Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

$709

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-09 00:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% 100% +$12

Politics

31% 100% +$4

Tech

13% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	+205	$200	98¢	$200	+$0	06-05 19:40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	-116	$-115	99¢	$-116	$-0	06-05 19:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	+103	$100	97¢	$100	$-0	06-09 00:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	+112	$100	88¢	$99	$-1	06-09 00:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	+122	$100	80¢	$98	$-2	06-09 00:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	+110	$100	88¢	$97	$-3	06-09 00:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$526	266	266	+0	open	—	04-29 01:56
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	3	$362	184	184	+0	open	—	03-27 20:28
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	2	$215	115	115	+0	open	—	02-28 22:35
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	2	$214	114	114	+0	open	—	03-27 20:28
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$208	108	108	+0	open	—	02-28 22:35
will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28	2	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	02-28 22:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	04-29 01:56
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	03-12 18:48
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	03-27 20:28
trump out as president by march 31	2	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	03-27 20:28
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	03-12 18:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1	$200	205	0	+205	open	—	06-05 19:40
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$200	215	0	+215	open	—	01-10 20:52
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$200	217	0	+217	open	—	02-09 15:31
will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	2	$159	85	85	+0	open	—	03-27 20:29
will epstein data set 13 be released by	1	$154	157	0	+157	open	—	02-04 02:54
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$148	119	119	+0	open	—	03-24 00:32
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$142	128	128	+0	open	—	01-10 20:50
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$124	110	110	+0	open	—	02-07 18:40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	1	$115	0	116	-116	open	—	06-05 19:38
will spacex have 11 or more launches in february	2	$113	63	63	+0	open	—	02-25 18:24
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$112	62	62	+0	open	—	02-28 22:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$112	62	62	+0	No	+$12	04-29 01:55
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$109	61	61	+0	open	—	03-27 20:29
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$106	113	0	+113	open	—	02-22 04:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$100	106	106	+0	open	—	03-03 01:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	01-10 20:47
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	04-11 01:19
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	03-24 00:34
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	1	$100	134	0	+134	open	—	05-07 18:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 00:36:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	87¢	$75	0xee9a04…
06-09 00:35:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x2f105c…
06-09 00:34:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x33d757…
06-09 00:34:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x630c05…
06-09 00:33:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x81325e…
06-05 19:44:48	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x9ba639…
06-05 19:42:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xa0077a…
06-05 19:40:57	will wti reach 140 in june 2026 374	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x6b2f4e…
06-05 19:40:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	205	97¢	$200	0x2194b9…
06-05 19:38:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x59f205…
05-07 18:39:08	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x99dcc2…
05-07 18:38:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2a81c9…
05-07 18:37:21	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x2e8311…
05-07 18:35:48	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x293ec9…
04-29 02:03:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xd2fef9…
04-29 02:03:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	89	84¢	$75	0xda2d1d…
04-29 02:02:56	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	87	86¢	$75	0x6741c9…
04-29 02:02:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xbe80b9…
04-29 02:01:30	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x5c3c1e…
04-29 01:59:00	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xddf583…
04-29 01:56:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x4a667b…
04-29 01:56:24	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	266	100¢	$265	0x5370c2…
04-29 01:55:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x5d2fe8…
04-11 01:23:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x8dace7…
04-11 01:23:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x974e5e…
04-11 01:19:37	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x9f4392…
04-11 01:18:59	ethereum above 2300 on april 11	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0xa47858…
04-11 01:15:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x9a2f05…
04-11 01:15:11	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x728925…
04-05 03:10:15	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	266	98¢	$261	0xcdf33f…
04-05 03:09:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xbd2cb0…
04-05 03:08:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xd52720…
04-05 03:06:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xec8ab2…
04-05 03:05:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x7706e0…
04-05 03:05:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xbe91aa…
04-05 03:05:09	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xea8580…
03-27 20:29:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0x05d97e…
03-27 20:29:45	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x270372…
03-27 20:28:41	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x829fa7…
03-27 20:28:33	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	104	100¢	$103	0x7330bf…
03-27 20:28:23	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x12ed2e…
03-27 20:28:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0x32f085…
03-24 00:35:07	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	85	96¢	$81	0x0948fe…
03-24 00:34:35	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x2ce44e…
03-24 00:34:03	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x8cfa39…
03-24 00:32:51	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	119	40¢	$48	0x3b2aca…
03-12 18:56:55	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x1b926c…
03-12 18:54:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x290bad…
03-12 18:51:45	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x69991a…
03-12 18:51:33	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	85	89¢	$75	0x033d9c…
03-12 18:50:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x7fe272…
03-12 18:48:33	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	103	99¢	$103	0xb4ced2…
03-12 18:48:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x83c75a…
03-09 01:11:11	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	61	91¢	$55	0xf3cc7e…
03-09 01:10:25	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xef6828…
03-07 05:06:55	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	No	BUY	77	97¢	$74	0x2f077b…
03-07 05:05:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x1ca33a…
03-07 05:03:03	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x455187…
03-06 19:34:29	will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	SELL	34	45¢	$15	0x47e353…
03-03 01:59:07	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	110	83¢	$91	0x36d563…
03-03 01:58:15	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x5947e1…
03-03 01:57:07	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6cd3be…
03-03 01:56:05	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xdc81b0…
03-03 01:54:53	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xcb46f9…
03-03 01:53:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x5290a9…
03-03 01:52:43	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x3b9a24…
03-03 01:52:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xbe50c6…
03-03 01:51:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	106	0¢	$0	0xafb48b…
02-28 22:36:07	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xa7dd8a…
02-28 22:35:57	will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xbba756…
02-28 22:35:45	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xace0d3…
02-28 22:35:11	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x1911ae…
02-28 22:34:35	will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	34	64¢	$22	0xad5a0b…
02-28 22:33:45	will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x2addc3…
02-28 22:32:23	will bitcoin reach 72k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x17687f…
02-28 22:30:31	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x15f5eb…
02-25 18:25:08	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xee9dcc…
02-25 18:24:10	will spacex have 11 or more launches in february	Yes	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x8a50d4…
02-25 18:19:56	nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	Yes	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0xadd486…
02-22 04:13:00	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	113	93¢	$106	0x97b0f7…
02-16 15:50:23	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0x745bde…
02-16 15:49:29	will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x506da4…
02-16 15:47:07	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xeb3f10…
02-16 15:46:41	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x166787…
02-16 15:45:23	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xfe44d7…
02-09 15:33:51	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get at least 150m views in its first 7 days	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x2e7fe0…
02-09 15:32:15	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xd2c1e2…
02-09 15:31:19	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xf9fbf0…
02-07 18:44:51	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	99	69¢	$68	0x26e62c…
02-07 18:44:41	will spacex have 11 or more launches in february	Yes	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x4e8654…
02-07 18:43:29	will xai or x run an ad during super bowl lx	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xf65960…
02-07 18:42:07	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x104954…
02-07 18:41:09	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xb1dd6a…
02-07 18:40:11	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	38	33¢	$12	0xe3bc13…
02-07 18:40:07	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	110	22¢	$24	0x6c4bcc…
02-04 02:56:50	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 6 2026	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x4b70da…
02-04 02:55:58	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xf0b002…
02-04 02:54:06	will epstein data set 13 be released by	No	BUY	157	98¢	$154	0xccd2bf…
02-04 02:52:50	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x9cf54c…
02-04 02:51:48	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x9049f1…