02-27 00:14:50	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x193384…
02-27 00:13:28	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x851876…
02-25 01:04:02	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6c9886…
02-24 07:49:04	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x035242…
02-24 01:41:12	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x028fa5…