Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.71K

Unrealized P&L

+$60

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

135

Trades

1,144

lifetime

Volume

$28.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$298

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-24

last 10-27 08:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

89% 48% -$1,641

Politics

10% 38% -$66

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+158	$98	91¢	$144	+$46	10-25 10:02
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+110	$77	74¢	$82	+$5	10-27 04:57
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+310	$64	23¢	$73	+$9	10-26 13:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	16	$2.7K	1,544	1,544	+0	open	—	10-08 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10?	34	$1.6K	1,150	1,150	+0	Yes	-$287	10-10 11:47
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 8?	18	$1.6K	847	847	+0	No	+$122	10-08 06:33
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	10	$1.3K	702	702	+0	Yes	+$116	10-09 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	26	$1.2K	1,410	1,300	+110	open	—	10-27 04:57
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	31	$1.1K	781	781	+0	Yes	+$316	10-26 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 2?	39	$1.1K	595	595	+0	No	+$20	10-02 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 6?	8	$970	530	530	+0	No	+$86	10-06 06:53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	54	$897	684	684	+0	Yes	+$193	10-05 13:20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 9?	12	$824	462	462	+0	No	+$99	10-09 06:34
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	25	$808	11,594	0	+11,594	No	-$808	10-07 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	13	$660	363	363	+0	No	+$61	10-04 07:17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	23	$637	527	527	+0	Yes	+$77	10-23 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	15	$565	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$229	10-08 13:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	3	$508	595	0	+595	Yes	+$87	10-06 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 5?	22	$502	701	0	+701	Yes	-$502	10-05 03:04
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	22	$490	1,330	1,330	+0	No	-$333	10-26 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1?	17	$478	657	0	+657	No	+$178	10-01 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 7?	36	$475	248	248	+0	No	+$21	10-07 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 4?	3	$455	250	250	+0	No	+$40	10-04 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 10?	2	$403	203	203	+0	No	+$3	10-10 04:38
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	8	$387	350	350	+0	No	-$5	10-24 14:18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	3	$381	200	200	+0	No	+$17	10-04 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 16?	20	$370	261	261	+0	No	+$16	10-16 09:10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	15	$367	1,100	1,100	+0	No	-$359	10-08 23:43
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 11?	20	$365	610	0	+610	No	-$365	10-11 03:38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	10	$363	632	632	+0	No	-$110	10-08 17:22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	2	$340	376	0	+376	Yes	+$35	09-30 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	14	$287	259	259	+0	Yes	+$18	10-19 15:57
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	22	$271	384	384	+0	No	-$76	10-23 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x226c15…
10-27 06:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd417b5…
10-27 06:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x493b98…
10-27 06:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc2e5a1…
10-27 04:57:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	37¢	$48	0xa32530…
10-27 04:57:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,170	46¢	$533	0x7d2f38…
10-26 17:44:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	288	5¢	$14	0xd6d99b…
10-26 17:41:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xfd02be…
10-26 17:41:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	50¢	$114	0x854976…
10-26 17:41:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb56a3e…
10-26 17:40:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3a0a5b…
10-26 17:38:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x9d01e7…
10-26 17:38:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	50¢	$46	0x8e940c…
10-26 17:38:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,042	6¢	$64	0xe09d00…
10-26 17:38:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x0203bd…
10-26 17:38:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0x7ac35f…
10-26 17:38:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x1b58e0…
10-26 17:37:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x15b110…
10-26 17:36:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0xda2651…
10-26 17:36:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x3e208b…
10-26 17:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0x773237…
10-26 17:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x2c49a3…
10-26 17:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2099e0…
10-26 17:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x0a1611…
10-26 17:35:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x84eac6…
10-26 16:18:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xd1d015…
10-26 16:18:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0x9e849f…
10-26 16:18:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	32¢	$17	0x57eead…
10-26 16:18:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x4b1a89…
10-26 16:18:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	363	32¢	$116	0x2c722b…
10-26 16:11:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$9	0x050b4a…
10-26 16:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xf85079…
10-26 16:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xdfc182…
10-26 16:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	32¢	$8	0x91c01f…
10-26 16:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	32¢	$57	0xd9df4e…
10-26 15:51:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	681	100¢	$680	0xfb1916…
10-26 15:43:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$3	0xfa3285…
10-26 15:34:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0xf4fbd1…
10-26 15:34:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	46¢	$19	0x980bdc…
10-26 15:34:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x006683…
10-26 15:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	653	9¢	$59	0xf44f18…
10-26 15:18:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	9¢	$11	0x30c3d2…
10-26 13:56:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x4a2ba2…
10-26 13:45:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x1d32cf…
10-26 13:45:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x17c19a…
10-26 13:03:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x26c251…
10-26 12:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x375a18…
10-26 12:59:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x681c4d…
10-26 12:52:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	38¢	$21	0xe7a864…
10-26 12:48:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x51a759…
10-26 12:26:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xa5ba3c…
10-26 12:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xfd6e0c…
10-26 07:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xda6130…
10-26 06:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa960ae…
10-26 06:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x77b424…
10-26 06:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xef0f46…
10-26 05:03:17	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8e6bb5…
10-25 17:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	31¢	$47	0x52305a…
10-25 17:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x484ffd…
10-25 17:26:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	22¢	$36	0x1a49ab…
10-25 17:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xcc35b0…
10-25 17:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x8c3314…
10-25 16:40:53	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xe86b3c…
10-25 16:16:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xb35de1…
10-25 16:13:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xac5d89…
10-25 12:57:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	26¢	$21	0xe6a250…
10-25 12:57:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	26¢	$19	0x188c14…
10-25 12:57:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x0e1aef…
10-25 12:57:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	57¢	$46	0x9c9dfb…
10-25 12:57:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x645907…
10-25 12:57:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x33fede…
10-25 10:57:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xfdb90e…
10-25 10:38:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x4c84bf…
10-25 10:37:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x99022a…
10-25 10:28:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x5eac5a…
10-25 10:28:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x5dd1c8…
10-25 10:28:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x25b60a…
10-25 10:28:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x1bae55…
10-25 10:16:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xe3e7f3…
10-25 10:07:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xc668df…
10-25 10:07:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x029593…
10-25 10:07:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xad975c…
10-25 10:07:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x8724da…
10-25 10:06:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xdec331…
10-25 10:06:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xae7968…
10-25 10:05:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xe9fcb1…
10-25 10:05:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	28¢	$6	0x473ef1…
10-25 10:03:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x204463…
10-25 10:03:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x97a605…
10-25 10:02:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x28e918…
10-25 10:02:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x6fb825…
10-25 10:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb0325f…
10-25 10:02:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x014786…
10-25 09:22:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xee6ba0…
10-25 09:22:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x9e8497…
10-25 09:12:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xeb6058…
10-25 09:06:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe4c54c…
10-25 09:05:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xe33356…
10-25 08:48:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x3a37c2…
10-25 07:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf2a337…