Meager-Skean — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$378

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

34.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$844

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-27 07:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 24% -$387

Other

3% 100% +$5

Sports

2% 100% +$4

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes		-15	-$14	96¢	$-15	$0	08-30 10:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 02:30 UTC	5	$181	149	147	+2	Up	+$53	03-25 02:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:30 UTC	4	$92	142	54	+87	Down	-$17	03-25 04:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 02:45 UTC	3	$55	157	0	+157	Down	-$55	03-25 02:49
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:45 UTC	1	$50	106	0	+106	Up	-$50	03-25 04:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 03:00 UTC	1	$50	161	0	+161	Down	-$50	03-25 03:04
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	2	$45	155	0	+155	Up	-$45	03-25 04:07
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:15 UTC	2	$40	152	0	+152	Down	-$40	03-25 04:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	8	$40	100	0	+100	Up	-$40	03-25 04:05
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 05:00 UTC	4	$36	90	0	+90	Up	-$36	03-25 05:05
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 03:45 UTC	6	$36	100	0	+100	Up	-$36	03-25 03:46
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 08:30 UTC	1	$30	56	0	+56	Down	-$30	03-24 08:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:15 UTC	1	$30	95	0	+95	Down	-$30	03-25 04:18
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 03:30 UTC	1	$30	107	0	+107	Up	-$30	03-25 03:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 08:55 UTC	3	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	08-30 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	Up	+$8	10-27 07:54
nba orl cle 2026 03 24	1	$16	20	0	+20	Cavaliers	+$4	03-24 08:24
will israel join the board of peace	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	01-21 07:56
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	1	$14	0	15	-15	open	—	08-30 10:09
Ethereum Up or Down on May 20?	1	$11	22	0	+22	Up	+$11	05-19 12:49
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	1	$10	13	0	+13	Luciano Darderi	+$3	05-19 12:49
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:30 UTC	1	$10	83	0	+83	Down	-$10	03-25 04:37
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva	1	$5	7	0	+7	Felix Auger-Aliassime	+$2	05-19 12:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xc83722…
10-27 07:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8f160e…
08-30 10:09:24	Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xff291e…
08-30 08:58:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x66d94c…
08-30 08:58:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x4c302e…
08-30 08:53:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x823a19…
05-19 12:49:57	Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	Luciano Darderi	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x14cdb1…
05-19 12:49:01	Ethereum Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xbb8ea4…
05-19 12:48:07	Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x940240…
03-25 05:05:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x0c4a17…
03-25 05:05:23	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	43	40¢	$17	0xbb4063…
03-25 05:05:21	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	41	40¢	$16	0x849707…
03-25 05:05:19	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbdda36…
03-25 04:44:19	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x710866…
03-25 04:37:29	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x7b4b5b…
03-25 04:36:41	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x72179a…
03-25 04:36:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xe3d69a…
03-25 04:35:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	54	68¢	$37	0xf465b0…
03-25 04:31:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x85c8e3…
03-25 04:23:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x39fcfc…
03-25 04:19:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x9b017b…
03-25 04:18:21	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	95	32¢	$30	0xab9b0c…
03-25 04:07:57	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x88fca9…
03-25 04:05:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xd8e159…
03-25 04:05:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x8ece82…
03-25 04:05:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x5eebc6…
03-25 04:05:01	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	96	42¢	$40	0xc20210…
03-25 04:04:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x806067…
03-25 04:04:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x417f9b…
03-25 04:04:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6c1bfb…
03-25 04:04:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x045100…
03-25 04:04:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0x3d8863…
03-25 03:46:17	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xda7a95…
03-25 03:46:17	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xb12439…
03-25 03:46:17	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x63c655…
03-25 03:46:17	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	43	36¢	$15	0x45f97d…
03-25 03:46:17	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x273217…
03-25 03:46:17	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x0dfe15…
03-25 03:31:11	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xd1acd0…
03-25 03:04:15	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x5c45ea…
03-25 02:49:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	74	25¢	$18	0x6e9f3f…
03-25 02:49:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	26	25¢	$7	0x56c198…
03-25 02:45:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x35ea46…
03-25 02:44:37	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xc0df23…
03-25 02:40:49	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa89948…
03-25 02:38:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	97	70¢	$68	0x7beb08…
03-25 02:31:39	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x72db7d…
03-25 02:31:31	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x4c501c…
03-24 08:28:03	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x3eb15b…
03-24 08:24:55	nba orl cle 2026 03 24	Cavaliers	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x618ba4…
01-21 07:56:36	will israel join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1156b4…