Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
7
lifetime
Volume
$90
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$235
10 positions
First seen
2026-06-20
last 06-20 18:16
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
68%
Politics
32%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? No +63 $60 96¢ $61 +$1 06-20 17:38
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +54 $50 91¢ $49 $-1 06-20 20:28
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? No +33 $30 91¢ $30 $-0 06-20 19:31
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No +34 $30 87¢ $29 $-1 06-20 18:16
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? No +23 $20 87¢ $20 $-0 06-20 19:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +37 $20 53¢ $20 $-0 06-20 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 $-0 06-20 19:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 78¢ $10 $-0 06-20 20:06
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +36 $10 12¢ $4 $-6 06-20 19:56
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +49 $10 $2 $-8 06-20 19:52