Kaleidoscopic-Family — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.79K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$30.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$193

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-12 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

73% 57% $-1,794

Crypto

25% — —

Politics

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$3.2K	1,997	1,997	+0	Team Falcons	+$739	05-12 11:01
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner	4	$3.0K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	04-30 16:51
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?	4	$2.5K	2,726	2,726	+0	open	—	01-26 12:39
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)	5	$2.2K	1,250	1,250	+0	Vitality	+$303	05-11 19:55
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	4	$2.1K	1,059	1,059	+0	open	—	01-24 19:55
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	1	$2.0K	2,569	0	+2,569	BetBoom Team	$-1,952	05-12 19:10
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$1.8K	1,100	1,300	-200	open	—	04-01 08:02
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	5	$1.7K	1,941	1,231	+710	9z	$-726	05-10 14:34
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)	2	$1.5K	958	958	+0	9z	+$373	05-11 10:54
will vitality win iem rio 2026	4	$929	718	1,216	-498	open	—	04-12 12:31
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)	2	$914	590	590	+0	Team Falcons	+$265	05-11 09:31
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$795	2,463	0	+2,463	MOUZ	$-795	05-10 07:49
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	11	$775	445	445	-0	open	—	03-24 19:49
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	12	$657	393	393	+0	open	—	03-13 15:04
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	7	$490	876	661	+215	open	—	02-24 13:50
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$476	363	363	+0	open	—	03-24 19:49
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	3	$440	231	231	+0	open	—	02-27 09:56
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	4	$356	123	482	-359	open	—	02-26 10:40
will usdai launch a token by march 31	10	$322	363	0	+363	open	—	03-13 20:59
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	4	$261	164	164	+0	open	—	02-10 18:22
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$258	150	150	+0	open	—	02-10 18:22
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	3	$238	147	147	+0	open	—	02-10 18:19
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	2	$234	132	132	+0	open	—	02-17 19:29
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$217	219	0	+219	open	—	01-22 05:46
will martine vassal win the marseille mayor election	2	$216	110	110	+0	open	—	01-21 11:22
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	02-10 18:20
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	02-10 18:21
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$181	131	131	+0	open	—	04-01 08:01
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$179	111	331	-220	open	—	01-29 07:55
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$170	100	100	+0	open	—	03-24 19:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 19:10:02	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	2,569	76¢	$1,952	0x826fd1…
05-12 11:01:06	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	SELL	1,997	99¢	$1,977	0xc9aaa0…
05-12 10:01:50	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	1,997	62¢	$1,238	0x67ec7f…
05-11 19:55:22	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)	Vitality	SELL	1,250	100¢	$1,249	0x39eed1…
05-11 18:16:10	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	259	76¢	$197	0xae2bb4…
05-11 18:16:00	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xb10f02…
05-11 18:16:00	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x6dcf99…
05-11 18:15:58	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	974	76¢	$736	0xe1ea2b…
05-11 10:54:49	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)	9z	SELL	958	100¢	$957	0x4dc7ae…
05-11 09:38:17	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)	9z	BUY	958	61¢	$584	0x09ba8e…
05-11 09:31:14	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)	Team Falcons	SELL	590	100¢	$589	0xd364cd…
05-11 07:26:08	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)	Team Falcons	BUY	590	55¢	$324	0x9e2825…
05-10 14:34:13	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	710	68¢	$483	0x53f6d9…
05-10 14:27:52	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9z	SELL	69	40¢	$28	0xeb8b97…
05-10 14:27:52	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9z	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xe2fa91…
05-10 14:27:50	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9z	SELL	1,137	40¢	$458	0x1c4543…
05-10 14:20:26	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9z	BUY	1,231	60¢	$739	0x6d33b1…
05-10 07:49:11	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	G2	BUY	2,463	32¢	$795	0xeed4bb…
04-30 16:51:48	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner	Astralis	SELL	1,700	100¢	$1,698	0x54dec3…
04-30 16:14:44	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner	Astralis	BUY	524	73¢	$382	0xe08ede…
04-30 16:14:44	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner	Astralis	BUY	250	74¢	$185	0x3c3a1d…
04-30 16:14:44	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner	Astralis	BUY	926	74¢	$686	0x0b61c9…
04-12 12:31:09	will vitality win iem rio 2026	Yes	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0xde0ea5…
04-12 12:04:35	will vitality win iem rio 2026	Yes	BUY	42	65¢	$28	0x9aad65…
04-12 06:41:53	will vitality win iem rio 2026	Yes	BUY	626	65¢	$407	0x8b6894…
04-10 23:11:49	will vitality win iem rio 2026	No	SELL	1,216	38¢	$462	0xaaa190…
04-01 08:02:01	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,300	78¢	$1,009	0x90d38a…
04-01 08:01:45	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	131	95¢	$124	0x3b06bf…
04-01 08:01:23	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xada5f4…
03-25 09:58:49	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,050	73¢	$765	0x075fee…
03-24 19:50:01	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xdca379…
03-24 19:49:43	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	445	100¢	$444	0xca8e7b…
03-24 19:49:21	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	163	100¢	$162	0x78a6ce…
03-24 19:49:05	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1a7b53…
03-13 23:28:43	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xf37dd7…
03-13 21:08:31	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x906760…
03-13 21:08:31	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x876462…
03-13 21:08:31	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x57d439…
03-13 21:08:15	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xdf1451…
03-13 21:08:15	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd5fac4…
03-13 21:08:15	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb273ca…
03-13 21:07:45	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xca5c7e…
03-13 21:07:11	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	163	42¢	$68	0x259cdc…
03-13 21:01:59	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x2585fb…
03-13 21:01:59	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	70	74¢	$52	0x136fa5…
03-13 20:59:13	will usdai launch a token by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x902686…
03-13 20:20:29	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0x3128fd…
03-13 15:04:01	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x09a20a…
03-13 14:47:49	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc92c39…
03-13 14:47:49	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x47d0e9…
03-13 14:28:45	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	230	99¢	$228	0x4be553…
03-13 14:20:51	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0xbbb6ea…
03-13 12:15:35	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x78c9df…
03-13 12:09:03	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa8dcd0…
03-13 12:04:01	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7a0d2e…
03-13 11:55:15	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xde0b2e…
03-13 11:55:05	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6b11de…
03-13 11:37:53	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	245	75¢	$183	0x9eaa72…
03-13 11:36:37	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	77	88¢	$68	0x965c4c…
03-13 11:36:25	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0xd12e63…
03-12 08:24:37	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0xfe4ddf…
03-12 08:23:59	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x40f23a…
03-10 11:43:25	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x81cc98…
03-10 11:39:21	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	47	68¢	$32	0xd49480…
03-10 11:36:49	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	346	68¢	$236	0xdea581…
02-27 10:02:11	will usdai launch a token by march 31	Yes	BUY	96	92¢	$88	0x7d0f94…
02-27 10:01:23	will usdai launch a token by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x0f3473…
02-27 09:58:25	will usdai launch a token by march 31	Yes	BUY	139	91¢	$127	0xf81cd1…
02-27 09:56:25	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	97¢	$224	0xd7cb78…
02-27 09:39:05	will usdai launch a token by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x878762…
02-27 09:38:37	will usdai launch a token by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xc357f3…
02-27 09:37:29	will usdai launch a token by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x3f21e2…
02-27 09:35:55	will usdai launch a token by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	82¢	$21	0x96e5c1…
02-27 09:33:37	will usdai launch a token by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x95e8c1…
02-27 09:32:23	will usdai launch a token by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0eb56c…
02-26 10:40:20	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	199	44¢	$88	0x074088…
02-25 09:37:56	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0x078f68…
02-25 09:36:28	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	180	13¢	$23	0x30d5f7…
02-25 09:12:26	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	93¢	$97	0x35e21b…
02-25 09:06:06	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	93¢	$119	0x48ecc4…
02-24 13:50:08	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8aa313…
02-17 20:30:27	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	216	76¢	$164	0x0a569a…
02-17 20:26:07	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	660	24¢	$157	0x40dfa2…
02-17 20:25:15	Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	8¢	$6	0xa438ab…
02-17 20:06:35	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x530920…
02-17 20:06:25	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	70	26¢	$18	0x488bc8…
02-17 20:03:13	Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	230	9¢	$21	0xe76fac…
02-17 19:39:57	Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	310	10¢	$31	0x17cfe1…
02-17 19:36:53	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	80	44¢	$35	0x6813d3…
02-17 19:35:59	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x1f5d3c…
02-17 19:29:59	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	132	89¢	$117	0x3db2a5…
02-17 08:28:11	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	382	25¢	$96	0x0c28d9…
02-17 08:08:21	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	160	48¢	$76	0x088f0a…
02-15 14:48:57	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	180	17¢	$31	0xcded33…
02-15 14:11:01	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	80	78¢	$62	0xdad2ad…
02-15 14:08:57	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x45dc1e…
02-15 14:07:19	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xf691e0…
02-15 14:04:51	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xb24652…
02-15 14:04:21	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0xce402b…
02-10 18:23:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	75	70¢	$52	0xdb0c56…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	44	$215.3K	4,924	04-30 11:44
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	44	$77.4K	7,496	03-28 06:14
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	43	$48.2K	453	04-28 00:41
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	40	$8.07K	1,436	04-28 06:30
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	38	$107.0K	12,689	03-25 19:20
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	37	$7.96K	3,432	04-14 12:14
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	36	$93.4K	9,113	04-22 00:42
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	35	$38.5K	2,335	04-30 14:19