Misty-Urn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.1%

Resolved

209

Trades

3,844

lifetime

Volume

$9.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 08-13 00:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% $-45

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down march 17 2026 10pm et	5	$31	40	19	+20	open	—	03-18 02:00
ethereum up or down march 21 2026 8pm et	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	03-22 01:45
sol updown 15m 1786191300	7	$23	35	0	+35	open	—	08-08 12:19
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 10pm et	4	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	03-18 01:49
xrp up or down march 22 2026 7am et	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 13:10
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 8pm et	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 01:45
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-11 01:12
bnb up or down march 16 2026 6am et	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	03-16 10:22
eth updown 5m 1774134300	2	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	03-21 23:06
eth updown 5m 1774137900	4	$8	19	0	+19	open	—	03-22 00:05
btc updown 5m 1774137300	2	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	03-21 23:55
xrp updown 15m 1786195800	3	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	08-08 13:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 15:05
eth updown 5m 1774137300	2	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	03-21 23:55
eth updown 5m 1774359600	2	$7	15	15	+0	open	—	03-24 13:44
xrp updown 15m 1774491300	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-26 02:15
sol updown 15m 1774643400	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-27 20:30
eth updown 5m 1774380900	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-24 19:35
btc updown 15m 1774579500	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-27 02:48
btc updown 5m 1774279200	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-23 15:20
btc updown 5m 1774407600	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 03:00
btc updown 5m 1774398900	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 00:35
btc updown 15m 1774656000	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-28 00:03
eth updown 15m 1774443600	4	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 13:01
eth updown 15m 1774530900	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-26 13:16
eth updown 5m 1774398900	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 00:35
btc updown 5m 1774308000	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-23 23:20
sol updown 15m 1774568700	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-26 23:47
eth updown 5m 1774280700	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-23 15:45
eth updown 5m 1774317300	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-24 01:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 02:45:39	sol updown 15m 1786589100	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd27b40…
08-13 02:15:34	xrp updown 15m 1786587300	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb82482…
08-13 02:04:21	xrp updown 15m 1786586400	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5fe811…
08-13 01:16:21	eth updown 15m 1786583700	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x27bdb6…
08-13 01:16:00	btc updown 15m 1786583700	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x67d2ea…
08-13 01:15:34	sol updown 15m 1786583700	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa9d22c…
08-13 00:30:49	btc updown 15m 1786581000	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3d9f98…
08-13 00:30:45	eth updown 15m 1786581000	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7bee4b…
08-13 00:04:09	btc updown 15m 1786579200	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x27e5a9…
08-12 21:46:12	eth updown 15m 1786571100	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x541b56…
08-12 21:45:30	btc updown 15m 1786571100	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1ccde2…
08-12 21:04:55	sol updown 15m 1786568400	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xff42fb…
08-12 21:04:48	btc updown 15m 1786568400	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2ca78f…
08-12 20:45:40	sol updown 15m 1786567500	Down	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xe35722…
08-12 20:45:40	sol updown 15m 1786567500	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xcb107c…
08-12 20:31:16	xrp updown 15m 1786566600	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x39b35b…
08-12 18:46:01	sol updown 15m 1786560300	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6ed250…
08-12 18:30:45	sol updown 15m 1786559400	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb02ceb…
08-12 18:30:43	sol updown 15m 1786559400	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x7fb5b7…
08-12 18:30:36	sol updown 15m 1786559400	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x08b0cb…
08-12 18:15:54	sol updown 15m 1786558500	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2833b9…
08-12 18:02:27	xrp updown 15m 1786557600	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x948eeb…
08-12 17:45:40	sol updown 15m 1786556700	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1da499…
08-12 17:31:36	sol updown 15m 1786555800	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7f17ca…
08-12 17:17:18	btc updown 15m 1786554900	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2cdb16…
08-12 17:16:28	sol updown 15m 1786554900	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf41e1a…
08-12 16:30:43	eth updown 15m 1786552200	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfc8c98…
08-12 12:33:52	xrp updown 15m 1786537800	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x80e303…
08-12 12:01:39	xrp updown 15m 1786536000	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd1b711…
08-12 11:33:43	sol updown 15m 1786534200	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x97310d…
08-12 11:33:27	sol updown 15m 1786534200	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3cd06a…
08-12 11:27:39	sol updown 15m 1786533300	Down	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xdb8d52…
08-12 11:16:46	sol updown 15m 1786533300	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3af745…
08-12 11:08:33	btc updown 15m 1786532400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5d6f55…
08-12 11:06:52	eth updown 15m 1786532400	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x60382d…
08-12 11:04:42	xrp updown 15m 1786532400	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5dd33e…
08-12 11:02:55	sol updown 15m 1786532400	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb246ce…
08-12 10:49:19	xrp updown 15m 1786531500	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xec3b2a…
08-12 10:31:01	sol updown 15m 1786530600	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4b3acf…
08-12 10:21:34	xrp updown 15m 1786529700	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x19ecd6…
08-12 10:15:45	sol updown 15m 1786529700	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc10b25…
08-12 10:01:25	sol updown 15m 1786528800	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa5d3e7…
08-12 09:47:07	sol updown 15m 1786527900	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xf6af05…
08-12 09:47:07	sol updown 15m 1786527900	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb8ad36…
08-12 09:35:27	sol updown 15m 1786527000	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1683fa…
08-12 08:30:34	eth updown 15m 1786523400	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xac14cc…
08-12 08:00:33	btc updown 15m 1786521600	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x78824b…
08-12 07:18:30	xrp updown 15m 1786518900	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x913853…
08-12 05:49:51	eth updown 15m 1786513500	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x96afb2…
08-12 05:48:09	xrp updown 15m 1786513500	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6bb1d4…
08-12 05:30:39	xrp updown 15m 1786512600	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7e8d21…
08-12 02:47:09	btc updown 15m 1786502700	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x04f53b…
08-12 02:31:58	btc updown 15m 1786501800	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe800c4…
08-12 02:30:52	eth updown 15m 1786501800	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3da3b3…
08-12 02:30:43	sol updown 15m 1786501800	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4fed82…
08-12 02:20:22	sol updown 15m 1786500900	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5d8e3d…
08-12 01:52:27	xrp updown 15m 1786499100	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x48f578…
08-12 01:45:36	eth updown 15m 1786499100	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xcd6046…
08-12 01:20:13	sol updown 15m 1786497300	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x35ced0…
08-12 01:05:09	btc updown 15m 1786496400	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x85e48f…
08-12 01:04:09	sol updown 15m 1786496400	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x433e52…
08-12 00:48:09	xrp updown 15m 1786495500	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1cf779…
08-12 00:18:09	xrp updown 15m 1786493700	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc9149e…
08-11 23:52:49	xrp updown 15m 1786491900	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3552ba…
08-11 23:45:27	sol updown 15m 1786491900	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x36a8ed…
08-11 23:36:25	sol updown 15m 1786491000	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3a1ea9…
08-11 23:19:57	sol updown 15m 1786490100	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3c0cb0…
08-11 22:46:18	sol updown 15m 1786488300	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x26f53a…
08-11 22:46:09	xrp updown 15m 1786488300	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd63487…
08-11 22:33:22	eth updown 15m 1786487400	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x52f1d3…
08-11 22:32:33	btc updown 15m 1786487400	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x851c0d…
08-11 22:32:30	xrp updown 15m 1786487400	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x07ce8d…
08-11 22:31:03	sol updown 15m 1786487400	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x17c6a4…
08-11 22:21:15	btc updown 15m 1786486500	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf32cd9…
08-11 22:19:07	xrp updown 15m 1786486500	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0e4ffa…
08-11 21:53:03	eth updown 15m 1786484700	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5bb7e0…
08-11 21:36:04	xrp updown 15m 1786483800	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4747a5…
08-11 21:25:22	sol updown 15m 1786482900	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x81e518…
08-11 21:15:39	xrp updown 15m 1786482900	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9a9e6d…
08-11 21:04:43	xrp updown 15m 1786482000	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x40799f…
08-11 21:03:28	eth updown 15m 1786482000	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0512ec…
08-11 20:49:57	sol updown 15m 1786481100	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4d7340…
08-11 20:49:46	xrp updown 15m 1786481100	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x897aa8…
08-11 20:34:37	xrp updown 15m 1786480200	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3b805b…
08-11 20:33:54	eth updown 15m 1786480200	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2cd6be…
08-11 20:30:37	sol updown 15m 1786480200	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6fb773…
08-11 19:52:07	xrp updown 15m 1786477500	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa74859…
08-11 19:45:28	btc updown 15m 1786477500	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xccbab0…
08-11 19:33:49	eth updown 15m 1786476600	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6feb43…
08-11 19:03:48	xrp updown 15m 1786474800	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2ae5e9…
08-11 19:02:45	sol updown 15m 1786474800	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xceebd1…
08-11 19:01:09	eth updown 15m 1786474800	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdcb5f9…
08-11 18:52:36	sol updown 15m 1786473900	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7ebe77…
08-11 18:10:46	xrp updown 15m 1786471200	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7e6c58…
08-11 17:49:21	xrp updown 15m 1786470300	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc41548…
08-11 17:31:48	sol updown 15m 1786469400	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6fcae7…
08-11 17:31:13	xrp updown 15m 1786469400	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x220cd6…
08-11 17:30:52	eth updown 15m 1786469400	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3fbe0e…
08-11 17:06:36	xrp updown 15m 1786467600	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x138dc4…
08-11 16:47:45	xrp updown 15m 1786466700	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe5fbcd…