Direct-Beggar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.16K

Unrealized P&L

-$16.5K

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

6,372

Trades

76,063

lifetime

Volume

$4.75M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$8.11K

10 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-22 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Other

94% 46% +$7,196

Sports

6% 43% -$2,037

Politics

0% 80% +$5

Crypto

0% 50% -$15

Tech

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 1103 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+219,369	$23,221	3¢	$6.6K	-$16,640	10-22 17:01
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	+2,469	$808	48¢	$1.2K	+$390	10-16 03:00
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+1,469	$60	22¢	$331	+$270	10-06 07:17
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	+3	$2	90¢	$3	+$0	10-02 05:54
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	+12	-$90	0¢	$0	+$90	09-22 07:30
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+0	-$1	66¢	$0	+$1	08-05 04:39
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+0	-$20	34¢	$0	+$20	08-02 20:03
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+0	$307	16¢	$0	-$307	10-08 17:17
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+0	$307	14¢	$0	-$307	10-11 12:26
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	No	+0	-$5	12¢	$0	+$5	08-27 12:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	935	$149.7K	407,026	407,026	+0	No	+$4,930	09-15 21:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	279	$91.2K	294,855	75,486	+219,369	open	—	10-22 17:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	164	$90.6K	82,077	82,077	+0	open	—	09-30 13:25
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	176	$65.6K	80,373	50,000	+30,373	Yes	-$1,131	06-28 18:48
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	519	$63.9K	69,416	64,416	+5,000	No	+$1,743	07-15 18:58
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	293	$62.0K	65,999	58,999	+7,000	Yes	-$600	06-22 23:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	176	$62.0K	72,331	72,331	+0	Yes	+$1,516	09-11 12:25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	406	$50.8K	59,033	46,679	+12,354	Yes	-$4,402	06-29 16:58
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	346	$50.1K	46,499	38,964	+7,535	No	+$780	07-11 20:58
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	289	$47.9K	59,281	36,000	+23,281	Yes	-$2,805	06-25 00:42
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	356	$45.3K	50,033	40,033	+10,000	Yes	-$940	06-13 00:49
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	394	$44.0K	46,973	40,973	+6,000	Yes	-$2,802	06-26 22:14
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	50	$42.9K	46,669	8,264	+38,405	No	+$1,220	06-23 19:45
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	310	$41.1K	44,161	42,161	+2,000	No	+$702	06-26 22:43
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	103	$40.9K	31,084	30,101	+983	No	+$386	07-06 00:28
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	579	$39.6K	50,866	30,866	+20,000	Yes	-$3,641	06-19 18:11
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	178	$37.8K	40,822	29,839	+10,983	Yes	-$401	07-05 23:12
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	257	$33.6K	41,367	39,818	+1,549	Yes	-$353	06-16 18:02
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	199	$33.3K	36,623	36,622	+0	No	+$259	06-17 19:49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	289	$32.2K	30,104	25,104	+5,000	Yes	-$3,437	07-15 17:43
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	85	$31.8K	32,441	22,441	+10,000	No	+$265	06-26 23:58
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	321	$31.8K	32,795	31,932	+863	Yes	+$163	05-16 13:25
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	101	$31.8K	26,900	21,470	+5,430	No	+$622	07-07 15:58
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	79	$31.1K	30,834	25,834	+5,000	Yes	-$3,530	07-14 16:31
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	216	$30.1K	34,190	23,825	+10,365	Yes	-$5,368	06-18 22:26
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	304	$28.2K	30,099	30,099	+0	Yes	+$101	05-30 12:53
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	103	$27.9K	30,171	25,171	+5,000	No	+$1,939	07-14 18:58
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	142	$26.9K	30,995	14,630	+16,365	No	+$2,605	06-19 00:53
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	167	$26.8K	27,809	27,809	+0	No	+$100	06-21 18:53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	120	$26.8K	28,350	26,250	+2,100	No	+$1,071	05-19 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 17:01:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30,000	6¢	$1,800	0x666c6e…
10-19 10:18:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	36,758	12¢	$4,411	0x1f190a…
10-19 10:07:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	12¢	$14	0xbc2216…
10-19 10:04:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x5253b5…
10-19 09:58:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x63e7bd…
10-19 09:47:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,000	12¢	$240	0x21fa9d…
10-19 09:45:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xa6e9aa…
10-19 09:43:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xb1f480…
10-19 09:35:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x1dc44b…
10-19 09:31:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x35a77c…
10-19 09:27:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	568	12¢	$68	0x510f53…
10-19 09:27:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x431e05…
10-19 09:27:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0xc98e24…
10-19 09:25:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x263f82…
10-19 09:17:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,634	12¢	$676	0x25beaf…
10-19 09:11:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	249	12¢	$30	0xfadd24…
10-19 09:04:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xc55aa0…
10-19 09:03:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xd650fd…
10-19 08:58:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	12¢	$6	0x15e786…
10-19 08:57:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xcc64b5…
10-19 08:56:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x440a96…
10-19 08:54:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,845	12¢	$581	0x86fcad…
10-19 08:54:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x1666cc…
10-19 08:51:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15,906	12¢	$1,909	0xb4b95c…
10-19 08:50:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x44f650…
10-19 08:50:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x83d69c…
10-19 08:49:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x0a9016…
10-19 08:47:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,130	12¢	$136	0xc0f52c…
10-19 08:43:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,131	12¢	$136	0xe41bc4…
10-19 08:41:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xb9c750…
10-19 08:39:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x954870…
10-19 08:31:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xe32364…
10-19 08:28:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	12¢	$14	0xdd652a…
10-19 08:22:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	568	12¢	$68	0x709740…
10-19 08:21:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xa44db1…
10-19 08:20:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xda5254…
10-19 08:09:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x17ecd2…
10-19 08:08:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x304370…
10-19 08:08:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x58df2f…
10-19 08:07:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,100	12¢	$132	0x1921fd…
10-19 07:58:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x50feb5…
10-19 07:57:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xc895a2…
10-19 07:56:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x22886a…
10-19 07:54:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x97a8a9…
10-19 07:45:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	866	12¢	$104	0xab4b55…
10-19 07:45:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	541	12¢	$65	0x3bc580…
10-19 07:38:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x715907…
10-19 07:38:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	646	12¢	$77	0xe6ae9e…
10-19 03:54:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	75,000	13¢	$9,750	0x803ace…
10-18 17:51:45	Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)	Cowboys	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x27b1a3…
10-18 16:16:03	Ravens vs. Browns	Ravens	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x73c9f7…
10-18 15:40:08	Spread: Patriots (-6.5)	Jets	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x399690…
10-18 14:59:30	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 67.5	Under	SELL	1	83¢	$0	0x364c6c…
10-18 14:20:47	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 47.5	Under	SELL	191	35¢	$67	0x7b460d…
10-18 14:20:42	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5	Under	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x609156…
10-18 14:13:36	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 63.5	Under	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xbdb08e…
10-18 14:13:33	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 63.5	Under	SELL	173	77¢	$133	0x0e2093…
10-18 13:37:51	Jets vs. Patriots	Jets	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x6e98fe…
10-18 11:34:05	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5	Under	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xc96ad8…
10-18 11:32:21	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5	Under	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0xc8fa5d…
10-18 07:23:21	Spread: 49ers (-7.5)	49ers	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x79e21e…
10-18 06:34:26	Panthers vs. Eagles: O/U 39.5	Under	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x07274f…
10-18 05:54:30	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Steelers	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x784c2c…
10-18 02:28:51	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Bears	SELL	95	37¢	$35	0xc2dd7b…
10-18 00:45:33	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Bears	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xb586cb…
10-18 00:38:47	Spread: Steelers (-2.5)	Steelers	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x389745…
10-18 00:31:26	Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)	Steelers	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x5a56d5…
10-17 20:43:24	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 47.5	Under	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x5d6337…
10-17 20:36:15	Steelers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 40.5	Under	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0xc25c5b…
10-17 19:04:06	Spread: Ravens (-4.5)	Ravens	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x98402e…
10-17 18:58:51	Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 42.5	Over	SELL	149	40¢	$60	0x2d289b…
10-17 18:17:33	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 47.5	Under	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x1eb966…
10-17 17:09:14	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	SELL	95	44¢	$42	0x15e465…
10-17 13:05:08	Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5	Over	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0x6b0da1…
10-17 09:11:59	Spread: Saints (-2.5)	Giants	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x12f04c…
10-17 07:23:26	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5	Under	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x8fa1ec…
10-17 07:23:26	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5	Under	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x265a68…
10-17 07:23:12	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5	Under	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xd74fd6…
10-17 07:23:09	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5	Under	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xcbf0f7…
10-17 07:23:03	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5	Under	SELL	75	44¢	$33	0x802e17…
10-17 07:14:24	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5	Under	SELL	42	44¢	$18	0x2ea6e4…
10-17 07:14:23	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5	Under	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xe5fb12…
10-17 03:01:09	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 60.5	Under	SELL	129	70¢	$90	0xd8a0bc…
10-17 00:12:56	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 67.5	Under	SELL	102	83¢	$85	0x5a87a5…
10-16 22:39:51	Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 40.5	Over	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x1d7a5d…
10-16 22:34:42	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 67.5	Under	SELL	97	83¢	$81	0xd1ef47…
10-16 20:59:20	Spread: Ravens (-2.5)	Ravens	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x74b716…
10-16 20:08:14	Panthers vs. Eagles: O/U 41.5	Over	SELL	186	41¢	$76	0x69bdb5…
10-16 20:06:23	Panthers vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5	Over	SELL	53	44¢	$23	0xbf1b02…
10-16 20:01:45	Steelers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 32.5	Over	SELL	47	69¢	$32	0x8b760a…
10-16 18:26:08	RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x29196a…
10-16 18:24:44	Spread: Panthers (-2.5)	Eagles	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xb5eac3…
10-16 16:52:45	Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5	Over	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x18d78e…
10-16 16:47:28	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 47.5	Under	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x15eedf…
10-16 16:10:33	Panthers vs. Eagles	Eagles	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x19b246…
10-16 12:30:13	Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5	Under	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x4e5661…
10-16 11:02:06	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x3dcbd6…
10-16 09:18:09	Panthers vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5	Over	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x690c22…
10-16 08:29:46	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	SELL	28	45¢	$13	0x54b0a7…
10-16 08:29:09	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x123315…