Misty-Urn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.1%

Resolved

209

Trades

2,564

lifetime

Volume

$6.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-17 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% $-45

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down march 17 2026 10pm et	5	$31	40	19	+20	open	—	03-18 02:00
ethereum up or down march 21 2026 8pm et	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	03-22 01:45
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 10pm et	4	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	03-18 01:49
xrp up or down march 22 2026 7am et	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 13:10
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 8pm et	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 01:45
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-11 01:12
bnb up or down march 16 2026 6am et	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	03-16 10:22
eth updown 5m 1774134300	2	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	03-21 23:06
eth updown 5m 1774137900	4	$8	19	0	+19	open	—	03-22 00:05
btc updown 5m 1774137300	2	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	03-21 23:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 15:05
eth updown 5m 1774137300	2	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	03-21 23:55
eth updown 5m 1774359600	2	$7	15	15	+0	open	—	03-24 13:44
btc updown 5m 1774293900	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-23 19:26
sol updown 15m 1774570500	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-27 00:18
btc updown 15m 1774656000	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-28 00:03
btc updown 5m 1774278000	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-23 15:00
btc updown 5m 1774308000	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-23 23:20
btc updown 15m 1774471500	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 20:48
eth updown 5m 1774398900	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 00:35
btc updown 15m 1774632600	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-27 17:33
eth updown 15m 1774619100	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-27 13:49
btc updown 5m 1774342200	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-24 08:51
sol updown 15m 1774448100	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 14:18
btc updown 5m 1774279200	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-23 15:20
btc updown 15m 1774570500	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-27 00:18
eth updown 15m 1774654200	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-27 23:31
btc updown 5m 1774326600	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-24 04:30
eth updown 5m 1774315500	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-24 01:25
btc updown 5m 1774398900	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 00:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 22:00:35	btc updown 5m 1781733600	Up	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x903bee…
06-17 22:00:34	btc updown 5m 1781733600	Up	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xc8597d…
06-17 18:03:32	eth updown 5m 1781719500	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x47d9c6…
06-17 18:00:31	btc updown 5m 1781719200	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3b02f6…
06-17 17:54:14	btc updown 5m 1781718900	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x949389…
06-17 16:15:38	btc updown 5m 1781712900	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4e074c…
06-17 15:34:29	btc updown 5m 1781710500	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3d0267…
06-17 14:40:32	eth updown 5m 1781707200	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x52ca69…
06-17 14:24:26	btc updown 5m 1781706300	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa8de68…
06-17 13:31:02	btc updown 5m 1781703000	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x19148a…
06-17 11:04:46	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x33bde9…
06-17 11:03:20	ethereum up or down june 17 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfe43ee…
06-17 11:02:28	solana up or down june 17 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x32a1c8…
06-17 11:02:25	solana up or down june 17 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd9cfb6…
06-17 11:02:20	xrp up or down june 17 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x252a56…
06-17 10:59:07	xrp up or down june 17 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x1fd19e…
06-17 10:04:34	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xee6649…
06-17 10:04:34	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x5a2e27…
06-17 10:03:11	ethereum up or down june 17 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6ca2c9…
06-17 10:03:08	solana up or down june 17 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3e3878…
06-17 10:03:07	solana up or down june 17 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd4e2ba…
06-17 10:02:46	xrp up or down june 17 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xee4753…
06-17 08:07:58	ethereum up or down june 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xac6e65…
06-17 08:06:02	xrp up or down june 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf10772…
06-17 08:02:38	solana up or down june 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x67afcb…
06-17 08:02:25	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd3a1bc…
06-16 14:16:40	xrp up or down june 16 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcdc507…
06-16 14:16:40	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1ad595…
06-16 14:12:59	solana up or down june 16 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbac2e0…
06-16 13:07:58	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3aea99…
06-16 12:07:04	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4530fd…
06-16 12:07:03	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x5d8cf1…
06-16 12:04:45	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd411bc…
06-16 11:19:43	xrp up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe7f2ab…
06-16 11:16:39	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7cb44b…
06-16 11:16:37	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x6d4d9c…
06-16 11:16:21	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x23429c…
06-15 15:18:22	ethereum up or down june 15 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7838ab…
06-15 15:18:03	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5f2466…
06-15 15:14:03	xrp up or down june 15 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x14c1ce…
06-15 15:14:00	xrp up or down june 15 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x900093…
06-15 15:10:33	solana up or down june 15 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x788627…
06-10 16:45:52	xrp updown 15m 1781109900	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x9208e7…
06-10 16:45:37	xrp updown 15m 1781109900	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x675ad4…
06-10 16:31:03	xrp updown 15m 1781109000	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x745c25…
06-10 16:30:58	xrp updown 15m 1781109000	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x82d1fc…
06-10 15:46:49	sol updown 15m 1781106300	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x300e90…
06-10 15:46:45	xrp updown 15m 1781106300	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbba57a…
06-10 15:45:54	xrp updown 15m 1781106300	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc5c03f…
06-10 15:45:54	sol updown 15m 1781106300	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3f1539…
06-10 15:33:10	xrp updown 15m 1781105400	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xae3238…
06-10 15:32:39	sol updown 15m 1781105400	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x033b55…
06-09 00:00:34	eth updown 15m 1780963200	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5f4b58…
06-08 23:05:54	eth updown 5m 1780959900	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x5dc171…
06-08 22:50:31	eth updown 5m 1780959000	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x272c8c…
06-08 22:15:55	eth updown 5m 1780956900	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x680f44…
06-08 22:10:31	eth updown 5m 1780956600	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x09a64c…
06-08 22:01:09	eth updown 5m 1780956000	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcf88f4…
06-08 21:40:31	eth updown 5m 1780954800	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x64d00b…
06-08 21:40:31	eth updown 5m 1780954800	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x268373…
06-08 21:16:12	eth updown 15m 1780953300	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8956f5…
06-08 21:05:39	eth updown 5m 1780952700	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x08a784…
06-08 21:00:31	eth updown 5m 1780952400	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x81b13f…
06-08 20:40:31	eth updown 5m 1780951200	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xbe23c5…
06-08 20:30:39	eth updown 5m 1780950600	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x025429…
06-08 20:20:31	eth updown 5m 1780950000	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4b837d…
06-08 20:10:34	eth updown 5m 1780949400	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x4b6629…
06-08 20:10:33	eth updown 5m 1780949400	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf63589…
06-08 20:10:31	eth updown 5m 1780949400	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5c4ff8…
06-08 19:47:58	eth updown 15m 1780947900	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x34319e…
06-08 19:45:48	eth updown 15m 1780947900	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9e9297…
06-08 19:45:46	eth updown 5m 1780947900	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xd95532…
06-08 19:45:45	eth updown 5m 1780947900	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xedfa6b…
06-08 19:45:45	eth updown 5m 1780947900	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xaffb66…
06-08 18:35:45	eth updown 5m 1780943700	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x922e24…
06-08 18:35:42	eth updown 5m 1780943700	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x9d7b07…
06-08 17:45:42	eth updown 5m 1780940700	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5ae1fc…
06-08 17:45:42	eth updown 5m 1780940700	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x2f3ed4…
06-08 17:00:45	eth updown 15m 1780938000	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0532d4…
06-08 17:00:43	eth updown 5m 1780938000	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x212c69…
06-08 16:55:37	eth updown 5m 1780937700	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5d6789…
06-08 16:45:34	eth updown 5m 1780937100	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xe0d83d…
06-08 16:45:34	eth updown 5m 1780937100	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5b9bba…
06-08 16:20:55	eth updown 5m 1780935600	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x11c8bd…
06-08 16:15:45	eth updown 5m 1780935300	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xc6e0be…
06-08 16:15:45	eth updown 5m 1780935300	Down	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x3fa17a…
06-08 16:05:31	eth updown 5m 1780934700	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x68ed21…
06-08 16:05:19	ethereum up or down june 8 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcfe074…
06-08 16:00:49	eth updown 5m 1780934400	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xa3bc19…
06-08 16:00:46	eth updown 5m 1780934400	Up	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xe8b3da…
06-08 16:00:39	eth updown 15m 1780934400	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4e6326…
06-08 15:10:43	eth updown 5m 1780931400	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x525291…
06-08 15:01:25	ethereum up or down june 8 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbc20c9…
06-08 15:01:00	eth updown 15m 1780930800	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4806c7…
06-08 15:00:54	eth updown 5m 1780930800	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfdba48…
06-08 14:55:31	eth updown 5m 1780930500	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x017d52…
06-08 14:50:31	eth updown 5m 1780930200	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8c4d0d…
06-08 14:02:57	eth updown 15m 1780927200	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe8587b…
06-08 14:00:46	eth updown 5m 1780927200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcea9ff…
06-08 14:00:46	eth updown 15m 1780927200	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x109141…