Awful-Outset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

4,699

Trades

6,346

lifetime

Volume

$27.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 09-22 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 74% -$105

Other

1% 40% -$4

Politics

0% 67% +$4

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:00 UTC	4	$406	215	215	+0	Down	+$6	06-11 05:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:35 UTC	4	$223	131	131	+0	Up	+$3	06-10 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:20 UTC	4	$215	122	122	+0	Up	-$5	06-10 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:15 UTC	4	$215	123	123	+0	Up	-$5	06-05 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:55 UTC	4	$212	122	122	+0	Down	-$8	06-05 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 11:10 UTC	2	$207	111	111	+0	Up	+$7	06-11 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:15 UTC	2	$197	106	106	+0	Up	-$3	06-11 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 11:25 UTC	3	$181	174	63	+111	Down	-$119	06-11 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 10:55 UTC	4	$159	102	102	+0	Up	-$1	06-11 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:40 UTC	3	$117	142	32	+110	Down	+$7	06-11 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 04:35 UTC	4	$113	70	70	+0	Up	-$9	07-03 04:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:20 UTC	2	$112	62	62	+0	Up	+$12	06-08 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:10 UTC	3	$110	120	15	+104	Up	-$5	06-11 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$105	56	56	+0	Up	+$5	06-08 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:30 UTC	2	$105	56	56	+0	Up	+$5	06-08 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 09:45 UTC	2	$101	52	52	+0	Down	+$1	06-06 09:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:35 UTC	2	$101	51	51	+0	Up	+$1	06-08 12:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:20 UTC	3	$100	57	50	+7	Up	-$6	06-05 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 10:35 UTC	4	$86	55	55	+0	Up	+$6	06-11 10:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 16:45 UTC	5	$86	87	87	+0	Up	-$14	06-06 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:50 UTC	2	$85	58	58	+0	Up	+$25	06-08 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 04:30 UTC	4	$84	45	45	+0	Down	+$4	07-03 04:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 16:00 UTC	5	$83	91	52	+39	Up	+$3	06-06 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$79	60	60	+0	Down	+$39	06-06 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 07:00 UTC	4	$79	52	52	+0	Up	-$1	06-10 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 10:45 UTC	4	$79	53	53	+0	Up	-$1	06-11 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$78	54	54	+0	Up	+$28	06-03 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 11:05 UTC	2	$73	116	116	+0	Down	-$27	06-11 11:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:40 UTC	2	$66	36	36	+0	Up	+$6	06-08 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:15 UTC	2	$65	36	36	+0	Up	+$5	06-08 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 07:27:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x56a6e6…
08-04 10:52:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x0eeda3…
08-04 10:52:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xd5006b…
08-04 10:34:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xf3df72…
08-04 10:28:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x1d2f72…
08-04 10:22:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xaca441…
08-04 10:19:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa27148…
08-04 10:19:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x693caf…
08-04 10:18:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbc8c73…
08-04 10:14:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6bb795…
08-03 07:18:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4822c5…
08-03 06:58:44	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1d2a41…
08-03 06:49:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3bbe7…
08-03 06:44:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdde512…
08-03 06:38:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf037ab…
08-03 06:34:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9e8507…
08-03 06:28:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9ac287…
08-03 06:24:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x526d36…
08-03 06:24:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xe5b8b5…
08-03 06:23:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x64ef08…
08-03 06:19:26	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe0e093…
08-03 06:12:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x1b3604…
08-03 06:09:44	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9cc0f5…
08-03 06:09:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x566045…
08-03 06:08:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xedeca4…
08-03 06:04:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb6d715…
08-03 05:59:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc50861…
08-03 05:44:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xc65711…
08-03 05:44:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd1127b…
08-03 05:39:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x77f374…
08-03 05:39:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xe48b18…
08-03 05:38:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfb2fa1…
08-03 05:33:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x781aef…
08-03 05:28:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x913806…
08-03 05:27:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0d0418…
08-03 05:13:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd11375…
08-03 04:59:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x294c43…
08-02 07:34:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xa9b874…
08-02 07:32:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x6888be…
08-02 07:27:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xab928a…
08-02 07:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3c2efa…
08-02 07:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x82758b…
08-02 07:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1211e0…
08-02 07:19:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9467da…
08-02 07:14:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xff155b…
08-02 07:06:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x08e09f…
08-02 07:04:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x222d71…
08-02 07:04:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x47a9c9…
08-02 07:03:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6a2e10…
08-02 06:53:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5a340e…
08-02 06:49:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd78b8c…
08-02 06:44:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa40e02…
08-02 06:41:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdab073…
08-02 06:39:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1f09a5…
08-02 06:34:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd2405a…
08-02 06:32:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xdd2630…
08-02 06:31:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe62af7…
08-02 06:26:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe08fc5…
08-02 06:19:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1b2f29…
08-02 06:11:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x27334e…
08-02 06:07:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd4e6c7…
08-02 06:02:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x5ee77f…
08-02 05:57:50	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x04e871…
08-02 05:56:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x915a12…
08-02 05:55:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7ce0b5…
08-02 05:51:20	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x194c51…
08-02 05:48:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4261c9…
08-02 05:44:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6af731…
08-02 05:43:51	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x239e5e…
08-02 05:37:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbab873…
08-02 05:34:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaafabc…
08-02 05:33:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0xa48f18…
08-02 05:32:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x69d11f…
08-02 05:27:29	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf3835f…
08-02 05:23:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x028c74…
08-02 05:19:17	Solana Up or Down - August 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x22f608…
08-02 05:12:44	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfafdb8…
08-02 05:08:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xffdccd…
08-01 09:14:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2ddcdb…
08-01 09:08:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4c4d49…
08-01 08:59:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9f1d95…
08-01 08:52:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xcd0933…
08-01 08:37:26	Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x9fa3f6…
08-01 08:34:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0x28e0d8…
08-01 08:30:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x43cea5…
08-01 08:29:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xefc10d…
08-01 08:29:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa01d32…
08-01 08:22:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x561e78…
08-01 08:18:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd84ce7…
08-01 08:13:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7aafb0…
08-01 07:28:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6d3bd2…
08-01 05:57:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 05:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0xed145c…
08-01 05:53:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x81c023…
08-01 05:48:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xef47fd…
08-01 05:44:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 05:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xf28364…
08-01 05:34:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x3c462f…
07-31 12:31:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x14612b…
07-31 11:33:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x27ef69…
07-31 08:12:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xa64fd6…
07-31 08:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x79c839…