Luxurious-Espalier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$917

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

20,752

Trades

35,968

lifetime

Volume

$266.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 09-02 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 76% -$970

Other

2% 92% +$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 483 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:45 UTC	21	$284	144	144	+0	Down	+$1	06-17 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:05 UTC	21	$276	140	140	+0	Up	+$1	06-17 14:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 20:10 UTC	13	$189	96	96	+0	Down	+$1	06-17 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 02:30 UTC	12	$165	84	84	+0	Up	+$1	06-20 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 05:30 UTC	13	$165	84	84	+0	Up	+$1	06-20 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	23	$160	84	79	+5	Up	+$1	06-20 06:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 05:10 UTC	5	$138	70	70	+0	Up	+$1	06-18 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	7	$138	70	70	+0	Down	+$1	06-18 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:35 UTC	4	$138	70	70	+0	Up	+$1	06-18 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:25 UTC	7	$138	70	70	+0	Down	+$1	06-18 09:27
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 11:40 UTC	9	$138	70	70	+0	Down	+$1	06-18 11:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 13:35 UTC	7	$134	68	68	+0	Up	+$1	06-20 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 20:45 UTC	17	$130	66	66	+0	Up	+$1	06-19 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:45 UTC	8	$126	64	64	+0	Down	+$1	06-17 18:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:40 UTC	8	$126	64	64	+0	Up	+$1	06-17 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$124	65	65	+0	Up	+$2	08-04 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:00 UTC	8	$124	63	63	+0	Down	+$1	06-20 07:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:05 UTC	4	$122	62	62	+0	Up	+$1	06-20 12:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:15 UTC	4	$118	60	60	+0	Up	+$1	06-18 21:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 14:10 UTC	4	$118	60	60	+0	Down	+$1	06-18 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 20:00 UTC	4	$118	60	60	+0	Up	+$1	06-18 20:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:10 UTC	5	$118	60	60	+0	Down	+$1	06-18 21:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:50 UTC	4	$118	60	60	+0	Up	+$1	06-18 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:50 UTC	4	$118	60	60	+0	Up	+$1	06-18 19:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:15 UTC	18	$118	60	60	+0	Down	+$1	06-17 11:19
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	11	$118	60	60	+0	Down	+$1	06-18 15:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 08:00 UTC	7	$113	69	46	+23	Up	-$22	06-20 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:55 UTC	8	$110	56	56	+0	Down	+$1	06-17 13:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 05:10 UTC	16	$110	63	49	+14	Up	+$1	06-20 05:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:20 UTC	4	$102	55	55	+0	Up	+$7	08-03 17:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 15:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6e0f6e…
09-02 15:41:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x898b73…
09-02 15:32:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x06b943…
09-02 15:27:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbee77a…
09-02 15:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd7fc0b…
09-02 15:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1af63a…
09-02 15:06:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1f288e…
09-02 14:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xdb7e32…
09-02 14:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xc24d61…
09-02 14:12:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x5cfa32…
09-02 14:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x949f7a…
09-02 14:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0ed5fa…
09-02 14:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x083ea3…
09-02 14:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x123c02…
09-02 14:03:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xf63bd5…
09-02 14:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xf77bdb…
09-02 14:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3d6a9b…
09-02 14:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcde671…
09-02 13:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x8b8d1f…
09-02 13:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9f8e4a…
09-02 13:54:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x8a33f2…
09-02 13:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x315dbe…
09-02 13:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xefa38c…
09-02 13:50:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd30a56…
09-02 13:48:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x9c1181…
09-02 13:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x081bae…
09-02 13:45:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xf28ef7…
09-02 13:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4909ef…
09-02 13:45:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x44af34…
09-02 13:35:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xaed351…
09-02 13:35:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x2ed221…
09-02 13:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x84c4e2…
09-02 13:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x22b7a0…
09-02 12:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfa2a74…
09-02 12:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xe10bb1…
09-02 12:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x4eb49e…
09-02 12:00:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x6c89e7…
09-02 09:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa041d3…
09-02 09:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8c5834…
09-02 08:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5eb972…
09-02 07:50:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xba36b6…
09-02 07:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x765c93…
09-02 07:45:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x99c903…
09-02 07:35:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x649038…
09-02 07:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9438f7…
09-02 07:27:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5f8862…
09-02 07:26:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3bda9d…
09-02 07:20:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x133057…
09-02 07:15:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3cdc3b…
09-02 07:05:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4e8d64…
09-02 07:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x23aa08…
09-02 06:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8fcd8e…
09-02 06:51:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf8d917…
09-02 06:35:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb72eb3…
09-02 06:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x121f0a…
09-02 06:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xac9861…
09-02 06:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38855a…
09-02 06:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x498af5…
09-02 06:20:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x89bc0a…
09-02 06:18:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x49430a…
09-02 06:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc49a1c…
09-02 06:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x21c787…
09-02 06:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0acbd4…
09-02 06:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9a8fc5…
09-02 06:04:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc74f59…
09-02 06:04:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x0da6c9…
09-02 06:03:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc101a8…
09-02 06:00:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6694a3…
09-02 06:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5a66bd…
09-02 05:55:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0xd7004f…
09-02 05:55:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0edadb…
09-02 05:55:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe5f868…
09-02 05:51:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa7d961…
09-02 05:45:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x1be1b8…
09-02 05:45:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaefbcc…
09-02 05:45:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x16ba1b…
09-02 05:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xecc56e…
09-02 05:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb3cb2a…
09-02 05:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x6e0b52…
09-02 05:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x61957d…
09-02 05:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x623474…
09-02 05:40:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1d792d…
09-02 05:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9d2a70…
09-02 05:20:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x55f529…
09-02 05:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf0c82b…
09-02 05:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2c3c56…
09-02 04:57:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf4ae5d…
09-02 01:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x02e8a4…
09-02 01:18:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5a0f4f…
09-02 01:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc632e0…
09-02 00:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe73d84…
09-02 00:43:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x5e68cd…
09-02 00:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8f54c8…
09-02 00:40:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbe3ada…
09-02 00:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0300f3…
09-02 00:37:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x574322…
09-02 00:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x27f028…
09-02 00:36:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x264b72…
09-01 13:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa5b741…
09-01 13:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3be338…