Previous-Complicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

308

Trades

309

lifetime

Volume

$3.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-01 07:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 225 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$5

Politics

6% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	27	+27	No	-$26	05-15 05:05
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:05
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:53
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:47
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:09
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:23
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 12:45
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 01:29
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 06:21
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:10
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:47
highest temperature in busan on april 18 2026 25corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-18 08:14
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:41
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:56
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 07:43
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 14:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 06:57
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:46
highest temperature in ankara on april 14 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 15:39
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 05:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 07:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x764af1…
10-31 07:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1ea9e3…
10-30 08:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd8852e…
10-29 17:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x873303…
10-29 07:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf18048…
10-28 04:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc871ff…
10-27 15:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xac5098…
10-27 07:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4ec331…
10-26 04:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x170061…
10-24 06:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x314129…
10-22 09:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd7c7b9…
10-20 04:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x77725f…
10-19 06:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe35da0…
10-18 05:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa7364a…
10-17 07:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x66fc7a…
10-16 04:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa41f23…
10-15 05:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8ef271…
10-14 06:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa62044…
10-13 13:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3f9fea…
10-13 01:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xc7af3f…
10-12 01:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5cb7da…
10-11 01:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x18598a…
10-08 04:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2a96b3…
10-07 08:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6a8711…
10-06 14:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x148b4c…
10-06 05:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x1be168…
10-04 07:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x103a4c…
10-03 00:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1351fb…
10-02 07:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1a304…
10-02 03:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1db13b…
10-01 05:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd18b49…
09-30 07:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbd75f…
09-29 06:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6eca90…
09-28 07:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x544ce0…
09-27 10:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1531ba…
09-26 08:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fd87b…
09-25 07:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x725552…
09-24 06:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb22fb…
09-23 05:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa0483…
09-22 01:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa49c89…
09-21 08:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e0d7a…
09-20 02:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x363a79…
09-19 05:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x103f69…
09-18 09:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x869f99…
09-18 01:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07b942…
09-17 00:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x057a17…
09-16 07:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82d649…
09-15 23:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff9621…
09-15 01:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe105db…
09-14 00:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b37f1…
09-13 12:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb21e7…
09-12 03:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb05671…
09-11 01:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc74e90…
09-10 01:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd03342…
09-09 00:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdddcda…
09-08 01:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x302e54…
09-07 01:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26c1f8…
09-06 07:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cfc67…
09-06 01:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9da028…
09-05 09:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a7fd1…
09-04 08:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7f2ea…
09-03 01:08:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36b89c…
09-02 11:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00d1bb…
09-01 01:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb29eb3…
08-30 00:10:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x830873…
08-29 05:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4265a…
08-28 01:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x206736…
08-27 01:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07d334…
08-26 01:58:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8285f…
08-25 01:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x544c9c…
08-24 07:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x975cba…
08-23 01:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3256fc…
08-22 01:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33ea6a…
08-21 01:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x101a88…
08-20 05:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2bbfd…
08-19 00:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x368d2b…
08-18 00:10:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x435e15…
08-17 05:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06c8c3…
08-16 01:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc18108…
08-15 02:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17c4de…
08-14 01:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd36283…
08-13 00:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5267da…
08-12 00:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x886831…
08-11 00:13:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb283bb…
08-10 00:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7473ee…
08-09 00:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1671ad…
08-08 00:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x208e44…
08-07 00:13:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9c534…
08-06 00:18:53	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7408d1…
08-05 00:25:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x73f6a0…
08-04 00:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbfbdb1…
08-03 00:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3d77d…
08-02 07:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb60d1c…
08-02 00:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b7c80…
08-01 00:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaca2d1…
07-31 00:59:23	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x078255…
07-30 00:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd61510…
07-29 00:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0dec8d…
07-28 00:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x171a72…
07-27 01:17:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf35621…