Precious-Stiletto — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

39.2%

Resolved

902

Trades

992

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-12

last 09-13 14:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

89% 33% -$95

Politics

5% 40% +$84

Crypto

2% 30% -$6

Sports

2% 0% -$22

Tech

1% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+186	$16	2¢	$3	-$13	05-12 11:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$23	18	18	+0	No	+$13	04-22 02:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$16	186	0	+186	open	—	05-12 11:21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$13	72	0	+72	No	-$13	06-21 08:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	3	$11	92	0	+92	No	+$81	04-20 08:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 3?	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	-$10	05-03 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 10?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	05-10 07:49
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 2?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$3	05-02 04:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 15:45 UTC	6	$10	11	10	+0	Down	+$2	04-15 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 4?	2	$9	85	85	+0	No	+$7	06-04 13:54
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?	1	$9	0	15	-15	open	—	06-25 03:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 16:30 UTC	6	$9	11	11	+1	Down	+$1	04-15 16:42
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$3	07-14 16:07
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$8	27	24	+3	Yes	$0	07-15 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 4?	2	$8	8	8	+0	Yes	+$6	06-04 13:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?	2	$8	14	0	+14	No	-$8	05-04 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on May 7?	1	$7	50	0	+50	No	-$7	05-06 04:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$7	18	0	+18	No	-$3	04-18 09:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 16:15 UTC	3	$6	10	3	+7	Up	+$1	04-15 16:31
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$6	5,200	0	+5,200	No	-$6	04-14 08:07
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	2	$6	53	0	+53	No	-$6	04-20 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 4?	1	$6	9	0	+9	No	-$6	05-04 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?	2	$6	14	0	+14	Yes	+$8	05-05 11:16
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 5?	2	$6	12	0	+12	Yes	+$6	05-04 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on May 5?	2	$6	10	0	+10	Yes	+$4	05-05 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	07-01 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 10?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	09-09 13:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 10?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	09-09 13:29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$5	383	0	+383	No	-$5	09-13 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?	1	$5	14	0	+14	Yes	+$9	05-05 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?	1	$5	14	0	+14	Yes	+$9	06-17 02:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 14:31:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	383	1¢	$5	0x9dfdc7…
09-11 14:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x74241c…
09-11 14:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x377fe2…
09-11 14:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x978e5c…
09-11 14:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc2ed04…
09-11 14:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x92a4a4…
09-09 13:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x69e4dc…
09-09 13:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc62b62…
09-09 13:29:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8ab459…
09-09 13:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x43cc99…
08-13 08:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4787ed…
08-13 08:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd41f66…
08-13 08:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd30270…
08-13 08:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc8d62b…
08-13 08:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x63d253…
08-11 14:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7b8368…
08-11 14:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1b9d2d…
08-11 14:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x813874…
08-11 14:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x38b68d…
08-11 14:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x514d14…
08-10 02:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf4e13b…
08-10 02:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x42d959…
08-10 02:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xafa3ba…
08-09 04:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$0	0xdf6a1f…
08-09 04:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf76837…
08-09 04:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x37fdca…
08-09 04:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0xbd2b71…
08-07 05:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe62954…
08-07 05:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6e5d0d…
08-07 05:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x04cf12…
08-07 05:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3c4214…
08-07 05:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa55265…
08-07 05:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x568b0d…
08-07 05:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6d320d…
08-07 05:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x096630…
08-07 05:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1423aa…
08-04 06:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x42d379…
08-04 06:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0af1d7…
08-04 06:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xccbc74…
08-04 06:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x415d21…
08-02 11:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbf1f0c…
08-01 03:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0e21a4…
08-01 03:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0084e3…
08-01 03:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x77ee95…
07-31 06:32:48	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xd34d7a…
07-17 02:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb8c594…
07-17 02:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x769266…
07-17 02:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1a8cb1…
07-16 02:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb0273d…
07-16 02:43:04	Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$0	0x868ba6…
07-16 02:43:02	Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0xdee936…
07-15 02:36:44	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd5d762…
07-14 16:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbeffab…
07-14 16:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x78ba93…
07-14 16:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa8eedd…
07-14 16:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1fcb3b…
07-14 16:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x87413e…
07-14 02:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x692c42…
07-14 02:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3c9b2c…
07-14 02:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	64	1¢	$0	0x2cea8a…
07-14 02:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xc27edb…
07-13 02:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x5ad1ba…
07-13 02:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe7c5e1…
07-13 02:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3483b7…
07-13 02:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x78c1f3…
07-09 14:31:08	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x2d9db1…
07-09 14:30:16	Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x8df8bc…
07-09 14:20:26	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0xac0057…
07-09 14:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xeac196…
07-08 16:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xef9e75…
07-08 16:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdeab2e…
07-08 16:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7429c6…
07-08 16:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3dbf4a…
07-08 16:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7f2288…
07-08 16:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8e824c…
07-08 16:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2147ce…
07-08 16:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbe13a5…
07-08 16:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9b26ea…
07-08 16:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6a711d…
07-07 02:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe1908a…
07-07 02:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4a48fe…
07-07 02:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7ee870…
07-05 10:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x341352…
07-05 10:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x4044f6…
07-05 10:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x4bee74…
07-05 10:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x480844…
07-05 10:30:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x142a39…
07-04 05:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9bc604…
07-04 05:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4e5d11…
07-04 05:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x976ddc…
07-04 05:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xed6ef1…
07-04 05:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb8e9fb…
07-04 05:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6882a2…
07-01 15:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x179c65…
07-01 15:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xdf8d8c…
07-01 15:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on July 3?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xadf4a1…
07-01 15:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4f4581…
07-01 15:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xebb97c…
07-01 15:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa41d30…
07-01 15:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe14556…