Nifty-Inauguration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.15K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved

2,983

Trades

9,352

lifetime

Volume

$28.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 10-20 07:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 53% -$406

Other

23% 34% -$496

Sports

6% 35% -$243

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 539 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 20?	5	$441	306	306	+0	No	+$32	08-20 20:00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20?	3	$355	414	414	+0	Yes	+$297	08-20 11:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:05 UTC	29	$238	132	132	+0	Down	+$24	08-03 07:10
mlb tex mil 2026 08 28 spread home 1pt5	2	$230	156	156	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$81	08-29 02:33
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 02:25 UTC	5	$194	432	0	+432	Up	-$194	06-13 02:30
cs2 nip m80 2026 03 02 game2	21	$193	123	123	+0	NIP	+$53	03-02 17:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 00:35 UTC	67	$183	314	0	+314	Down	+$95	08-06 00:39
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	23	$174	503	0	+503	Down	-$159	06-13 00:35
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?	40	$171	193	193	+0	No	-$5	05-02 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 07:45 UTC	20	$148	95	80	+15	Down	+$10	08-07 07:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 16:05 UTC	51	$143	234	0	+234	Up	+$91	08-04 16:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?	2	$142	93	93	+0	Yes	+$44	08-25 17:49
bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 2pm et	19	$141	90	90	+0	Down	+$39	08-08 18:59
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$137	76	76	+0	No	-$1	06-24 16:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 17:30 UTC	14	$135	84	84	+0	Down	+$30	08-05 17:35
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 25?	2	$132	67	67	+0	No	-$2	06-24 05:10
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage	18	$130	80	80	+0	Imperial	+$1	08-05 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 03:05 UTC	46	$129	110	110	+0	Up	+$80	08-06 03:10
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$122	98	98	+0	No	$0	06-24 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 06:50 UTC	11	$119	100	70	+30	Down	+$21	03-25 06:56
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 07:25 UTC	34	$119	137	46	+91	Up	-$28	08-05 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?	2	$117	70	70	+0	Yes	+$18	06-13 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 25?	2	$114	95	95	+0	Yes	+$76	08-25 17:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?	2	$114	65	65	+0	Yes	+$15	08-27 09:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 22:45 UTC	10	$113	238	0	+238	Down	+$126	06-12 22:50
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	24	$111	124	49	+75	Down	-$13	06-12 19:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:30 UTC	14	$109	65	65	+0	Down	+$21	08-07 07:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 23:40 UTC	37	$104	219	0	+219	Down	+$22	08-05 23:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:15 UTC	12	$103	55	55	+0	Up	+$6	08-07 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 01:00 UTC	47	$102	205	17	+188	Up	+$45	08-06 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 07:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x3fbe25…
10-19 19:03:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x22b487…
10-19 18:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xcd7ede…
10-19 18:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6f24b3…
10-19 17:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x28f5fb…
10-19 17:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb674db…
10-19 17:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9c4848…
10-19 17:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x109688…
10-19 17:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3d4920…
10-19 17:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2a7caf…
10-19 17:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xb708c0…
10-19 17:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x67f868…
10-19 17:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xe41a60…
10-19 16:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x9e86d7…
10-19 16:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x3c2f3e…
10-19 16:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x668c53…
10-19 16:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x933c3b…
10-19 16:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x58f79b…
10-19 16:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x41ea56…
10-19 16:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc0ea54…
10-19 16:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	243	5¢	$11	0x58af75…
10-19 14:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x0e3c08…
10-19 11:23:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x2ebb0c…
10-19 11:23:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1abc16…
10-19 11:23:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x49392c…
10-19 11:23:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xf51af1…
10-19 10:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x2f69ff…
10-19 10:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xc6155f…
10-19 10:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x479824…
10-19 10:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x1d0960…
10-19 09:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xb4cf76…
10-19 07:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x9458af…
10-19 06:03:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf8e244…
10-19 04:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xeb1cef…
10-19 04:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x9ce3a4…
10-19 04:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x1b37e6…
10-19 03:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf7c3bc…
10-19 03:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xaefac5…
10-19 03:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x8cd2cc…
10-19 03:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xc413c8…
10-19 03:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x8e5800…
10-19 02:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x15c00a…
10-19 02:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x191ec7…
10-18 17:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xa23fca…
10-18 14:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd7c5d2…
10-18 13:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd2993b…
10-18 13:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xb08524…
10-18 12:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xd9a1b2…
10-18 12:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9cdbf8…
10-18 12:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0xeea1fe…
10-18 12:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2ce8ea…
10-18 12:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x744af4…
10-18 12:11:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xad298f…
10-18 11:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x20d0ac…
10-18 11:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x8e07f5…
10-18 11:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x9d09bf…
10-18 11:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4f7cfa…
10-18 10:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x757293…
10-18 10:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x51f9a8…
10-18 10:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x930235…
10-18 10:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x3e9c77…
10-18 10:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfa1428…
10-18 10:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x973fa7…
10-18 10:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3bc48f…
10-18 10:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x5c3fd6…
10-18 09:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x296684…
10-18 09:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x558770…
10-18 09:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x998068…
10-18 09:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x9fa235…
10-18 09:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0xe8227c…
10-18 09:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0xb2872a…
10-18 09:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x81ad5b…
10-18 09:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x760823…
10-18 09:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x1641a5…
10-18 09:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xace395…
10-18 09:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x4b2b58…
10-18 08:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	44	30¢	$13	0xf30ade…
10-18 08:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x169448…
10-18 08:21:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x6ad7e3…
10-18 08:21:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x639da1…
10-18 08:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xfc313c…
10-18 08:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$0	0xaa46cc…
10-18 08:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf979d2…
10-18 08:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xf7667f…
10-18 07:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x9b4c89…
10-18 00:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x800a9b…
10-18 00:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xf3a08d…
10-17 23:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xcdf1e2…
10-17 21:54:08	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x49f914…
10-17 18:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x13aee9…
10-17 18:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xa24791…
10-17 18:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xf5b7f3…
10-17 18:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe19b7e…
10-17 18:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xbe93bd…
10-17 17:06:17	highest temperature in amsterdam on october 18 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x6c8658…
10-17 17:06:15	highest temperature in amsterdam on october 18 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x85829a…
10-17 17:02:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1811bf…
10-17 16:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C or higher on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x816f73…
10-17 16:53:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xfe6eb8…
10-17 16:50:47	highest temperature in london on october 18 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xb70a1b…