Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$64

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

385

Trades

433

lifetime

Volume

$2.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-31 11:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 50% +$170

Tech

4% 0% -$76

Other

2% 0% -$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Yes		+50	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	05-31 10:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$33	85	+85	Down	-$33	10-24 14:15
gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	8	$33	731	+731	No	-$33	06-07 02:21
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$30	55	+55	Up	+$25	10-24 21:15
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	1	$29	74	+74	No	-$29	06-21 05:15
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$29	56	+56	Up	-$29	10-27 00:05
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$29	55	+55	Up	+$26	10-24 08:45
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$29	805	+805	No	-$29	01-05 02:28
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$26	47	+47	Up	+$21	10-10 10:30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$24	45	+45	Up	-$24	10-25 15:00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$23	59	+59	Down	-$23	10-25 21:45
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$23	48	+48	Down	-$23	10-27 06:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$22	48	+48	Up	+$26	10-25 08:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:05 UTC	2	$22	44	+44	Down	-$22	10-24 09:05
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$21	39	+39	Up	+$17	10-24 08:00
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15?	2	$20	163	+163	open	—	10-26 10:28
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$20	38	+38	Up	+$18	10-25 21:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$19	40	+40	Up	+$21	10-25 08:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC	1	$18	35	+35	Up	-$18	10-17 03:30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$18	52	+52	Up	+$34	10-25 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$18	38	+38	Up	+$20	10-26 13:35
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$18	33	+33	Down	+$15	10-25 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$17	46	+46	Up	-$17	10-25 11:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:45 UTC	1	$17	32	+32	Down	+$15	10-17 03:45
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$17	32	+32	Up	-$17	10-25 15:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:15 UTC	1	$16	35	+35	Down	-$16	10-17 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$16	31	+31	Up	+$14	10-25 09:15
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$16	71	+71	Down	-$16	10-17 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$15	57	+57	Up	+$41	10-26 13:05
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$15	52	+52	Up	-$15	10-10 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$15	69	+69	Up	-$15	10-10 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 11:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	45¢	$7	0x903505…
10-31 11:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	33¢	$7	0x2c4777…
10-31 09:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x6d1c7e…
10-31 08:35:06	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x93e429…
10-31 08:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x3d8394…
10-31 07:35:04	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xac8a49…
10-31 07:35:04	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x55b44b…
10-31 06:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xbf4bc0…
10-31 04:35:15	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0xda6ff5…
10-31 03:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xa04f84…
10-31 03:35:04	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xcad850…
10-31 02:35:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x48c186…
10-31 01:05:04	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xc45492…
10-31 00:50:04	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x6ae137…
10-30 22:35:10	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7d1b6b…
10-30 22:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xcd9798…
10-30 13:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xf24869…
10-30 13:35:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x6f0520…
10-30 13:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xed0660…
10-30 13:25:04	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x8e460c…
10-30 07:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xfb49a8…
10-30 07:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xa07469…
10-30 05:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$7	0x6d3a4f…
10-30 04:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x81fea3…
10-30 04:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xe4346b…
10-30 04:15:07	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xdc1608…
10-30 03:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x35223c…
10-30 00:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xf1774c…
10-29 20:45:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x316d04…
10-29 20:40:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x6bb132…
10-29 20:10:06	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x36a95f…
10-29 20:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0xd41fcf…
10-29 20:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x5ae606…
10-29 20:10:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x47feec…
10-29 20:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x958159…
10-29 20:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	27¢	$8	0xe3b0cc…
10-29 17:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x891657…
10-29 15:10:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xa1f1c8…
10-29 15:10:05	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0x1c3e14…
10-29 14:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xb00b4f…
10-29 14:40:05	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x7ca6ac…
10-29 14:40:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x2a794a…
10-29 14:35:05	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xff86ba…
10-29 14:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	33¢	$9	0x2d0129…
10-29 13:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x726594…
10-29 06:05:35	Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xb277c6…
10-29 05:10:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xfbfbd4…
10-29 04:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x754b6e…
10-29 04:55:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	33¢	$9	0x65533d…
10-29 04:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xa97452…
10-29 01:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd9008e…
10-29 01:45:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc9a3b3…
10-29 01:40:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xf72f84…
10-29 01:40:05	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xbb733d…
10-29 01:10:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x672d65…
10-28 20:05:05	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x84a1da…
10-28 18:40:16	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7bb378…
10-28 18:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x2b173a…
10-28 16:55:20	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xdf1b07…
10-28 13:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0x332a1b…
10-28 13:50:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x06c583…
10-28 12:35:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x5ff482…
10-28 12:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0xabdb8a…
10-28 08:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0xa9d9dc…
10-28 08:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	49	25¢	$12	0xd91742…
10-28 08:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x49382a…
10-27 06:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	48	47¢	$23	0xee4b1b…
10-27 00:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa97679…
10-27 00:10:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0xac3757…
10-27 00:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xd5b939…
10-27 00:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	49	52¢	$25	0xca66bc…
10-26 13:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0xbe76b9…
10-26 13:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	57	27¢	$15	0x97d264…
10-26 10:28:06	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf03d83…
10-25 23:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	47¢	$15	0x44500c…
10-25 22:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x5dab78…
10-25 21:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2ecea4…
10-25 21:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xa6f42d…
10-25 21:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0xa25043…
10-25 21:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xde9e0b…
10-25 21:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0x796f41…
10-25 20:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfa4572…
10-25 20:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	47	35¢	$16	0x023418…
10-25 17:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x6876fe…
10-25 16:55:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd6fbc4…
10-25 15:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x305e0f…
10-25 15:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1ccdc8…
10-25 15:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	51¢	$17	0x7bb00e…
10-25 15:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x838aa4…
10-25 15:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xe56b30…
10-25 15:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xd938b0…
10-25 11:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0xbb2d39…
10-25 11:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xa39ac4…
10-25 11:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	36¢	$17	0x9f7ca0…
10-25 09:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbc8625…
10-25 09:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0x57bf60…
10-25 08:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	39	47¢	$18	0x1643f6…
10-25 08:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	43¢	$14	0x92a231…
10-25 08:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x3b1781…
10-25 08:10:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	47¢	$17	0x75db1d…