Vengeful-Sheath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-06 05:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

79% 97% +$9

Crypto

10% 67% -$2

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Tech

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+11	$11	100¢	$11	+$0	10-06 05:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 120 139	1	$103	103	0	+103	No	+$0	04-21 02:07
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 115 139	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	04-15 10:36
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 140 159	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	04-09 08:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	1	$102	102	0	+102	Yes	+$0	04-26 03:34
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	01-07 03:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 6?	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	05-05 11:30
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	05-31 08:17
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 140 159	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	02-14 07:22
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	1	$101	102	0	+102	No	+$0	02-05 11:17
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 180 199	1	$101	101	0	+101	No	+$0	02-02 09:49
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 120 139	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-19 07:26
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-06 07:27
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	03-11 09:44
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-24 06:50
Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	1	$96	96	0	+96	No	+$0	06-03 08:46
will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$83	83	0	+83	No	+$0	01-30 02:31
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	1	$83	83	0	+83	No	+$0	01-25 09:35
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	1	$83	83	0	+83	No	+$0	01-21 08:06
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 0 39	1	$83	83	0	+83	No	+$0	01-15 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 10?	1	$67	67	0	+67	No	+$0	06-09 10:31
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$31	15	15	+0	No	+$0	09-16 11:08
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	06-09 10:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-19 12:35
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	09-16 11:21
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	10-06 05:59
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	1	$7	104	0	+104	No	-$7	06-03 08:51
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	1	$4	18	0	+18	Yes	+$14	10-06 05:57
bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	1	$2	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$2	06-09 10:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	09-16 11:15
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	03-06 07:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 05:59:52	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xce96a1…
10-06 05:57:12	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x8bc3e0…
09-16 11:21:48	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1850f0…
09-16 11:15:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x888a3e…
09-16 11:08:18	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x336efe…
08-04 09:03:39	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1ebdbf…
07-19 12:35:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8fde3b…
06-09 10:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 10?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x7dc2c0…
06-09 10:17:51	bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x5cacf7…
06-09 10:16:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa7b75b…
06-03 08:51:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	7¢	$7	0x67ce79…
06-03 08:46:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf4f187…
05-31 08:17:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x0360ff…
05-05 11:30:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x7779f9…
04-26 03:34:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xac4290…
04-21 02:07:00	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 120 139	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x8b86f2…
04-15 10:36:54	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 115 139	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xd9114c…
04-09 08:10:19	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 140 159	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x21176a…
03-24 06:50:55	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdd25c9…
03-19 07:26:17	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x95e13a…
03-11 09:44:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x62335c…
03-06 07:27:21	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x7a12d1…
03-06 07:27:15	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1d2982…
02-14 07:22:23	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 140 159	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x16fadb…
02-05 11:17:27	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0xb59db8…
02-02 09:49:16	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 180 199	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xda5728…
01-30 02:31:06	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x8d5a3f…
01-25 09:35:08	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xb8e622…
01-21 08:06:42	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xf32706…
01-15 09:18:56	elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 0 39	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xc96125…
01-15 09:15:58	will zai have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd01f27…
01-15 09:15:52	will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x486500…
01-15 09:15:46	will moonshot have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x61b961…
01-15 09:15:40	will openai have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc1fb60…
01-15 09:15:30	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe56cf1…
01-15 09:15:26	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x31ff4b…
01-15 09:15:20	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd819ae…
01-15 09:15:14	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x44530b…
01-15 09:15:02	will meituan have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x039142…
01-15 09:14:42	will alibaba have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x388484…
01-15 09:14:36	will zai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x672117…
01-15 09:14:32	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63a48c…
01-15 09:14:22	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6981a…
01-15 09:14:18	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7974d7…
01-15 09:14:12	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf14eff…
01-15 09:14:06	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e6026…
01-07 03:29:59	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x449d24…