Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$235

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

1,252

Trades

1,683

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-08-01

last 10-30 22:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

68% 45% +$248

Crypto

21% 73% -$319

Politics

11% 86% +$306

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No		+15	$8	70¢	$11	+$3	09-05 09:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	3	$478	248	248	+0	Yes	+$18	10-12 21:43
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$222	236	0	+236	Yes	+$14	10-28 12:27
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$205	218	0	+218	open	—	10-30 19:19
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	2	$203	137	137	+0	Yes	+$3	10-04 11:46
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$202	113	113	+0	No	+$2	10-04 16:31
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$201	133	133	+0	No	+$1	09-29 14:56
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	1	$200	218	0	+218	Yes	+$18	10-11 09:21
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	3	$183	172	43	+129	Yes	+$26	10-21 17:58
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	8	$168	159	159	+0	Yes	-$32	10-16 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	7	$159	451	40	+412	Down	-$121	10-30 21:59
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 30, 2026?	1	$150	160	0	+160	Yes	+$10	10-28 12:29
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$150	188	0	+188	No	+$38	10-05 07:42
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	1	$150	197	0	+197	Yes	+$47	10-03 14:06
Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Shavkat Mirziyoyev in Turkmenistan?	1	$140	152	0	+152	No	+$12	10-11 21:24
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	5	$109	143	29	+113	Yes	+$12	10-13 08:23
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$104	81	81	+0	No	-$36	10-18 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$100	200	0	+200	Up	-$100	10-30 22:01
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$100	156	0	+156	Yes	+$56	10-12 08:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 18:35 UTC	1	$100	172	0	+172	Up	-$100	09-21 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 14:05 UTC	1	$100	118	0	+118	Down	+$18	09-21 14:06
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$100	112	0	+112	Yes	+$12	10-07 11:13
Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	2	$100	69	69	+0	Yes	+$0	10-15 10:50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$99	200	55	+145	Yes	+$144	10-04 21:07
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$87	101	0	+101	Yes	+$14	10-05 16:53
Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	2	$84	70	70	+0	Yes	+$44	10-08 17:15
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 24?	1	$80	96	0	+96	Yes	+$16	10-20 16:33
Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?	1	$73	101	0	+101	Yes	+$28	10-05 09:11
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$73	81	81	+0	Yes	-$47	10-15 20:46
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 17?	2	$70	61	61	+0	Yes	+$51	09-18 06:36
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$70	79	0	+79	Yes	+$9	10-07 11:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 22:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x0c49eb…
10-30 21:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x3bc5bf…
10-30 21:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xdaacc2…
10-30 21:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xb699ac…
10-30 21:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x8f5b60…
10-30 21:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x1c557e…
10-30 21:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8e090f…
10-30 21:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x247cdf…
10-30 21:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7c85cb…
10-30 19:19:37	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	218	94¢	$205	0x275db0…
10-28 12:31:05	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x91729d…
10-28 12:30:34	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x13dd76…
10-28 12:29:28	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0xc57d91…
10-28 12:27:49	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	236	94¢	$222	0xa1b5d9…
10-26 18:00:32	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	8¢	$5	0x5d754f…
10-26 08:44:56	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	Yes	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xee3eb5…
10-24 14:10:33	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	50¢	$33	0x9a54f8…
10-22 06:55:21	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	Yes	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0xb8058c…
10-21 17:58:51	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	Yes	SELL	43	94¢	$40	0xc12c9d…
10-20 16:33:09	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 24?	Yes	BUY	96	83¢	$80	0xd6259c…
10-19 13:37:09	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0xc1102e…
10-18 14:09:05	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	81	42¢	$34	0x2f2c0d…
10-17 18:15:18	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	49	74¢	$36	0x607c40…
10-17 12:10:32	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	Yes	BUY	72	84¢	$60	0xd0f82d…
10-17 12:10:11	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 21?	Yes	BUY	71	84¢	$60	0xc88a7d…
10-17 12:09:36	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 22?	Yes	BUY	71	84¢	$60	0x97adb2…
10-16 15:03:19	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x80f920…
10-16 15:02:22	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0xca85d8…
10-16 15:02:22	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x76aee3…
10-16 15:02:22	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x01cdcd…
10-16 15:02:21	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0xbd7f95…
10-16 11:58:30	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	75	70¢	$52	0x000ca3…
10-16 00:45:22	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x5fa76f…
10-15 20:46:45	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	81	16¢	$13	0xbdd812…
10-15 11:43:18	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	81	86¢	$70	0x8f9b13…
10-15 10:50:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	Yes	SELL	69	72¢	$50	0x0959a4…
10-15 09:43:31	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 20?	Yes	BUY	71	84¢	$60	0x4b10bd…
10-13 13:59:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xbbb32f…
10-13 12:13:35	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0x2e8b71…
10-13 11:42:44	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x074ad2…
10-13 08:23:44	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xad550f…
10-13 00:08:42	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x9e4d18…
10-12 21:47:12	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xac1bb3…
10-12 21:44:54	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	76¢	$60	0xaee16f…
10-12 21:43:39	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	248	100¢	$248	0x67edd3…
10-12 21:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x53028b…
10-12 21:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x939b64…
10-12 18:31:39	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 17?	Yes	BUY	80	81¢	$65	0xc5ca30…
10-12 17:25:41	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	29	12¢	$3	0xa03656…
10-12 17:05:05	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xed33d1…
10-12 16:06:06	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x76a803…
10-12 14:38:27	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0xc8c61c…
10-12 08:01:51	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xe6254e…
10-11 21:24:56	Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Shavkat Mirziyoyev in Turkmenistan?	No	BUY	152	92¢	$140	0x79f52a…
10-11 13:13:30	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xf18cf9…
10-11 09:21:13	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x900206…
10-10 11:59:15	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	94¢	$160	0x99f15f…
10-09 14:00:55	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x97e23b…
10-09 13:16:06	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x2c9cf6…
10-08 22:25:09	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	90¢	$70	0x8a5c19…
10-08 17:15:38	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	70	92¢	$64	0x81c82a…
10-07 21:04:47	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0xdb113c…
10-07 19:41:13	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x3c03de…
10-07 16:47:52	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xec5c39…
10-07 16:37:56	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x8b1c6a…
10-07 11:29:56	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x179271…
10-07 11:21:11	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0x5c3b56…
10-07 11:13:11	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0x347dd6…
10-07 07:45:32	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac	Zhizhen Zhang	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x4c5f4f…
10-05 22:28:16	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	8¢	$8	0xb3f180…
10-05 16:53:40	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	86¢	$87	0xe804dc…
10-05 09:11:16	Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	101	72¢	$73	0x3f11d4…
10-05 07:44:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xa421cf…
10-05 07:42:58	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	188	80¢	$150	0x967208…
10-04 21:07:52	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	55	88¢	$49	0x61b59b…
10-04 16:31:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	SELL	113	90¢	$102	0x6d7c02…
10-04 11:46:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	137	75¢	$103	0x016cca…
10-03 14:06:35	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	76¢	$150	0x32cf38…
10-03 00:38:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x544268…
10-02 21:01:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0xca801b…
10-01 10:08:59	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xb15007…
09-29 18:41:44	euroleague kaunas olympiac 2026 09 29	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x3f4a37…
09-29 14:56:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	133	76¢	$101	0x3f851d…
09-29 08:30:35	Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x3c62f7…
09-28 22:58:33	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	21¢	$12	0x937ca2…
09-28 15:26:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x443aea…
09-28 14:30:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xdac098…
09-26 19:43:00	atp alcaraz fritz 2026 09 26	Taylor Fritz	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xbb1911…
09-25 11:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xa65c79…
09-23 08:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc1fb14…
09-23 08:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x51e7e0…
09-23 07:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23?	Yes	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x648770…
09-23 07:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xeefaf3…
09-23 07:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x0761fe…
09-23 07:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x8e8e7b…
09-23 06:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5c7860…
09-23 06:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x349104…
09-23 06:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x055160…
09-23 06:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xfd0acb…
09-23 05:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x9953a9…