Aching-Asset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

4.9%

Resolved

Trades

286

lifetime

Volume

$19.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-03 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

41% 0% $-1

Sports

35% 33% +$0

Crypto

17% — —

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$0	98¢	$0	$-0	07-06 11:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	7	$877	465	465	-0	open	—	03-23 09:26
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$757	401	401	+0	open	—	04-28 01:57
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	6	$725	373	373	+0	open	—	02-07 00:42
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	11	$714	377	377	+0	Yes	$-1	03-31 19:34
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$709	378	378	+0	open	—	03-11 11:39
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$669	353	353	+0	open	—	03-13 22:47
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	8	$646	333	333	+0	open	—	01-13 08:44
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	5	$630	333	333	+0	open	—	03-15 21:34
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	4	$544	279	279	+0	open	—	03-29 16:44
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$518	271	271	+0	open	—	04-13 07:50
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	7	$432	227	227	+0	open	—	03-10 20:42
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$406	209	209	+0	open	—	04-01 00:09
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$397	212	212	+0	open	—	04-21 22:30
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$378	201	201	+0	open	—	02-25 12:39
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	2	$368	191	191	+0	open	—	02-07 00:48
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$367	189	189	+0	open	—	03-09 06:46
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$349	179	179	+0	No	$-0	03-08 12:06
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$343	179	179	+0	No	$-0	04-13 15:58
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$330	170	170	+0	open	—	03-18 01:19
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	2	$325	169	169	+0	open	—	03-17 11:47
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	4	$324	171	171	+0	open	—	03-13 11:28
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	13	$317	168	168	+0	open	—	04-11 06:15
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$313	161	161	+0	open	—	03-14 22:14
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$309	160	160	+0	open	—	03-15 14:21
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$309	159	159	+0	open	—	03-16 09:22
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$309	161	161	+0	open	—	03-19 10:09
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	4	$295	153	153	+0	open	—	03-20 10:48
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	3	$283	145	145	+0	No	$-0	02-05 09:03
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	3	$281	147	147	+0	open	—	03-22 01:56
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$278	142	142	+0	open	—	03-24 20:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 11:59:22	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x5878b0…
07-06 07:56:08	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x219b92…
06-03 20:43:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	65	95¢	$62	0x890bc0…
06-03 13:42:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x3fe427…
05-19 22:48:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x9f0344…
05-19 16:42:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$38	0x646995…
05-19 01:58:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	46	93¢	$43	0xedc7ae…
05-18 20:53:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0xc81dad…
05-17 23:57:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	92¢	$52	0xb0a3c9…
05-17 15:53:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0x7edb65…
05-07 15:54:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	66	92¢	$61	0xfde2d2…
05-07 10:49:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	66	93¢	$61	0x6dc6e8…
05-07 03:31:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0xfc0142…
05-06 19:24:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x94b320…
05-06 13:06:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	61	92¢	$56	0xf26cd1…
05-06 08:04:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$58	0xe1588d…
05-05 05:18:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0x34d1f7…
05-05 00:12:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$61	0x511283…
05-03 20:21:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xad980d…
05-03 14:16:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x5e83d0…
05-03 14:06:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0xf28594…
05-03 07:02:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x11525b…
04-30 15:11:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	62	93¢	$58	0x671a07…
04-30 08:10:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	62	93¢	$58	0xd808fe…
04-28 01:57:40	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	48	93¢	$45	0x203a71…
04-27 20:46:06	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0xd0d965…
04-27 15:20:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0x704194…
04-27 10:16:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$45	0x467ff5…
04-27 10:07:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0xedb3f5…
04-27 04:07:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x15a150…
04-27 04:06:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x54994c…
04-21 22:30:52	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	63	93¢	$58	0xc420c1…
04-21 18:29:20	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	63	93¢	$58	0x314da1…
04-21 07:59:42	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x6ce289…
04-20 23:47:58	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x91c024…
04-20 14:44:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x49ed9f…
04-20 07:38:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0x250757…
04-19 02:03:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$56	0xc4c90e…
04-18 18:52:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$56	0x2f31c9…
04-18 14:11:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0x43394c…
04-18 09:48:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x7345b4…
04-18 04:25:32	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	54	96¢	$51	0x10b4ae…
04-17 22:21:54	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	54	96¢	$51	0x1e4684…
04-17 21:36:12	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x09f924…
04-17 14:26:50	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0xa464c8…
04-16 23:08:32	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0xa06cba…
04-16 14:54:42	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x8f6ebf…
04-15 01:25:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x2bff0c…
04-14 21:18:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xa65d1f…
04-13 15:58:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0xc2daea…
04-13 07:55:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x310c29…
04-13 07:50:47	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xff9c4f…
04-13 00:48:27	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x7eef7c…
04-13 00:44:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0xb71712…
04-12 16:43:37	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$57	0x51c52c…
04-11 10:23:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x7dba73…
04-11 06:22:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x402210…
04-11 06:15:41	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x27af83…
04-11 00:16:29	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xc16c08…
04-11 00:14:07	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x795b8e…
04-10 04:51:47	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x149ddb…
04-10 00:49:01	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xc2dc9e…
04-10 00:46:37	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	64	95¢	$60	0x76284c…
04-09 19:44:27	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$61	0xcd8253…
04-09 06:31:01	will min woo lee win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x5d545a…
04-08 22:32:51	will min woo lee win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x23a381…
04-08 22:23:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0x7f2b1d…
04-08 14:12:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x7fd442…
04-07 23:09:19	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0x64efdb…
04-07 17:52:55	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x445166…
04-02 01:35:33	will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x1bf83c…
04-01 06:52:33	will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x5d7b34…
04-01 00:09:11	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	68	98¢	$66	0x96777a…
03-31 20:04:03	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	68	98¢	$66	0x1f48d2…
03-31 19:34:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x1969a8…
03-31 11:31:05	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0x1e9ef5…
03-31 10:46:09	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	73	92¢	$68	0x622224…
03-31 04:03:31	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	73	93¢	$68	0xece2eb…
03-31 03:44:25	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	63	96¢	$61	0x0fa88c…
03-30 21:32:53	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xf33224…
03-29 16:44:12	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	137	97¢	$134	0x83e513…
03-29 10:38:32	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	137	97¢	$134	0x8e3f65…
03-29 09:43:18	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	129	98¢	$126	0xa931b8…
03-29 03:33:02	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	129	98¢	$126	0xeaad35…
03-28 13:12:59	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	135	97¢	$130	0x8f49b4…
03-28 08:14:03	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcf0522…
03-28 08:14:03	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x03f0ff…
03-28 08:09:31	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xcd5a36…
03-28 07:57:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	145	95¢	$137	0x029f6a…
03-28 01:51:33	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x026b1c…
03-28 01:48:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x35e401…
03-28 01:47:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x8186d9…
03-28 01:45:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0xa925a7…
03-28 01:45:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x578a8a…
03-26 10:34:59	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	141	97¢	$137	0x8ed36d…
03-26 06:30:21	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	141	97¢	$137	0xd4ddf7…
03-26 00:05:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	135	97¢	$131	0x74b09d…
03-25 17:54:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0x4ab080…
03-25 08:46:29	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	137	96¢	$131	0x54cf77…
03-25 04:33:11	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	137	96¢	$131	0xa4b9ba…