Mealy-Stake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$452

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

463

Trades

1,280

lifetime

Volume

$8.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-27 01:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

87% 38% -$413

Sports

8% 60% -$4

Politics

5% 25% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes		+10	$7	57¢	$6	-$1	10-27 04:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	42	$166	197	197	+0	Yes	-$6	04-16 15:42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	11	$132	107	107	+0	Team Falcons	-$11	10-05 17:27
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	28	$126	152	152	+0	No	-$12	04-24 03:07
dota2 heroic sar1 2026 04 14	7	$123	106	105	+1	Heroic	-$10	04-15 03:39
dota2 boombo og 2026 08 12 game1	2	$91	54	54	+0	BoomBoys	+$16	08-13 04:47
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	11	$91	66	66	+0	PARIVISION	+$10	10-07 16:33
cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04	5	$88	68	50	+18	Vitality	+$11	10-04 19:08
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	3	$86	67	50	+17	PARIVISION	+$13	10-08 18:08
dota2 ts8 aur1 2026 08 13 game2	5	$85	62	62	+0	Team Spirit	+$3	08-14 04:31
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	26	$84	88	71	+17	PARIVISION	+$9	10-07 17:50
dota2 heroic sar1 2026 04 14 game3	6	$80	61	53	+8	South America Rejects	+$21	04-15 00:14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	5	$80	64	57	+8	Aurora Gaming	+$7	10-06 18:45
dota2 lgd ngx 2026 08 14 game1	5	$79	83	65	+17	Nigma Galaxy	-$39	08-14 04:58
dota2 xtreme gl 2026 08 13 game1	7	$78	62	55	+7	GamerLegion	-$4	08-14 03:05
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	4	$78	53	53	+0	Team Falcons	+$6	10-06 20:10
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	4	$77	108	62	+46	Team Yandex	-$71	10-08 19:18
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	2	$77	52	52	+0	Team Yandex	+$27	10-11 18:06
dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 13	3	$74	46	45	+0	Heroic	+$14	04-14 04:13
dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14	8	$71	74	74	+0	Amaru Gaming	-$18	10-15 05:33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 1 Winner	5	$71	50	39	+11	Vitality	+$7	09-17 13:48
dota2 xtreme gl 2026 08 13 game2	2	$70	45	45	+0	GamerLegion	+$20	08-14 04:31
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner	6	$70	62	58	+3	Team Yandex	-$1	10-11 20:16
dota2 liquid vg 2026 08 13 game1	3	$67	51	51	+0	Team Liquid	-$1	08-13 07:38
Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner	4	$65	52	52	+0	Pipsqueak+4	-$17	09-19 16:21
cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04 game2	3	$65	42	39	+3	Natus Vincere	+$13	10-04 18:10
dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15 game3	5	$63	50	50	+0	Amaru Gaming	-$5	10-16 00:27
dota2 flc lgd 2026 08 12 game1	5	$63	81	39	+42	LGD Gaming	-$47	08-13 03:56
cs2 fut mouz 2026 08 14	4	$62	47	33	+15	FUT Esports	+$2	08-14 16:29
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	13	$62	110	14	+96	Spirit	+$9	10-07 20:08
dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 13 game1	2	$61	37	36	+0	Heroic	+$11	04-14 02:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:20:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xda4f8c…
10-27 04:15:30	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xac4a42…
10-27 01:13:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x2e68f0…
10-26 22:01:36	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1330c7…
10-26 20:18:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xb880bb…
10-16 06:12:40	wta svitoli kartal 2026 10 16	Elina Svitolina	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x773793…
10-16 03:59:31	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15 game4	Skyreavers	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0be365…
10-16 01:23:54	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15 game4	Skyreavers	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0xc72077…
10-16 01:23:36	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15 game4	Amaru Gaming	SELL	27	20¢	$5	0x5d9925…
10-16 01:18:55	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15 game4	Skyreavers	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbf36a9…
10-16 00:56:04	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15 game4	Amaru Gaming	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0x2139d4…
10-16 00:27:51	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15 game3	Amaru Gaming	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0xb79184…
10-15 23:59:12	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15 game3	Amaru Gaming	BUY	18	64¢	$11	0x3aa069…
10-15 23:58:58	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15 game3	Skyreavers	SELL	33	35¢	$11	0x853493…
10-15 23:48:09	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15 game3	Skyreavers	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x48d88f…
10-15 23:44:36	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15 game3	Skyreavers	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf1b319…
10-15 23:19:19	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xeef57b…
10-15 23:15:40	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xbd1184…
10-15 07:22:08	dota2 xctn rb1 2026 10 15 game2	Royal Bear	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0886f8…
10-15 06:00:59	dota2 xctn rb1 2026 10 15 game2	Royal Bear	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x86f74a…
10-15 06:00:19	dota2 xctn rb1 2026 10 15 game2	Execration	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x953d95…
10-15 05:47:08	dota2 xctn rb1 2026 10 15 game2	Execration	BUY	9	69¢	$7	0x39af73…
10-15 05:46:40	dota2 xctn rb1 2026 10 15 game2	Royal Bear	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xccdaad…
10-15 05:45:41	dota2 xctn rb1 2026 10 15 game2	Royal Bear	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xfba725…
10-15 05:34:41	dota2 xctn rb1 2026 10 15 game2	Royal Bear	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x60d9c5…
10-15 05:33:25	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14	Amaru Gaming	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xde85f9…
10-15 05:13:50	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14	Amaru Gaming	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xaa8e43…
10-15 05:13:37	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14	PlayTime	SELL	29	24¢	$7	0x810412…
10-15 04:54:47	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14	PlayTime	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xf1d9a0…
10-15 04:54:22	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14	Amaru Gaming	SELL	34	27¢	$9	0xdf9460…
10-15 04:43:28	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14	Amaru Gaming	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf57b98…
10-15 04:41:47	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14	Amaru Gaming	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x96e5ab…
10-15 04:31:56	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14	Amaru Gaming	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xc97c96…
10-15 04:19:17	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14 game2	Amaru Gaming	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x479517…
10-15 03:17:26	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14 game2	Amaru Gaming	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc83947…
10-15 02:51:59	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14 game1	PlayTime	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb50f48…
10-15 01:53:10	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14 game1	PlayTime	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xa9a987…
10-15 01:52:35	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14 game1	Amaru Gaming	SELL	27	26¢	$7	0x5fc8a1…
10-15 01:45:04	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14 game1	PlayTime	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2b638d…
10-15 01:44:53	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14 game1	PlayTime	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd117ba…
10-15 01:41:44	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14 game1	PlayTime	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcf5805…
10-15 01:35:59	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14 game1	PlayTime	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x53d806…
10-15 01:31:47	dota2 amaru playti 2026 10 14 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x585735…
10-14 23:05:15	dota2 cha hkr 2026 10 14 game2	Hokori	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x86ae89…
10-14 23:00:04	dota2 cha hkr 2026 10 14 game2	Hokori	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x06043f…
10-14 22:35:46	dota2 cha hkr 2026 10 14 game1	Chandogs	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x790630…
10-14 22:10:22	dota2 cha hkr 2026 10 14 game1	Hokori	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xa0fb8f…
10-14 22:10:07	dota2 cha hkr 2026 10 14 game1	Chandogs	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x8b8fa4…
10-14 22:01:46	dota2 cha hkr 2026 10 14 game1	Chandogs	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0xcbbf1e…
10-14 22:01:33	dota2 cha hkr 2026 10 14 game1	Hokori	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xf0e6ec…
10-14 21:42:27	dota2 cha hkr 2026 10 14 game1	Hokori	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbd7c07…
10-14 21:38:13	dota2 cha hkr 2026 10 14 game1	Chandogs	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x97fefe…
10-14 20:40:39	dota2 rl skyrea 2026 10 14	Skyreavers	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x86341e…
10-14 19:53:22	dota2 rl skyrea 2026 10 14	Skyreavers	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xfe4687…
10-14 19:52:28	cs2 furia bb3 2026 10 14 game1	BetBoom Team	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0xdd22d6…
10-14 19:17:34	cs2 furia bb3 2026 10 14 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xa880e4…
10-14 19:13:12	dota2 rl skyrea 2026 10 14 game2	Skyreavers	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xedf061…
10-14 19:00:36	dota2 rl skyrea 2026 10 14 game2	Skyreavers	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x159fb0…
10-14 18:09:52	dota2 rl skyrea 2026 10 14 game1	Rottweilas Latam	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb11886…
10-14 17:44:13	dota2 rl skyrea 2026 10 14 game1	Rottweilas Latam	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x752693…
10-14 17:36:39	cs2 lgc prv 2026 10 14 game2	PARIVISION	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xb4cb6e…
10-14 16:59:36	cs2 lgc prv 2026 10 14 game2	PARIVISION	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x8005b8…
10-14 16:38:43	cs2 lgc prv 2026 10 14 game1	Legacy	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd56644…
10-14 16:11:43	cs2 lgc prv 2026 10 14 game1	Legacy	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x8ff9fd…
10-14 06:14:16	wta sabalen annli 2026 10 14	Ann Li	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa5632d…
10-14 00:09:45	dota2 amaru rl 2026 10 13	Rottweilas Latam	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xbb369b…
10-14 00:01:37	dota2 amaru rl 2026 10 13	Rottweilas Latam	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe9be21…
10-13 23:16:00	dota2 amaru rl 2026 10 13 game2	Rottweilas Latam	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc12b10…
10-13 22:42:07	dota2 amaru rl 2026 10 13 game2	Rottweilas Latam	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x745da9…
10-13 22:41:51	dota2 amaru rl 2026 10 13 game2	Rottweilas Latam	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe90acc…
10-13 22:38:15	dota2 amaru rl 2026 10 13 game2	Rottweilas Latam	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd28bca…
10-13 22:37:49	dota2 amaru rl 2026 10 13 game2	Amaru Gaming	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x79c482…
10-13 22:32:13	dota2 amaru rl 2026 10 13 game2	Rottweilas Latam	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x37f39e…
10-13 21:56:36	dota2 amaru rl 2026 10 13 game1	Amaru Gaming	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x524d72…
10-13 21:41:40	dota2 amaru rl 2026 10 13 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x603cfd…
10-13 20:34:51	Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xc06fa8…
10-13 20:31:45	Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x3e27de…
10-13 17:11:27	dota2 nemiga dawnbu 2026 10 13 game1	Dawn Bulls	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x084c0c…
10-13 16:49:25	dota2 nemiga dawnbu 2026 10 13 game1	Dawn Bulls	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xe1c4b5…
10-13 16:48:54	dota2 nemiga dawnbu 2026 10 13 game1	Nemiga Gaming	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x82317f…
10-13 16:48:28	dota2 nemiga dawnbu 2026 10 13 game1	Dawn Bulls	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xe50faa…
10-13 16:46:57	dota2 nemiga dawnbu 2026 10 13 game1	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xbcbe3d…
10-13 16:32:00	Will Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x141977…
10-13 16:31:34	Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf6d3bb…
10-13 07:23:58	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik	Alexander Bublik	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x3a8872…
10-12 19:12:45	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x689ee3…
10-12 16:54:15	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xabf8fb…
10-12 04:58:12	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina	Dalibor Svrcina	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xf2ebe9…
10-12 03:16:35	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x68c055…
10-11 20:42:20	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf7d8ab…
10-11 20:41:38	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc4748f…
10-11 20:16:48	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$2	0x696d91…
10-11 20:16:12	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x6a5eb6…
10-11 19:17:04	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x343069…
10-11 18:59:27	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0x9485bf…
10-11 18:58:39	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner	Team Spirit	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x4ab85c…
10-11 18:54:15	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xd623c9…
10-11 18:51:21	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xecfeaf…
10-11 18:16:04	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x51347b…
10-11 18:06:57	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x431076…