Modern-Cephalopod — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

265

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$388.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.29K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 09-14 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

83% 56% -$45,638

Sports

17% 46% +$19,863

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$27.4K	51,663	+51,663	Yes	+$24,282	05-30 15:58
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total home 1pt5	2	$26.4K	39,652	+39,652	Under	-$26,383	06-21 18:17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	1	$20.1K	29,592	+29,592	No	-$20,122	05-04 16:43
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-14?	1	$19.2K	29,456	+29,456	No	-$19,213	09-14 16:33
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	2	$16.7K	28,390	+28,390	Norway	+$11,640	06-16 19:20
Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	2	$12.1K	18,010	+18,010	Yes	+$5,926	09-10 18:48
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?	1	$11.3K	25,071	+25,071	Yes	+$13,789	05-27 16:45
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	4	$10.8K	15,434	+15,434	Over	+$4,634	04-28 18:59
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	1	$10.0K	15,068	+15,068	Yes	+$5,068	06-20 19:55
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	1	$10.0K	21,277	+21,277	No	-$10,000	06-19 21:18
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners total 8pt5	1	$10.0K	16,667	+16,667	Over	+$6,667	06-18 18:41
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 team total home 1pt5	1	$10.0K	21,745	+21,745	Under	-$10,000	06-19 21:18
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	1	$8.3K	15,105	+15,105	Yes	+$6,797	06-14 19:34
Commanders vs. Eagles	2	$8.3K	11,804	+11,804	Eagles	+$3,541	09-13 19:50
fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 team total home 2pt5	1	$7.6K	15,163	+15,163	Under	-$7,550	06-20 19:58
Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	2	$7.4K	12,369	+12,369	Over	+$4,948	09-13 13:26
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?	1	$7.3K	12,590	+12,590	Yes	+$5,288	04-25 11:51
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12?	2	$6.4K	12,983	+12,983	No	-$6,362	09-12 16:01
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total home 3pt5	1	$5.9K	9,301	+9,301	Over	+$3,380	06-14 16:01
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$5.1K	425,758	+425,758	No	-$5,100	06-10 14:56
epl ips liv 2026 09 04 team total away 1pt5	1	$5.0K	6,873	+6,873	Over	+$1,873	09-04 17:20
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	1	$5.0K	8,780	+8,780	Over	+$3,780	06-20 19:55
fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 corners total 9pt5	1	$5.0K	10,024	+10,024	Under	-$5,000	06-13 21:11
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	1	$5.0K	7,405	+7,405	Over	+$2,405	06-20 18:37
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	2	$5.0K	8,333	+8,333	Qatar	-$5,000	06-13 17:12
fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	1	$4.0K	7,487	+7,487	Under	-$4,043	06-25 06:34
Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5	1	$3.7K	5,121	+5,121	Over	+$1,410	09-12 11:54
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 corners team away 2pt5	1	$3.0K	4,708	+4,708	Under	-$3,000	06-21 18:16
Spread: Chargers (-2.5)	1	$2.0K	2,548	+2,548	Cardinals	-$2,000	09-13 19:48
Dolphins vs. Raiders	1	$2.0K	3,279	+3,279	Raiders	+$1,279	09-13 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 16:33:36	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	29,456	65¢	$19,213	0x078bd9…
09-13 19:50:51	Commanders vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	883	70¢	$618	0xb1b3ee…
09-13 19:50:34	Cowboys vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	625	40¢	$250	0x0068c3…
09-13 19:50:10	Commanders vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	10,921	70¢	$7,645	0x2b0bf1…
09-13 19:49:24	Dolphins vs. Raiders	Raiders	BUY	3,279	61¢	$2,000	0x95d2c5…
09-13 19:48:51	Spread: Chargers (-2.5)	Chargers	BUY	2,548	79¢	$2,000	0x49fdd1…
09-13 19:47:13	Saints vs. Lions: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0x4df5af…
09-13 16:42:12	Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: Kocaelispor O/U 2.5 Corners	Over	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xf03d28…
09-13 13:26:31	Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	9,869	60¢	$5,922	0xa42fd2…
09-13 13:26:15	Will Bursaspor win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	1,790	56¢	$1,000	0x6d8cbc…
09-13 13:25:58	Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	2,022	49¢	$1,000	0x3c7d73…
09-13 13:25:15	Amed Sportif vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,613	62¢	$1,000	0x6cb74a…
09-13 13:24:52	Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,640	61¢	$1,000	0x9334b7…
09-13 13:24:18	Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0x2db9f5…
09-13 13:23:39	SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1,408	71¢	$1,000	0xee6612…
09-13 13:23:19	Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2,500	60¢	$1,500	0x6899fe…
09-12 16:01:33	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	10,943	49¢	$5,362	0x699ddf…
09-12 11:54:21	Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5,121	72¢	$3,711	0x253962…
09-12 11:53:52	Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	943	53¢	$500	0xfb7e9b…
09-12 11:52:52	Paris FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,538	65¢	$1,000	0x0f20fc…
09-12 11:51:55	Konyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,383	54¢	$750	0xb77818…
09-12 11:51:27	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0x23f002…
09-12 11:51:04	SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1,316	57¢	$750	0x4d1b6d…
09-12 11:50:43	FC St. Gallen 1879 vs. FC Sion: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1,389	72¢	$1,000	0xd1caf7…
09-12 11:50:22	RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,516	66¢	$1,000	0x999cc6…
09-12 11:49:52	Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0x55b509…
09-12 11:49:16	Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,112	45¢	$500	0xa62eea…
09-12 11:48:43	Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC: Chelsea FC O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1,068	47¢	$500	0x346730…
09-12 11:47:49	AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3,125	64¢	$2,000	0x11835c…
09-12 11:47:30	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2,703	74¢	$2,000	0xe8c3e5…
09-12 11:46:54	FC Augsburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2,817	71¢	$2,000	0xfeea6d…
09-10 20:25:37	49ers vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	1,200	65¢	$780	0x1b4e51…
09-10 18:48:48	Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	16,540	67¢	$11,084	0x2f5d91…
09-10 17:45:57	PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	877	57¢	$500	0xf3cbdd…
09-10 17:45:39	Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	3,260	31¢	$1,000	0xb99737…
09-10 16:27:24	PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: PSV O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,429	70¢	$1,000	0x2bea45…
09-10 16:25:49	Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0x2376ff…
09-10 16:25:21	Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0xe5093c…
09-10 16:25:07	Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xdd7511…
09-10 16:24:48	Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	806	62¢	$500	0x415b05…
09-10 16:24:27	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	2,000	25¢	$500	0x371e23…
09-09 20:30:57	Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	806	62¢	$500	0xf9db85…
09-09 18:27:24	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	877	57¢	$500	0x2c7f72…
09-09 18:27:07	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: ŠK Slovan Bratislava O/U 2.5 Corners	Under	BUY	777	64¢	$500	0x28c6ab…
09-09 18:26:48	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0x197ee1…
09-09 18:25:55	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0x962f51…
09-09 18:23:30	SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x1bc71a…
09-09 18:23:03	Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	794	63¢	$500	0x68e788…
09-09 18:21:51	Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	746	67¢	$500	0x7bdc86…
09-09 18:21:43	Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: Galatasaray SK O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	BUY	492	61¢	$300	0x3bed5b…
09-09 18:20:48	Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: Sporting CP O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,533	65¢	$1,000	0x2762ab…
09-09 18:20:37	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	1,695	59¢	$1,000	0x21a600…
09-09 16:07:00	Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)	VfB Stuttgart	BUY	820	61¢	$500	0x41e1ef…
09-09 16:05:39	FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: FC Barcelona O/U 5.5 Corners	Under	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x3ce8d6…
09-09 16:05:01	FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0x908826…
09-08 18:07:46	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x977de0…
09-08 18:07:09	Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xef693f…
09-08 18:06:24	Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,538	65¢	$1,000	0xc843f9…
09-08 18:06:06	FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: FC Porto O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	789	38¢	$300	0xca90a1…
09-08 18:05:42	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,613	62¢	$1,000	0xf4c625…
09-08 18:05:21	Lille OSC vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,667	60¢	$1,000	0xdb7a24…
09-08 16:41:28	AEK vs. LASK Linz: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xc71c3e…
09-08 16:40:54	AEK vs. LASK Linz: AEK O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x5f2dc2…
09-08 16:40:40	Will AEK win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0x24b17b…
09-08 16:40:06	Club Brugge KV vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0x0e038d…
09-07 16:47:16	FC Midtjylland vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1,457	69¢	$1,000	0x2c621c…
09-07 16:44:12	Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	481	52¢	$250	0x785c60…
09-07 16:41:58	Çaykur Rizespor vs. Alanyaspor: Çaykur Rizespor O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	532	47¢	$250	0x7acd8a…
09-06 13:22:42	Çorum FK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	588	51¢	$300	0xb83b7e…
09-06 12:58:06	Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,786	56¢	$1,000	0x1f3d88…
09-06 12:57:36	Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,761	57¢	$1,000	0x9f725d…
09-06 12:57:00	Kasımpaşa SK vs. Amed Sportif: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,900	53¢	$1,000	0x014afc…
09-05 17:54:57	AFC Ajax vs. PSV: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,115	52¢	$580	0x4f0758…
09-05 16:13:36	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0x3b7713…
09-05 16:13:27	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,724	58¢	$1,000	0x1bc8bf…
09-04 17:20:21	epl ips liv 2026 09 04 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	6,873	73¢	$5,000	0x4a1d03…
06-28 18:06:10	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	780	3¢	$24	0x1b8a7b…
06-28 18:05:58	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	Yes	SELL	625	15¢	$95	0xd2a984…
06-28 18:05:43	will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	Yes	SELL	625	29¢	$182	0x47093c…
06-28 18:05:31	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	No	SELL	159	70¢	$111	0x713582…
06-28 18:05:07	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	455	28¢	$127	0x39c823…
06-28 18:05:01	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	141	64¢	$90	0x81146c…
06-28 18:04:55	Will USA be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	299	5¢	$14	0xb4e118…
06-28 18:04:44	will egypt reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120761	Yes	SELL	314	56¢	$175	0xbcbe16…
06-28 18:04:40	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	No	SELL	170	27¢	$46	0x19d967…
06-28 18:04:26	will norway reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120769	Yes	SELL	369	65¢	$240	0x528e9c…
06-28 18:04:16	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	No	SELL	170	62¢	$105	0xae81e5…
06-28 18:04:05	will bosnia and herzegovina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120742	Yes	SELL	371	17¢	$63	0x568ca3…
06-28 18:03:43	world cup goals h2h haaland vspt alvarez 20260604011418095	Haaland	SELL	469	94¢	$441	0x8d5faf…
06-25 06:34:02	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	7,487	54¢	$4,043	0xa2cec5…
06-22 19:18:23	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	2,680	37¢	$999	0x826ca6…
06-21 18:17:11	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	31,759	67¢	$21,383	0xd87f04…
06-21 18:16:31	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 corners team away 2pt5	Over	BUY	4,708	64¢	$3,000	0xf5c0d6…
06-21 16:20:26	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	2,068	48¢	$1,000	0x6966bf…
06-21 16:19:59	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	7,893	63¢	$5,000	0x9fab9b…
06-21 16:13:47	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	1,613	62¢	$1,000	0x8438f5…
06-20 19:58:35	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	15,163	50¢	$7,550	0xa24dc6…
06-20 19:55:52	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	15,068	66¢	$10,000	0x28bc33…
06-20 19:55:38	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	8,780	57¢	$5,000	0x5f3766…
06-20 18:37:53	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	7,405	68¢	$5,000	0x0cc7b8…