Roasted-Methodology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.27K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

Trades

491

lifetime

Volume

$258.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$527

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 05-10 23:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

68% 71% +$10,237

Politics

25% 58% -$913

Sports

6% 20% -$14,594

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Madrid Open, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Elina Avanesyan	2	$27.4K	14,336	14,300	+36	Alycia Parks	+$1,183	04-20 17:58
Madrid Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Linda Fruhvirtova	3	$25.7K	13,171	13,152	+19	Hanne Vandewinkel	+$613	04-20 17:28
atp machac sinner 2026 04 09	3	$22.7K	13,033	12,953	+80	Jannik Sinner	+$2,087	04-09 13:18
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	3	$17.6K	10,152	10,073	+79	Michigan Wolverines	+$2,629	04-07 04:24
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	2	$16.1K	8,124	8,124	+0	Yes	+$159	04-01 23:21
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	4	$15.1K	35,795	15,345	+20,449	Hawks	-$14,273	04-21 02:42
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	16	$12.5K	14,322	2,500	+11,822	Yes	-$502	04-12 22:48
wta bondar cirstea 2026 04 17	1	$12.3K	12,552	0	+12,552	Sorana Cirstea	+$237	04-17 19:33
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	16	$11.4K	11,770	1,893	+9,876	No	+$1,176	04-01 00:30
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	14	$11.3K	7,400	7,400	+0	Yes	+$254	03-15 17:43
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$10.0K	5,230	5,230	+0	Yes	+$478	03-04 03:22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$8.2K	4,525	4,525	+0	Yes	+$654	02-28 22:11
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$7.5K	16,000	2,000	+14,000	Yes	-$5,534	04-03 19:30
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	2	$7.1K	7,720	0	+7,720	Yes	+$577	03-15 17:47
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	1	$5.2K	7,585	0	+7,585	Michigan Wolverines	+$2,427	04-05 01:33
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$4.4K	4,335	2,124	+2,211	Yes	+$879	02-27 15:45
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 510	5	$4.4K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$3,527	03-23 20:25
will daniel biss be the democratic nominee for il 09	46	$4.3K	5,379	0	+5,379	Yes	+$1,046	03-18 00:13
will melissa bean be the democratic nominee for il 08	35	$3.4K	4,275	0	+4,275	Yes	+$908	03-17 18:43
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	39	$3.1K	7,402	7,402	+0	No	-$468	03-15 17:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$2.9K	1,483	1,483	+0	Yes	-$4	02-28 22:11
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 5	31	$2.7K	4,000	340	+3,660	No	-$2,663	03-24 19:19
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	64	$2.2K	1,258	1,258	+0	No	+$77	05-10 23:42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$2.1K	1,210	1,210	+0	Yes	+$273	03-08 21:34
Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	14	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	Yes	+$54	05-06 02:14
cbb mst mich 2026 03 08	2	$1.9K	1,162	1,159	+3	Michigan Wolverines	-$38	03-08 20:40
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	3	$1.6K	2,991	0	+2,991	Yes	+$1,436	02-27 15:48
will qatar strike iran by march 31	48	$1.5K	1,230	1,230	+0	No	+$419	03-09 01:12
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	17	$1.4K	2,426	2,500	-74	No	-$207	04-09 00:41
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	8	$1.3K	722	716	+6	Yes	+$134	04-22 03:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 23:47:45	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	Yes	BUY	23	67¢	$16	0x96de77…
05-10 23:46:14	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	Yes	BUY	101	67¢	$67	0xf127d7…
05-10 23:46:14	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	Yes	BUY	1,344	67¢	$900	0x4b982f…
05-10 23:46:14	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x446c51…
05-10 23:43:40	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	Yes	BUY	209	62¢	$130	0x0b4634…
05-10 23:42:33	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	1,147	89¢	$1,021	0x70b903…
05-10 23:33:43	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	111	90¢	$100	0xdfd879…
05-06 17:04:54	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x9823fb…
05-06 03:54:12	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0xbf0dbc…
05-06 03:44:10	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbaf2b8…
05-06 03:44:10	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb3b989…
05-06 03:44:00	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x393bc1…
05-06 03:43:58	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf8baf2…
05-06 03:43:48	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa2e320…
05-06 03:43:48	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x11b362…
05-06 03:43:48	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0e2e6c…
05-06 03:43:32	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xfa5c09…
05-06 03:43:32	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd63e14…
05-06 03:43:18	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdc33ff…
05-06 03:43:18	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x689c5d…
05-06 03:43:02	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdbbacf…
05-06 03:43:02	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc8ee35…
05-06 03:42:50	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7bff33…
05-06 03:42:50	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7adb8c…
05-06 03:42:38	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe92513…
05-06 03:42:38	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbf13a2…
05-06 03:42:24	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd73740…
05-06 03:42:22	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8580fa…
05-06 03:42:12	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1e17f7…
05-06 03:42:10	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa14e29…
05-06 03:41:58	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb75f24…
05-06 03:41:58	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x61be2e…
05-06 03:41:40	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbea48e…
05-06 03:41:40	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4dd1be…
05-06 03:41:28	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x365812…
05-06 03:41:26	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd2d09a…
05-06 03:41:14	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc0643d…
05-06 03:41:14	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2dfc51…
05-06 03:41:02	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xae063d…
05-06 03:41:02	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x005de3…
05-06 03:40:50	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6a8a1d…
05-06 03:40:48	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x72b1f1…
05-06 03:40:36	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdf0ad9…
05-06 03:40:36	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd5a416…
05-06 03:40:26	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xfa0762…
05-06 03:40:24	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1c2b2c…
05-06 03:40:12	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc400d8…
05-06 03:40:12	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbb0c15…
05-06 03:39:54	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc13919…
05-06 03:39:48	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4ca2ed…
05-06 03:39:42	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc24603…
05-06 03:39:36	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf544b2…
05-06 03:39:30	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xae829a…
05-06 03:39:20	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc4529e…
05-06 03:39:16	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x41b990…
05-06 03:39:08	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x03f541…
05-06 03:39:06	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xf8a67d…
05-06 03:38:56	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xfdfbc7…
05-06 03:38:56	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x250005…
05-06 03:38:44	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x989a74…
05-06 03:38:44	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x8ba010…
05-06 03:38:30	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xefd6f9…
05-06 03:38:30	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x7106f6…
05-06 03:38:22	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x71daa6…
05-06 03:38:18	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xf5f7c4…
05-06 03:38:12	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	789	83¢	$655	0xea6b5f…
05-06 03:38:12	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb68a0e…
05-06 03:38:12	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xabca64…
05-06 03:38:12	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x12e44f…
05-06 02:14:32	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	SELL	1,053	100¢	$1,052	0x8021b5…
05-05 02:20:10	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x0b5285…
05-05 02:19:36	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x6d657e…
05-05 02:18:10	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0xc99035…
05-05 02:15:42	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x360acc…
05-05 02:15:08	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x2b394f…
05-05 02:15:00	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x8c77a5…
05-05 02:14:46	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x477ea0…
05-05 02:14:36	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x1d65ac…
05-05 02:14:14	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	BUY	511	95¢	$486	0xa04696…
05-05 02:14:14	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x60f7a3…
05-05 02:03:16	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0x860ad3…
05-05 02:03:10	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x8d11ab…
05-05 01:59:44	Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	BUY	157	94¢	$148	0x8df4f9…
04-27 02:46:38	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	815	27¢	$220	0x5feba7…
04-26 23:25:48	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	222	75¢	$166	0xc17d05…
04-26 23:25:12	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,695	10¢	$166	0xdf88ec…
04-25 23:02:32	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,695	31¢	$521	0xc08188…
04-25 22:42:58	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	SELL	1,011	53¢	$533	0xe1bb54…
04-22 15:32:52	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	698	69¢	$480	0xb3ddda…
04-22 15:28:54	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	323	68¢	$220	0x6f06d3…
04-22 03:32:08	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	SELL	196	98¢	$192	0x12e27f…
04-22 01:28:16	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	SELL	520	98¢	$510	0xdedfa3…
04-22 00:18:12	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	595	80¢	$476	0xedfd16…
04-22 00:17:28	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xb7dde9…
04-22 00:16:34	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x4016d9…
04-22 00:15:52	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xfff200…
04-22 00:15:04	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x0189e0…
04-22 00:14:44	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x095262…
04-21 02:42:34	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Knicks	BUY	20,416	2¢	$408	0x06feaf…
04-21 02:41:38	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Knicks	SELL	8,494	3¢	$255	0x092b73…